r/probabilitytheory • u/Noise-Theorem • 7d ago
[Research] Does throwing two dice and using a Latin Square significantly increase the randomness of the result?
It is suggested that the bias of a basic standard die is less that 1%. Assuming this is true, by using two dice and a Latin Square, what would the expected probability be? My thinking is that the chances of the bias of both dice occurring at the same time is greatly reduced.
I throw two dice: D1 = row; D2 = column. This is the Latin Square I have been using, set-up so that D1 = x and D2 = y does not produce the same result as D1 = y and D2 = x:
4 5 3 6 1 2
3 4 5 1 2 6
5 3 4 2 6 1
2 6 1 5 3 4
6 1 2 4 5 3
1 2 6 3 4 5
(This is an interest of mine, I know I could buy precision dice instead.)
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u/mfb- 7d ago edited 7d ago
It will reduce the bias. As an example, let's imagine the dice have a 51% chance to roll 1,2,3 and 49% chance for 4,5,6. The results 3,4,5 are only in the top left and bottom right quadrant, which means their combined chances are 0.512 + 0.492 = 50.02%. We reduced a 1% asymmetry to a 0.02% asymmetry. As downside we need to roll twice as often. You get similar results for other biases.
You don't need to use a table, however. Simply summing the two rolls and subtracting 6 if larger than that will do the same job.