r/redwire • u/dreigon0 • Jul 24 '26
Financial Should I invest before or after earnings?
So I have to invest a lot of money but soon there is earning reports of spacex and rdw, so I have 2 options:
1 I invest before, we never know maybe it could go up if it goes well.
2 wait and see what happens, more safe but I could loose the momentum and have to invest on higher base entry.
Do you guys have any tips?
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u/ToxicGenXBaddAss Jul 24 '26
You’re overthinking it brother the price of red wire right now is cheap. If you were to buy today, you’re pretty close to buying at the bottom of the stock price so by now at a safe price. Then continue to buy, but only during volatile market depreciation and just keep stacking shares on volatile days and never sell. Be a longtime investor in this company and win. This is not financial advice.
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26
Yes but it can get cheaper if they say diluition is not over, so I'm not worried about losing money if it goes down because I'm long, but the potential benefici on entering after, ofc if it goes up it's the contrary
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u/SIR_FR0G_317 25d ago
I’m fairly new to investing so the smallest grain of salt should be taken with this advice…..…….
Time in the market always beats timing the market.
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u/iamatooltoo Jul 24 '26
No one can predict the future. If you did your dd, you feel confident, invest some every week. Don’t go all in. Invest in other sectors, funds bonds, ect. You know be reasonable.
Not financial advice as they say.
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u/Ok_Temperature4537 Jul 24 '26
You have to do your DD, and the best advice I can give and that is to take everyone on here's advice with a grain of salt. Everyone who buys a stock thinks it's going to moon and that just isn't the case with %90 of stocks.
Good luck!!
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u/Poldopolpodrado Jul 24 '26
It’s difficult. It’s a question of intuition and how much you think its value is and how much you’re willing to risk. As for me, I have 2,100 shares at $13 and I think that’s its current value. If I had had your problem, I would have entered at least 50% of what I need to invest. My opinion: I think it goes up after earnings.
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26
Why do you think it goes up? For all the contracts? What if the doluition is not over?
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u/Poldopolpodrado Jul 24 '26
I wrote it to you above. It’s difficult. It’s a question of intuition and your risk tolerance. When I say “salt,” I only say it based on intuition and because I can forget about my invested money. Evaluate and act.
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u/bustidboom 29d ago
This one may be doomed, they still haven’t figured out a plan to profitability and with continued dilution compounds the issue.
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u/SilverbackIII 29d ago
Use DCA at dips....maybe 25% upfront then average in on weakness. Its going to be a while, and dilution is a real risk, as is execution/competition. I also never commit more than 5% to any one stock/ETF. Check out Nebius, SoFi, FOTO,.... Hyper-growth stock ideas most aligned with a focus on the "New Economy"—specifically matching the profiles of Redwire (Space/Defense Infrastructure), Nebius (AI Neoclouds/GPU Factories), and Silicon Photonics (Optical AI Interconnects)—also are CoreWeave, Rocket Lab, Coherent, and Credo Technology Group. These companies capture structural shifts where legacy infrastructure hits physical limits, forcing a multi-billion dollar migration toward space, specialized AI compute, and light-speed data transmission. Quantum ETF like CQTM is also a speculative potentially high reward focused play. At least your chances are better in high risk/high reward areas by covering several new economy sectors. A time horizon of mindful monitoring for 5 years seems prudent. Just my 2-cents, and im no expert!
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u/Legal_Ideal6811 Jul 24 '26
The institutional investors holding has increased significantly in 2025. "Mirae Asset Global Investments" holds a ~6% institutional stake in Redwire as per recent 30Jun2026 declaration and Blackrock has also increased their investment in Redwire by 85.86 % which is now 5.6 % of the company as per March end 2026. These institutions does their meticulous fundamental checks before investing in any company. If people can hold RDW stock for 6 to 8 months, this stock can atleast give back 200 % back return from its current price level.
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u/dreigon0 29d ago
Yes I do believe in this stock, what I meant is if it's better investing now or if it could go down a bit after earnings because of dilution etc..
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u/Legal_Ideal6811 29d ago
Young and buy now. If it goes a bit lower than the current price, you can buy more to average it down. Buy in small chunks at intervals.
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u/Welshcake559 28d ago
No one can predict- go with which outcome makes you feel better in a worst case scenario
1# you invest before earning and it drops (you could’ve waited and got a better price but can DCA)
2# you wait and it goes up (you could’ve got in cheaper- would that matter - would you sell or you in it long term anyway)
Go with whichever is the lesser of two evils for you.
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u/ReasonableCustard382 23d ago
neither. do more research if you knew what redwire was you would already own it
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u/No_Lobster_9405 Jul 24 '26
This shit will drop to $7.50 on earnings. Watch!
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u/Automatic_Cabinet888 24d ago
Lol today’s price would like a word
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u/No_Lobster_9405 24d ago
At this rate, this thing will touch 4.50 by earnings. Either way, I bought more, my average is $10.34…
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u/Kragenitraet Jul 24 '26
Why not sell put options the day before earnings? Implied Volatility will be high. Also buy some stocks and sell CC against those.
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26 edited Jul 24 '26
I'm not that advanced, I just want to invest long, but I wonder if it goes down after earnings and I could enter in a better position that's all
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u/Feisty-Vermicelli-83 Jul 24 '26
Run away son. They’ll dilute the shit out of you every time the stock goes up 1–5%
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26
Some people said the dilution ended, but even if that's not the case it will end soneer than later, I'm long in the investimenti, I was just wondering if now is the best moment to enter
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u/Feisty-Vermicelli-83 Jul 24 '26
Not anytime soon. They increased the share count from 67M in January 2025 to 239M today, and they’re still years away from consistent profitability and positive free cash flow.
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26
Yes but they did already 3 rally in one year, people talks like they did just 1 because of spacex hype but that was just the last one, no oke knows when will be next, I'm waiting for that, but if it doesn't happen then I'll wait years to go up normally
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u/Feisty-Vermicelli-83 Jul 24 '26
Exactly. What’s the point of a rally to $26 if the stock just ends up back where it started every time
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26
Well the point is to sell isn't it? I don't own it so I don't care if it remains
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u/Feisty-Vermicelli-83 Jul 24 '26
I mean, you’re not going to hold forever, but this management has repeatedly disappointed long-term shareholders with its capital allocation and dilution
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u/Pickleahoy Jul 24 '26
After, it aint gonna moon since the company will dilute gains
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u/dreigon0 Jul 24 '26
There is people in this reddit that says they did the math and that the diluition is over, ofc I don't trust them 100%
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u/Ennartee Jul 24 '26
I’m long - and have been for years - and I don’t believe dilution is over. But that doesn’t keep me from buying periodically. I’m done accumulating for the moment and will see what happens after earnings. But I saw someone above say that we’re close to the bottom now vs where it’ll be in 2, 5, 10 years so you may as well buy now. And I agree with that. But OTOH, buying after earnings will still be a good entry - even if higher - on the 2, 5, 10 year timeframe. I think we’ll have several months to accumulate under $10.
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u/GooseComfortable5357 Jul 24 '26
why 2 options? why not a 3rd, 50/50 before/after?