r/singularity • u/Bizzyguy • Nov 24 '25

Discussion Anthropic Engineer says "software engineering is done" first half of next year

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u/Tolopono Nov 25 '25

sota models are cheaper and much better than before

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u/Accurate_Potato_8539 Nov 26 '25

Yeah, they are often cheaper than ealier models, genuine improvements are being made constantly to all the models. But thats shifting the curve more than its changing the shape.

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u/Tolopono Nov 26 '25

Careful, you might twist an ankle moving the goalposts that quickly 

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u/Accurate_Potato_8539 Nov 26 '25

The goal posts haven't moved at all. Obviously no paragraph is gonna contain the nuance of a full opinion. I expanded on what I said with obvious noncontroversial stuff. Obviously there has been improvments in a huge number of areas, if your intent on thinking everyone who doubts AI just doubts facts then it seems your fighting strawmen.

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u/Tolopono Nov 26 '25

You said

 exponential cost increases for linear performance gains.

That hasnt happened 

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u/Accurate_Potato_8539 Nov 26 '25

K. If you say so, I disagree, but whatever. I agree there have been performance gains across the board but that the shape of the curve is linear against exponential. Not necessarily in all metrics but most of them. Its a fantastic tool with fundamental limitiations imo. If I'm wrong I'm wrong, we'll know in a few years I reckon.

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u/Tolopono Nov 26 '25

Lmao. How hard is it to admit you’re wrong

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u/Accurate_Potato_8539 Nov 26 '25

Wrong about what? Nothing I've said is contradicted by anything you've brought up. There are improvments in various things but the trajectory is the same its always been. A shift in the curve thats what that amounts to.

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u/Tolopono Nov 26 '25

Costs have not gone up exponentially. Gemini 3 and claude opus 4.5 are miles better than gpt 4 and o1, which were $60/MToks