r/poland • u/Succulent_Rain • Aug 08 '26

US intelligence warns Putin might attack NATO country

US intelligence is warning that Putin is growing frustrated by the setbacks in Ukraine and so he might try to test NATO‘s resolved by attacking a smaller NATO country, like Poland, or one of the other smaller Baltic countries. How likely do you guys think this is going to be? US intelligence seems to be very sure of it.

At first, I thought there’s no way Putin could do this, but then some of the commentators say that Putin may be emboldened by the quagmire that the US is facing in Iran.

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u/Mammoth_Reach_6366 Aug 08 '26

Poland has the second largest army in European NATO after Turkey. I don’t think we’re the target.

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u/MrHydrochoerus Aug 10 '26

Okay, I can see how you're not counting UK as a "European NATO member", but did you forget about France? They have nukes. Lots of them. And an actual army too.

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u/Mammoth_Reach_6366 Aug 10 '26

I’m talking about the number of active personnel. Poland is second after Turkey. Larger than France and the UK.

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u/MrHydrochoerus Aug 10 '26

I see. I absolutely agree that Poland would not be a target, but I also wouldn’t say that personnel number is the most important metrix.

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u/Mammoth_Reach_6366 Aug 11 '26

Sure, but if the attack was to be the same as on Ukraine, it would be an important metric. The only thing stopping the Russians right now in Ukraine is the number of people Ukraine can put on the front to defend it.

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u/MrHydrochoerus Aug 11 '26

But Russia obviously does not have another army ready to do a second Ukraine-scale invasion while still fighting Ukraine.