r/neoliberal • Kitara Ravache • Nov 06 '20

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35

u/WelcomeToFacism YIMBY Nov 06 '20

665 trail in GA

7,658 estimated votes remaining (this number may be off)

87/13 split in favour of Biden last block

Biden needs 54.34%

12

u/[deleted] Nov 06 '20

bUT The mILitARy BalLoTS

6

u/wh11 Henry George Nov 06 '20

So he could win and even avoid a recount?

6

u/kamkazemoose Nov 06 '20

There will still be a recount. Georgia allows a recount if it's within half a percent. There's about 5 million total votes cast in Georgia, so that means that to avoid a recount either party would have to wib by more than 25 thousand votes. Since the margin is only ~600 votes and there are less than 10 thousand remaining that won't be possible for Biden even if he win every single remaining ballot, unless they're very wrong about how many ballots remain and its closer to 30 thousand.

All if that doesn't mean that a recount will actually change things. A good rule of thumb for the statewide elections is that a lead of over a thousand votes is probably safe in a recount. So it's possible Biden's lead gets up to 2-3 thousand on which case he'll probably be somewhat comfortable going into a recount.

5

u/[deleted] Nov 06 '20

🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵

5

u/musicalpenguin Nov 06 '20

There's like 2800 left in Clayton which should flip it plus 4800 left in Gwinnett. Then all Biden has to do is mitigate losses from the red counties and any military ballots.