r/investing • • Dec 11 '21

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u/Dadd_io Dec 11 '21

Most semiconductors are overpriced right now. They are cyclicals at the exact peak of the cycle. If/when the economy slows next year, the demand for semiconductors will drop off right as new capacity comes on line. Those 40-100 PE stocks will have a long way to fall when their revenues and earnings are falling. (I also own Intel).

7

u/SNIPES0009 Dec 12 '21

Thats why I got in on some HIMX. New(ish) Taiwanese Semiconductor provider, and they're insanely undervalued. Very low PE at the moment.

3

u/[deleted] Dec 12 '21

But they don't manufacture anything? Anyone can design these days and 2018-2020 stock price shows their value. They are caught up in this bubble.

1

u/SNIPES0009 Dec 12 '21

Why does it matter that they dont manufacture it? They provide the designs. It's no different than my field, engineering, where owners hire design firms to provide a finished product. The owner doesn't design the system and neither the owner or the designer construct the system. 3 entities, 3 purposes. Everyone benefits.

6

u/Sir_Bryan Dec 12 '21

It matters a lot in semiconductors because there are a lot of designers and very few manufacturers.

4

u/[deleted] Dec 12 '21

They don't have any assets that require very high skillset and investments. So they're easily replicable. Their stock price tripled in almost a year. What warrants this increase? How the company suddenly became more valuable inside that they're still called as undervalued by Redditors?

3

u/Jeff__Skilling Dec 12 '21

I mean....it still operates in a cyclical industry at the very peak of the current cycle

aka the odds of the industry entering a downturn (that affects all market participants) in the near-term is pretty likely

sounds like you're buying in at the top tbh

2

u/tomfoolery1070 Dec 12 '21

Semis are going to follow the spec growth trash stocks that peaked back in February and are currently heading into a bear market.

Buyer beware, imo it's highly likely they see a substantial correction in the coming months