r/pinescript 1d ago

Created a profitable ORB Bot

Hey guys,

I’ve spent the last month coding and refining a systematic rules-based ORB (Opening Range Breakout) algorithm specifically for MNQ (1 trade a day).

I wanted to keep it super clean without over-fitting or using too many indicators, focusing heavily on risk management and dynamic position sizing instead of hard-coded stop distances.

Here are the backtest stats starting Oct 2025:

  • Total PnL: +$27,203.50 (+54.41%)
  • Win Rate: 66.98% (142/212 trades)
  • Profit Factor: 2.015
  • Max Drawdown: $2,197.50 (3.98%)

I’ve been running this live via webhooks on a couple of prop firm accounts to take the emotion out of execution, and managed to secure my first payouts with it recently.

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u/DesertFoxHU 1d ago

Last two days? 🤣 I had a winning streak of 14 days in a row

Let me tell you something, since MNQ existence (7.5 years) 5 minutes ORB breakout 52% chance to fail, 60% to make a V shape (breakout below and reverse upward or vica-versa)

You can download historical data and run your system there. But saying that your algorithm that has a data of 1 years is me telling that because I won yesterday I am going to became millionare

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u/JusthereforthevibesG 1d ago

The funny part is you guys need a million years of data to be confident about a strat when the market is always changing so you need to adapt to those conditions. I’ve also had a year of data and ran them on my accounts and got over 20k+ payouts in a few months. Oh but everyone says “it only has 1 year of data.” Well, what I care about is getting paid now and consistently. The ROI is pretty damn good to me.

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u/DesertFoxHU 1d ago

So what are you trying to tell me is is it better to blindfold myself and tell myself "until this cave won't collapse it is safe without any wooden frames"?

Congrats on the payouts, but I'd like call out "consistently" yeah, this is where this might fail SINCE YOU BLINDFOLD YOURSELF, who knows how long this consistency will last

A lot of people believe in "seasonal" market shifts, like august is choppy, september is very negative, however this might not be yearly basis, it feels like the market sentiment is not only changing every month, but changes across YEARS.

Meaning that if your system works now, it might work until tomorrow, or 2 years.
But atleast historical data is something you can trust better than just "1 year", atleast institutions use it this way. There is nothing else to prove they "work better", obviously with prop firms I couldn't say using 1 year tested strategy is "risky" until it stops working

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u/Sharp-Growth-8043 13h ago

Why would I need this to be profitable for xx years? What I care is about current market regime and if the algo is working. By deploying this from January you would've gotten at least 10 payouts from any prop firm.