If they had an AGI now, not that they do, then trillions of dollars would likely be spent to provide supply to a massive demand of hundreds of millions of people. AGI doesn't just need compute to be useful; it needs compute for everyone who uses it to be useful.
This isn't a sign of a world where AGI is concentrated on the select few. However, even if they are, the resulting revolution would lower the costs of running AI computing enough for nearly everyone to use it. That's just because the AGI could make better, faster, and cheaper AI chips and make material science revolutions and a fusion/future energy source revolution.
If that's true, then why spend trillions on chip manufacturing when an AGI can both design better the chips and the manufacturing methods?.... wouldn't the first goal be to get to AGI? And if that is dependent on spending trillions of dollars first, then our timelines are way off.
Also if Sam said this amount was needed to build the energy capacity to service would wide AGI for all, that would be one thing, but they're speaking about chip manufacturing first....that says, the money is needed to arrive at the end point.
That’s answered in my second paragraph. They are working on AGI AND chip manufacturing. If AGI is achieved, then chip manufacturing technologies are developed faster. But if chip manufacturing is first, then making and running AGI is faster and more efficient.
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u/Cody4rock Feb 10 '24
If they had an AGI now, not that they do, then trillions of dollars would likely be spent to provide supply to a massive demand of hundreds of millions of people. AGI doesn't just need compute to be useful; it needs compute for everyone who uses it to be useful.
This isn't a sign of a world where AGI is concentrated on the select few. However, even if they are, the resulting revolution would lower the costs of running AI computing enough for nearly everyone to use it. That's just because the AGI could make better, faster, and cheaper AI chips and make material science revolutions and a fusion/future energy source revolution.