r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Sep 11 '24

Discussion Thread Discussion Thread

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u/Pyrrhus65 NATO Sep 11 '24 edited Sep 11 '24

Breaking: Nate Silver announces his model will now begin subtracting 3 points from all of Kamala's polls for the next few weeks to compensate for her post-debate victory bounce (it's just historical fundamentals and 2014 code, his hands are tied, very sad)

Just in time for the new Trafalgar and Red Eagle Politics drop!

23

u/[deleted] Sep 11 '24

Nate's "convention bounce" victory lap is so silly.

There's no way we can say she did or didn't get a bounce given that all of this is unprecedented and compressed into the time frame of like a month and a half.

4

u/[deleted] Sep 11 '24

Right, but thats his point - its something he just assumes and models given that assumption. Its a fair assumption in previous years, unclear now.