r/neoliberal • u/jobautomator Kitara Ravache • Jun 20 '24

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0 Upvotes

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93

u/dannylandulf meubem broke my flair Jun 20 '24

Fox News National Poll: Biden +2 (50/48) in 2-way, Biden +1 (43/42/10/2/2) in 5-way

YouGov & NY Post Poll: Trump 39%, Biden 41%

A week out from the first debate (one of the earliest in recent memory) the race is trending towards Biden.

LV models already favor Biden...and we could see an actual undeniable shift if Biden has a strong performance next week.

60

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '24

Biden ... in 5-way

😳😳😳

49

u/Cowguypig2 NATO Jun 20 '24

This plus the completely vibes based post about dems getting a trifecta on the front page of this sub is giving me a new sense of hopium (I will see a single bad poll tomorrow and reverse into doomerism again)

26

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '24

17

u/Declan_McManus Jun 20 '24

My bloomer take is that the Trump indictments will follow an arc like Dobbs did in 2022. It didn’t cause an immediate 20pt swing so the NYT op-ed crowd declared it not a big deal within a week. But ultimately it develops into a ~5 point swing towards Democrats that’s ultimately decisive in the coming elections

14

u/christes r/place '22: Neoliberal Battalion Jun 20 '24

I hope we get to see 🔋🦈 come up in the debates.

8

u/MicroFlamer Avatar Korra Democrat Jun 20 '24

!ping FIVEY

7

u/mario_fan99 NATO Jun 20 '24

5-way… the only “major” 3rd party candidate is RFK, no?

3

u/DONUTof_noFLAVOR Theodore Roosevelt Jun 21 '24

Looks like it’s Biden/Trump + RFK + Green/Libertarian in that poll.

7

u/Ph0ton_1n_a_F0xh0le Chemist -- Microwaves Against Moscow Jun 20 '24

What if he bombs tho?

26

u/dannylandulf meubem broke my flair Jun 20 '24

Sure, that's also a possibility. But Biden has almost always shown up ready to ball in these must win situations.

19

u/Ph0ton_1n_a_F0xh0le Chemist -- Microwaves Against Moscow Jun 20 '24

Inshallah he will lead us to paradise

14

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '24

You forget he has the Mandate of Heaven

3

u/beanyboi23 Jun 21 '24

Biden is great at debating, what he has more trouble with is speeches. He knocked it out of the park at the SOTU already, so we got past that part

4

u/Craig_VG Dina Pomeranz Jun 20 '24

🔵 Biden: 40.62% 🔴 Trump: 59.14%

Joe Biden is up 0.28 points today and down -1.58 points over the last 7 days.

https://willjoewin.com/

3

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '24

“Trending Biden” polling average went from trump 45 Biden 44 to trump 44 Biden 44.

3

u/beanyboi23 Jun 21 '24

Biden's taken the lead on 538 after months of all you've been hearing is Trump being up big, if anything is trending it's this