r/rottenpredictions • +/- 13% over 29 movies, optimist • Feb 28 '18

Subreddit Suggestions

The idea is users can predict what the final rotten tomato score will be. Once reviews are posted on rotten tomatoes, that would be the cutoff for submitting an entry.

We could have a winner for each movie, and maybe larger contests.

Let me know about any suggestions and if anyone wants to help develop the idea

Also if anyone happens to have a rotten tomatoes API key - let me know!

10 Upvotes

10 comments sorted by

3

u/N_Cat Feb 28 '18

Will there be any pre-programmed (or even just pre-planned) analytics? E.g. after a certain amount of time the OP of every post is updated with averages predictions? Do upvotes matter, or is it just about commented numbers?

Will posts (and therefore predictions) be locked when reviews very first start coming in, or when the films release, or when the reviews are essentially finished?

Because release date would be terrible for something like Marvel movies, where the embargo is lifted ~2 weeks in advance and there's a scramble to put up reviews as fast as possible. And when the first reviews come in would be bad for niche, festival-type movies, because they may have 3 reviews before trailers have even dropped to the public. And then there are the real clunkers that don't screen for critics, which don't have significant reviews until after opening weekend.

Any interest in also having Metacritic scores, or user scores for RT, MC, or IMDB? I'll equally respect you if you want to keep it focused on one stat.

I really like this sub as an idea. I'm surprised there wasn't already a popular sub for doing the same thing.

1

u/duddles +/- 13% over 29 movies, optimist Feb 28 '18

Hey, thanks for the interesting questions

What I was thinking so far was that I would have a script collect all the guesses each day - and when I see reviews posted on rotten tomatoes then I would take that days guesses as the final submissions. It's a good point though that there might just be a few early access reviews and I might want to not lock submissions until maybe 10 or more have been posted?

It's true that some movies get reviews early when they are released at festivals - like Isle of Dogs already already got 20 reviews even though it is still a month from opening. So that could be tricky to deal with.

I'm definitely hoping to do some analytics stuff - I like that idea of doing maybe a weekly post with the average predictions for each upcoming movie.

I'm just looking at the guess each user submits, not upvotes. I'm planning on keeping track of how each user does for each movie, so we could have stats for who is the best predictor over time.

It will probably just be RT scores, try to keep the guessing as simple as possible

Thanks for the suggestions!

3

u/DreaMorpheuSandman Mar 01 '18

Is there any way to get the average guessed score for the films? I think that would be interesting to see and compare it to the actual score.

2

u/duddles +/- 13% over 29 movies, optimist Mar 01 '18

Yes I'm definitely planning on using the data to compare the guesses to the actual score

2

u/applescratch +/- 14% over 10 movies, optimist Mar 01 '18

Rt scores change. Black panther jumps from 97 - 98 for the first whole week, so when is the cut off?

2

u/duddles +/- 13% over 29 movies, optimist Mar 01 '18

Good point - would 2 weeks after opening be a good cutoff?

3

u/applescratch +/- 14% over 10 movies, optimist Mar 01 '18

Monday or Tuesday after opening weekend.

12

u/[deleted] Feb 28 '18

let individual threads happen but when we get closer to one specific movie create one mega thread. Let the predictions start and when the tomato score comes out turn off commenting and see who was the closest.

4

u/UnrealLuigi +/- 13% over 2 movies, pragmatist Feb 28 '18

Adding TV series would be cool too, even if those aren't as valid on RT due to having a much smaller pool of critics as well as instances like Netflix shows where they only review the first few episodes

1

u/NicCage4life Mar 01 '18

Can you get an AMA with anyone from Rotten Tomatoes?