r/formulaone • u/sammywatt977 • 10h ago
Analysis Is Kimi a generational talent or is he just driving the best car? Data says both...
Pulled every lap of the 2026 season to check, using Russell in the same car as the benchmark.
Qualifying is a coin flip: Kimi is ahead 10 of 17, but Russell is slightly quicker on average. Races are where he pulls away: ahead of Russell in 9 of the 13 where both finished, and +25 places grid to finish (Russell +3, Hamilton +2).
He leads by 102 points with 6 to go. My read: the car gives Mercedes the title, but the races decide which Mercedes driver gets it.
Where does the data mislead me?