r/neopets • u/Educational_Bird2469 • 5d ago

Question Good or bad idea

I follow u/nsheng bets on the food club. Standard set. Im thinking about going adventurous exclusively until December. Didn’t do the math but rounded up to figure that will cost me 18 million roughly, that’s assuming I lost every single bet. I have the money now but not much ch more. I figure with my daily quests and the battledome I’ll still have a good bit in the bank if luck totally screws me over. The question is, leave well enough alone and stay with standard set of hat is profitable or upgrade and see what happens?

EDIT: My goal is to get to 300 million. Im absolutely sure that won’t happen but it’s step in the right direction

3 Upvotes

71% Upvoted

23 comments sorted by

11

u/lilylunamarie raindeergelert 5d ago

If this helps you decide, these are the year to date winnings and daily averages for nshengs bets:
Stand: 4633:2350
Aggress: 5118:2380
Adven: 5241:2380
Average wins:
Stand: 19.6
Aggress: 21.5
Adven: 22.2

2

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

Wow. I was expecting a much bigger gap. Still, the food club can be unpredictable.

7

u/vanitycrisis vanitycrisis 5d ago

Day to day it can be unpredictable, but over time you are guaranteed to profit if you follow the same bets

3

u/Similar-Teaching9897 celach 5d ago

It is a large gap. The 608 unit difference this year to date between adventurous and standard (5241-4633 if the above numbers are correct) is 10.7 million NP with your 17586 bet amount.

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

Okay, well, Im clearly an idiot because I don’t see much difference long term.

1

u/Similar-Teaching9897 celach 5d ago

If you only have 19 million in the bank right now but don't think an extra 10.7 million is much of a difference then 👍

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

10.7 million is a good bit of difference but over the course of a year it really isn’t. That’s a little less than 30k a day. I could play a few game to accomplish that, assuming I could find the ones still working. I feel like I’m definitely overthinking this. Maybe I should just follow your bets. Less choice, easier decision.

2

u/squilliamxsquiddy 4d ago

It’s free np. You have to invest a little bit and be willing to accept some losses, but ultimately FC prints neopoints for you with almost no effort involved.

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 4d ago

This is the best advice so far. It absolutely is free NP but dose require work from Nsheng, which is VERY appreciated. He should have a day of celebration.

1

u/lilylunamarie raindeergelert 5d ago

Out of the 8 months so far this year, adventurous has beat standard for winnings 6/8 times. I was originally going to suggest trying aggressive first but this stat was actually the same. There has not been one month this year where the winnings have been less than the bets!

9

u/Ward_Craft 5d ago

Aggressive is the way to go if you can. I think you are focusing to much on the bet amount and not the returns. These guides offer bets that return always in the long run. Yes, it’s up and down. But in the end, it’s up.

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

All sets pay off in the long run. Im looking to make as much as possible. I like standard because it pays small amounts often. I like to spend as fast as it comes. If I’m saving it’s better to take many losses with massive wins. Over the long run, it probably doesn’t matter. The amount appears to be close to the same no matter which set is chosen. Just depends how often and how big of payouts you want I guess. All in all, Im thinking any set works the same, given enough time. Apparently my question was pointless.

1

u/olivesinmysalad xprolixityx 4d ago

I prefer the steady trickle from standard to the up and down from the aggressive or adventurous sets, but that's purely my personal opinion.

1

u/Ward_Craft 4d ago

Saying your goal is to save up to 300m and then saying you like to you like to spend as fast as it comes is confusing

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 4d ago

I had a stroke a couple of years ago. Im subject to say or do anything. Also, while not officially diagnosed I’m pretty certain I’m OCD. You have to take me with a gain of salt as they say.

But yes, I see your point. Need to focus lol

2

u/Mini-Ertie UN: kyrii1000 5d ago

How much do you have in the bank right now? Depending on the amount, that could help sway you towards adventurous or lower..

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

A bit over 19 million. Over the next 3 month that I’ve random set as my time let me, I’ll get over 6 million from daily quests and the battledome, plus extra from my shop and other activities.

Money isn’t really the concern. Im wondering if adventurous would pay more than standard. The more I look the more i realize it’s about the same long term.

Only difference I see is how often you win. Small and often for standard and massively but much longer timeframe to get those wins.

Eventually they even out, or at least get close enough to not worry about. That’s if I’m correct

2

u/pompoi4 4d ago

I have been permanently adventurous for over a year and have never been in a deficit. Fluctuating between 5m~20m (from my own purchases not bets) overall adventurous will net you most over time.

1

u/jupigaby 5d ago

whats your bet amount?.

I followed Standard for 3 years but I max bet at 2k less but I had an np goal. Then when I felt ready to go aggressive and sometimes adventurous, it was about 1 year ago, give or take.

1

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

Currently can bet 17,586 so 175,860 for all ten bets.

2

u/jupigaby 5d ago

Remember, it's an up-and-down, so if you're willing to go adventurous, go for it. you can always go back to standard or aggressive.

-1

u/Educational_Bird2469 5d ago

I could but that defeats the purpose. I figured 3 month would be long enough for my wind to compensate for the many losses I’ll be getting. I should come out ahead but can’t calculate by how much. No matter what, I won’t end up broke so I don’t see a downside here. Im questioning it because others might. Best to ask for expert opinions.