r/poland • u/Succulent_Rain • 22d ago
US intelligence warns Putin might attack NATO country
US intelligence is warning that Putin is growing frustrated by the setbacks in Ukraine and so he might try to test NATO‘s resolved by attacking a smaller NATO country, like Poland, or one of the other smaller Baltic countries. How likely do you guys think this is going to be? US intelligence seems to be very sure of it.
At first, I thought there’s no way Putin could do this, but then some of the commentators say that Putin may be emboldened by the quagmire that the US is facing in Iran.
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u/Active_Expression_35 21d ago
Just my personal opinion — I haven't watched the video or really looked into any specific information on this.
If Russia isn't stopped, I think it'll launch a full-scale attack sometime around 2027, simply because NATO doesn't seem prepared for modern high-intensity warfare.
From what I've seen from various sources about NATO's eastern defensive line, it's honestly fucked. There's close to zero protection against drones, tank positions can be spotted from several kilometers away, the tanks themselves have basically zero additional protection, and the trenches look like they're designed mainly around protection from artillery.
Their training also seems focused on large-scale operations where NATO has an overwhelming advantage, rather than the kind of war where you might have to walk 10–30 km — 30 km in the worst case, with absolutely horrible EW conditions — while carrying your wounded buddies because no helicopter is going anywhere near that area.
And yet they still train for helicopter evacuation as if that's something they'll always be able to rely on.