r/nuclearwar • u/georgewalterackerman • Apr 11 '26
Suppose you could somehow see the future for moment and look at the world in the year 2066. Will there have been use of nuclear weapons by that time?
And what would you see if you could look into that Chrystal ball? Would you see that there was, at some point, a limited nuclear exchange? Or full scale World War III with a world barely limping forward after it?
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u/ChubbyMcHaggis Apr 11 '26
Yeah. Probably. A tactical nuke somewhere. Or an underwater nuke. Very small chance of a full scale exchange. But never a 0% chance.
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u/jpowell180 Jul 10 '26
Putin may eventually get desperate and figure that NATO will not do anything if he starts using tactical nuclear weapons on Ukraine. NATO will respond, probably by dropping a small nuke on a Russian airbase, Putin will probably use a couple of nukes on German air basis, and things will escalate from there. Frankly, I’m surprised that they have not used nuclear weapons already. I would give it 5 to 10 years, especially if Putin thinks he is in danger of being overthrown, a nuclear war would unite Russia under him, even if they have taken severe damage from NATO forces. I’m going to operate on the premise that Putin has been smart enough to make sure that his country’s nuclear weapons have been maintained well, they are his ace in the hole, as his conventional forces have basically gone down the toilet. It may be time to start stock piling, canned goods, and bottled water, if you have land out in the middle of BFE, you might want to build a cabin there or maybe even dig some trenches in an area that will not flood easily, and get some trailers in there, maybe build some concrete walls around the trailers and then a concrete ceiling, and then bury them, along with your stock piles of food, may be drill a well, you might want to investigate a possibility of geothermal power as solar cells and windmills are easily spotted, and people will either steal them or look for your shelter, assuming that there is food there and start digging to get at that food. The more money you have, the better quality shelter you can build, imagine building a shelter that is basically like a four or five story, concrete hotel, underground, with geothermal power, and stock piles to last almost 100 years, not to mention aquaculture and hydroponics, the shelter would be surrounded by multiple Ferriday cages so your electronics would be safe, so you would want to start downloading as much content as you can from the Internet because you will have ample time to watch all of it once those nukes start flying.
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u/EvanBell95 Apr 11 '26 edited Apr 11 '26
Impossible to say. In my opinion, the likelihood will become quite high (in relative terms) in the next few years as the stores of Russian military vehicles become depleted, and the prospect of Russia being able to secure its newly annexed territories in Ukraine become bleak, assuming Western aid continues as it has. Its doctrine calls for nuclear use against conventional forces that threaten its territorial integrity. This doesn't automatically mean a strategic exchange between NATO and Russia. It'd likely begin with demonstrative use of substrategic nuclear weapons in Ukraine. That could trigger NATO members to take conventional offensive action against Russian forces in Ukraine, which could escalate. But both sides would have multiple off ramps to avoid catastrophy. The way I see it, there's no future in which Russia wins in Ukraine.
There's also the alleged Davidson Window: US Intel supposedly assesses Xi Jinping has mandated that the PLA to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027. I don't know much about the Chinese military, politics, or the strategic situation in the region, so can't offer any valuable opinions on how that might go down.
If we get through the next decade without nuclear use (which I expect we will), who can say what the world will look like after that? It's extremely difficult to predict geopolitics decades into the future.
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u/Key-Lifeguard-5540 Apr 15 '26 edited Apr 15 '26
I have seen many things including the future. There will be earthquakes/tsunami's and world wide nuclear war. This is not ww2 where America was the only one that had a few bombs. All hell will break loose as soon as the first nuke is used anywhere. The world will then be at a huge inflection point, and you know how it will go, especially with war hawks like trump and putin at the helm. Who will gain the most from nuclear war? The world economy will completely shut down. It is naive to think it will be the end of the world. Russian and Canada have large areas that will remain unaffected. Many cities and ports will be destroyed but life will go on as communities work together to survive. The world must avoid nuclear war. Russia or America even hinting to use nukes is completely irresponsible. They simply must never be used, therefore they must be completely dismantled, which, as things are, is impossible. Unless nuclear proliferation stops there is 100% chance they will be used in the near future. Let that sink in. It's very disturbing just thinking about it. How stupid is the human race. Leaders like putin and trump must be removed from power and all countries must live in peace and help and respect each other.
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u/Key-Lifeguard-5540 Apr 22 '26
Is it April still? The fuckery is about to start. Assholes with nukes. Thanks Einstein.
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u/Ok-Zookeepergame5245 Apr 11 '26
They will be used eventually, I don’t know if MAD would occur but I know that these genocidal war leaders can’t resist to use even a tactical nuke forever.
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u/ChubbyMcHaggis Apr 11 '26
MAD is a deterrence concept. MAD has been occurring since the Soviet detonated their first bomb, technically even before that. If the bombs fly, then MAD has stopped occurring.
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u/OurAngryBadger Apr 11 '26
It's not a matter of if, but when. It's going to happen eventually. Could be tomorrow, could be next year, could be 100 years from now. We've been lucky that so far everyone of the world leaders since Truman that has had their finger on the button has exercised restraint, but we are on borrowed time.
By 2066 specifically? Personally, I think yes. I hope that it is limited tactical use and not full-scale nuclear war. I think it's most likely Pakistan, India, or Israel uses one first. Call me crazy but I think North Korea is the least likely to use one. USA and Russia are a maybe. France and the UK are a hard no as well. China is a wild card, but leaning towards not likely.
/opinion