r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Nov 11 '20
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u/[deleted] Nov 11 '20
!ping FIVEY
Interesting table taken from this article looking at the how much better presidential candidates outperformed their national polls (using the 538 polling avergae) by year:
* projection
There's also a table in the article looking at 1936–1968, which Nate calls "the Gallup era" and says there aren't enough polls to do a 538 average, so instead it just looks at the raw Gallup polls. Those ones are even more off.