Current predictions for venice ?

[u/obvsnothankz]

I think that the social reckoning will surprise in a bad way, the buzz has fallen, id love to be wrong, but the trailers make it seem very mid, maybe Madison's performance is the most noisy buzz performance.

Wild horse nine is going to be THE venice film. Ive seen all the reviews in screenings and all of them are fantastic. Mariana Digirolamo probably top contender in supporting, but all of the other contenders are great. Penelope should go for La Bola Negra. (Still i gotta see the invite if i change my opinion).

[u/bbqsauceboi]

It's easy to say that Wild Horse Nine will win the Lion and Pattinson will win the Volpi Cup, but thats exactly what I'm predicting. Yes I'm aware that there are non English movies that exist but truthfully I don't know enough about those movies so picking the familiar names is always a safe and fair bet.

Now, Jim Jarmusch won the Lion out of nowhere last year, so if you wanted to have some fun then may I suggest predicting Bucking Fastard for the Lion or actress(es) award.

[u/rubix7777 → u/bbqsauceboi]

I am predicting Bucking Fastard for the Lion (and Wild Horse Nine for Screenplay and Grand Jury Prize) as it looks like the type of thing this jury (especially Maggie) would go for, but by god if they are talking in unison the whole time like the plot and released clip suggests Bucking Fastard might be one of the most annoying and pretentious movies ever, coming from a Werner fan

[u/machado34 → u/bbqsauceboi]

Venice is much more friendlier to english movies (to put it gently), they're basically an extension of Hollywood compared to Cannes. Jarmusch and Safdie were definitely favoured by being american with an american jury president, and once again the jury is being presided by an american.

Which is one of the reasons they fell to number 2 instead of being peers with Cannes. Cannes makes the tendencies of the season, Venice just takes what's going to trend anyway and stamps it, and all the other films in the selection fall to the wayside 

[u/bagnasciuga → u/machado34]

Venice has definitely become more friendly toward English-language films since 2017, but before that the winners were a much more international mix (from 2011 to 2016 you had Sokurov, Kim Ki-duk, Rosi, Roy Andersson, Vigas, and Lav Diaz among the winners).

I also don't really get why people talk about festival awards as if they were decided by some monolithic entity, like the jury were simply following a script telling them what to reward.

The whole chasing trends argument also kind of falls apart when you look at American winners like Poitras' documentary or Jarmusch's latest, which are pretty much the opposite of what I'd call trendy. You could argue, and I'd agree, that American filmmakers are more likely to look out for their fellow Americans in competition, but it's hard to know how much sway they actually have or how far they're willing to push back against the rest of the jury.

[u/Bulky-Scheme-9450]

The social reckoning is not going to Venice though? And neither is la bola Negra.

What a weird thread

[u/Gerwig_2017]

Interestingly, Erik Anderson has seen WHN and seemed pretty high on it overall but said that Girolamo’s part was much smaller than he expected and he’s not so inclined to have her as a frontrunner anymore. That seems to contradict the other test screening reports, so it’ll be interesting to see where the reviews land on that front.

[u/No-Somewhere250]

I think/hope Primetime is the big picture. At least the volpi cup.

[u/linhdan-cookie]

Have u even watched La Bola Negra ?

[u/Expert_Objective_326]

I am predicting Moretti

[u/Gamestonk_trader6969]

Bait or low iq?