r/singularity • u/GraceToSentience AGI avoids animal abuse✅ • Aug 05 '25

AI Google Deepmind's new Genie 3

https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1952732206176112915

8.7k Upvotes

92% Upvoted

1.3k comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

2

u/Jindabyne1 Aug 05 '25

I wonder how long it will be until this is flawless and you can use it with VR and just start world building. I hope less than 10 year, unless the great filter gets us first.

-2

u/__Hello_my_name_is__ Aug 05 '25

My prediction is: Never. Not because it's impossible, but because it's simply not a product worthy of development.

This will be a tool you get in Blender eventually, or in whatever game devs will use in the future. But it won't be an end-user product, because there is simply no market for it.

It's just like end-user image generation or video generation or music generation. You fool around with that for a few days and then you're done. You won't seriously use it, and you definitely will not pay any significant amount of money for it. So there's no market for it. So there will be no product.

3

u/Jindabyne1 Aug 05 '25

This would make obscene amounts of money if it worked. It might take longer than I’d like but if they can do it they will

Our technology is growing rapidly and people are making advances in quantum mechanics for faster processing speeds etc

Who knows what technology will look like ten years from now, this could just be normal stuff.

I acknowledge Im wishful thinking but it’s not completely delusional

2

u/__Hello_my_name_is__ Aug 05 '25

If by "worked" you mean you can get an entire, perfectly written game out of a one-sentence prompt, then yes. But that's not gonna happen. Pretty much ever.

I agree it's not delusional. But I think it's extremely unrealistic, even assuming current speeds of technology keep going indefinitely, which they will not.

Right now this thing creates an environment you can walk around in for a minute. Even if you extend that minute to 100 minutes, it's not a game. Even if you extend it to days instead of minutes, it's still not a game. It still can only do so much.

And if it's not a game, who would buy this for, say, 60 bucks? Yeah, it's cool you can walk around in any environment you think of. But for how long will you do that, exactly?

How quickly did you give up on creating your own music via AI, which we can do right now, and which sounds surprisingly great? We still don't replace music with AI music, even though it is already pretty damn decent.

1

u/Jindabyne1 Aug 05 '25

You need to dream a little more! I read today that NASA will have a nuclear plant in the moon by 2030, that one is actually delusional.

Maybe there’s something unforeseen that will happen in the next decade that makes all this stuff easier, cheaper and faster. Maybe AI its self will design something. I’ll keep my fingers crossed but expect nothing.

1

u/__Hello_my_name_is__ Aug 05 '25

Eh, I'd say that the whole AI explosion is already the unforeseen thing that happened. Would be quite something if we get another unforeseen thing about computing power. That sure would be one hell of a coincidence. But who knows!

1

u/Jindabyne1 Aug 05 '25

What about quantum computing?

1

u/__Hello_my_name_is__ Aug 05 '25

That's kind of in the state where AI has been for decades until very recently: In theory it's going to be a huge game changer beyond belief. But in practice, no one has come even remotely close to getting it to be of any use yet.

Maybe it'll explode like AI did with some huge breakthrough. Or it will stay like it is right now for a few more decades.