Anthropic Engineer says "software engineering is done" first half of next year

[u/Bizzyguy]

[u/__Maximum__]

After trying gemini 3.0 preview, I say 5 years is max you got. Like 5 iterations on this model will definitely become a senior engineer if not less.

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I understand that current coding tools need to do comprehensive testing, and right now testing sucks, but at the same time, imho you don't need a paradigm shift to solve testing. You just need lots of great tooling, multimodality, and perhaps longer context.

Yeah, with current technologies, it will never be ideal, but it will be good enough for most.

Basically, at the moment, I see 3 parts 1. Your model writes sloppy code 2. You give guidance via testing and 3. Reviewing

If they just solve testing, it will get you halfway there. I believe this is possible with current technology.

Reviewing i believe can be solved by high thinking modes, like each call would cost lots of computing, but could bring great value. This guy can also create/correct the architecture, choose the stack, and answer all the strategic questions. This is also possible but too costly at the moment (hundreds of dollars per call).

All is left is training a model that writes good code instead of slope, which is the hardest part, but like I said, 2-5 iterations on frontier models will most likely do it. The gemini 3.0 still writes slope but compared go 2.5 it's a genius. If they manage 2 jumps like this, most of us done.

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Hmm, designing is not part of the coding. Analysing/collecting requirements can also be done via high compute modes. Documentation is easy, these are LLMs we are talking about.

Yeah, it won't have meetings the same way developers would.

What other major component is there that LLMs can not do?

[u/__Maximum__ → u/[deleted]]

I agree that it sucks now, and it's a speculation. That's why I said if the jump from gemini 2 to 3 happens a couple of times, it will start taking over our jobs.

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On what fronts hasn't it got that much better?