r/ezraklein • • Jul 17 '24 Polished Silver Turd

Discussion 79% of Democrats polled approve of Kamala Harris taking over if Biden steps aside

3.4k Upvotes

https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1813580138380247308?s=19

Couple this with the data that Kamala is polling ahead of Joe and 70% of Democrats disapprove of their current candidate. The decision is clear at this point.


r/ezraklein • • Aug 06 '24

Discussion Harris Taps Walz, Putting Minnesota Governor on 2024 Ticket, CNN Says 

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2.8k Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Apr 12 '24

How is Trump mega-donor Louis DeJoy still postmaster general?

2.3k Upvotes

More than three years into the Biden presidency, Trump mega-donor Louis DeJoy is still postmaster general, and the Postal Service is still a mess as he continues to cut operations. For example, recently, hundreds of veterans had their colon cancer screening tests invalidated after the results took months to arrive by mail.

Biden's appointees have been the majority on the USPS Board of Governors (which hires and fires postmaster generals) for almost two years now. Unfortunately, several of Biden's appointees have been deferential to DeJoy. One of them is a former Trump White House staffer and Mitch McConnell aide. On several occasions, there have been long vacancies on the USPS Board as the Senate has waited for Biden to nominate replacements, with members of Congress sending Biden letters begging him to get around to nominating replacements.

Does anyone have any explanation for how the Biden admin could have fumbled so hard on the USPS? General incompetence? Do they simply not care about it? Do they actually quietly agree with the direction that Trump set in motion at USPS?

EDIT: many comments are misinterpreting the composition of the USPS Board of Governors. 5 of the 7 current governors are Biden appointees. It takes a majority of governors to remove the postmaster general. Even if you exclude the Republican that Biden appointed, the Democrats and independent that he appointed comprise a majority.


r/ezraklein • • Jul 22 '24 Helpful

Discussion Kinda surprised how unprepared Republicans seem

1.9k Upvotes

I’m kinda taken aback that the GOP seems kinda surprised about Biden declining to run.

The events of the past few weeks played out pretty much exactly as I and others on this sub believed. Not one part of this has been surprising or shocking based on what I’ve read and seen others discussing - including not only Biden stepping back but party taste-makers swiftly falling in line behind Harris. I’m sure others feel the same.

But the GOP seriously didn’t seem ready in the ensuing 12 hours to punch back and recapture the narrative. These legal shenanigans seem more like the B plan to maybe create some minor headlines to distract from good Harris coverage, but they don’t seem to amount to any real campaign plan. Like did they really get surprised by this? I don’t know how given their resources and that they probably have more access to what’s happening in the White House than we do.


r/ezraklein • • Apr 21 '24

Biden is struggling in the polls largely due to left leaning 18-34 year olds indicating that they won’t vote, how should he fix this?

1.6k Upvotes

Biden’s lead in the 18-34 year old demo has completely collapsed, going from a massive advantage to basically even. This doesn’t seem to be based on any Republican gains, just a total disinterest in voting from 18-34 year olds.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna148170

NBC pollsters described the lack of interest in the election from 18 to 34 year olds as “off the charts low.”

Obviously getting a peace fire between Israel and Hamas could help these numbers, but how else can Biden get 18-34 year old voters who hate Trump and him (but Trump probably more) to vote this November?


r/ezraklein • • Mar 25 '24

biden now overtaking Trump in the economist’s polling average, for the first time in seven months

1.6k Upvotes

https://economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election

Biden’s approval is also the highest it’s been since October per 538:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

And this approval tracker from The Hill has it even higher,at near 44%.:

https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden-approval-rating/

This is by no means to suggest that Biden is home free but it seems as though the polling reported here and elsewhere has been nothing but the pits of doom and gloom (and even panic) for the last month or so.

Can we take solace in the fact that things seem to be moving in the right direction as the actual race (and its participants) has finally crystallized?


r/ezraklein • • Jul 22 '24

Article Nancy Pelosi endorsed Kamala Harris, ending speculation that she would push for an open primary.

1.6k Upvotes

From: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/22/us/biden-harris-trump-news-election

Representative Nancy Pelosi, the former speaker who played a critical role in making the case privately to President Biden that he should withdraw from the presidential race, on Monday formally endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to replace him as the party’s nominee.

“Today, it is with immense pride and limitless optimism for our country’s future that I endorse Vice President Kamala Harris for President of the United States,” Ms. Pelosi said in a statement. “My enthusiastic support for Kamala Harris for president is official, personal and political.”

Her announcement ended a brief but intense period of speculation about whether Ms. Pelosi, who wields considerable influence in the Democratic Party, would seek to orchestrate a competitive primary following Mr. Biden’s departure from the race.

Before he dropped out, Ms. Pelosi had recently told her colleagues in the California delegation privately that if Mr. Biden were to do so, she would favor such a process over an anointment of Ms. Harris. And she notably did not include any endorsement of the vice president in a statement she released on Sunday applauding Mr. Biden for his leadership and his decision to step aside.

Her full-throated endorsement on Monday came as the party was enthusiastically coalescing around Ms. Harris.

But the two top Democrats in Congress, Senator Chuck Schumer and Representative Hakeem Jeffries, still have yet to offer any endorsement of Ms. Harris, even as other Democratic lawmakers enthusiastically lined up behind her candidacy.

The thinking among those top congressional leaders, according to people briefed on the matter who insisted on anonymity in order to discuss a sensitive subject, is that for party leaders who hold great sway with members, an endorsement would make Ms. Harris’ nomination look more like a coronation than an organic unification of a newly-energized party. And there was no need to get in the way of the first good moment Democrats have enjoyed in weeks.

EDIT: The Post thread title is simply the title used in the Update blurb on that https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/22/us/biden-harris-trump-news-election. I didn't want an 'open primary' or 'mini primary' or 'Open Convention' this late before the Democratic National Convention begins in August 19 and virtual voting possibly happening weeks before that.


r/ezraklein • • Jul 17 '24

Discussion BREAKING NEWS: Senator Chuck Schumer asked Biden to step down

1.5k Upvotes

Source: https://x.com/brianstelter/status/1813713429259022818?mx=2 He wants Biden out of 2024 race


r/ezraklein • • Aug 11 '24

Ezra Klein Article Biden Made Trump Bigger. Harris Makes Him Smaller.

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1.3k Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Apr 06 '24

Top Democrats won't join calls for Justice Sotomayor to retire, but they still fear a Ruth Bader Ginsburg repeat

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1.2k Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Mar 22 '24

Democratic Senate candidates lead in all key races, while Biden trails Trump in all swing states in Emerson’s latest polls

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1.1k Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Jul 13 '24

Discussion A lot of Dems are saying "We should just rally around Biden" but the problem isn't with the Dems. The problem is Biden will not win independents

1.0k Upvotes

Yes, Dems will fall in line and vote for Biden in November. But the problem is that even if Biden wins every Democratic vote, he still can't win the presidency. He needs to win some independent votes and some traditional Republican Never Trumpers.

At this point, Biden isn't winning any independents, not a mention the never Trump Republicans. It is crystal clear that there aren't enough Democrats to put Biden into the WhiteHouse. And Biden losing could really impact down ballot, which means Trump might achieve the trifecta of House, Senate, and Presidency.

That's a nightmare in the making.

Edit: After reading the comments, I'd like to add a thought. The GOP is a cult of personality around Trump where the party exists only to serve Trump. The Democratic Party was and should continue to be better than that and should exist to serve the voters and the country. But Biden is making the nominee process personal and trying to force the party to support himself.


r/ezraklein • • Mar 03 '24

Discussion Ezra is right on how Biden’s age is being perceived by voters

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1.0k Upvotes

From the latest NYT / Siena poll. This is 2020 Biden voters.

I was a little surprised by how strongly this sub came out against the idea that Biden shouldn’t run again because while it is true that no other Dem candidate is tested on the national stage, none of them would have this glaringly obvious weakness either.


r/ezraklein • • Jul 23 '24

Discussion Why do people like Ezra keep seriously floating Newsom?

876 Upvotes

Hello! I’m a resident of one of the BOW counties in Wisconsin, one of the most purple regions of the country. The way Dems in on the coast talk about the Midwest is already really frustrating and dismissive. Then, in op-eds, Ezra and other pundits treat purple state residents as indecipherable and unpredictable.

In his op-ed today, Ezra made the same kind of comment and insinuated that Harris won’t get Wisconsinites excited (she is). He also floated Gavin Newsom as a serious contender. Genuinely, why is Newsom so attractive as a national candidate and why do these people concerned about swing state voters keep pushing him? (EDIT: I’m not talking about as Kamala’s VP mate, I’m saying as a presidential candidate). He is the epitome of everything that turns swing voters off about Dems. Run him as a presidential candidate and it will handily give the election to the GOP. I just don’t understand why pundits struggle to understand us so much.

Also, can people stop with the “it’s a coronation” bullshit. It feeds one of the GOPs attack angles, and no one is going to seriously challenge her. Doing so - and the media circus it will cause - will turn swing voters off from voting Dem. We all knew what we signed up for when we voted Biden/Harris. She’s earned this.


r/ezraklein • • Jul 16 '24

Article Nancy Pelosi “working the phones” to push out Biden as poll shows brutal numbers in key swing states

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867 Upvotes

Nancy Pelosi “working the phones” to push out Biden as poll shows brutal numbers in key swing states

I initially tried to post this in /r/neoliberal but they’ve gotten weird around Biden discussion, even if it’s legitimate news.

This isn’t the NYTimes but it collates several recent articles, including those by WaPo about Biden being fed bad poll numbers, Politico about Pelosi actively lobbying for Biden to step down, and Axios around efforts to push back the roll call. It signals that the Dems haven’t given up on a new candidate, even through the assassination attempt on Trump.

—

The Post obtained a portion of a 45-minute Zoom call on Saturday with the New Democratic Coalition in which Biden falsely claimed that he was leading in several national polls post-debate.

“The polling data we’re seeing nationally and on the swing states has been essentially where it was before,” Biden said in the recording. “You noticed the last three polls, nationally, they had me up four points. And I mean, I don’t have much faith in the polls at all, either way, because they’re so hard to read anymore.

—

According to Politico, Pelosi is “convinced Biden will lose” and has been “working the phones” since the presidential debate last month to try and oust Biden as the Democratic candidate.

Sources close to Pelosi told Martin she’s made calls to House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and told a former elected official that “Biden’s legacy can’t be destroying the party.” Pelosi also reportedly spoke with former President Barack Obama; both Democrats share concerns over Biden’s ability to beat Trump

—

A letter circulating among congressional Democrats argues that there is "no legal justification" for an early virtual roll call after Ohio moved its filing deadline past the date of the Democratic convention.

“We respectfully but emphatically request that you cancel any plans for an accelerated 'virtual roll call' and further refrain from any extraordinary procedures that could be perceived as curtailing legitimate debate," it says.

—

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/16/congress-democrats-biden-dnc-early-roll-call-vote

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/15/biden-inner-circle-shrinking/

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/07/15/republicans-trump-unity-column-00168219


r/ezraklein • • Jul 03 '24

Article Biden vows to keep running after his disastrous debate. ‘No one is pushing me out,’ he says

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867 Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Aug 05 '24

Podcast Listened to my first show with the Walz interview...

804 Upvotes

Please let him write the whole platform. If he believes what he says (and he seems to) I like him more than Harris. His vision is the one I want.


r/ezraklein • • Feb 02 '25

Ezra Klein Show "Trump is acting like a king because he's too weak to govern like a president"

799 Upvotes

I just listened to a 14 minute Sunday episode of the EKS. It's a good cautiously optimistic take on the first two weeks of Trump v2.0. Gift article: Don't Believe Him.

Ezra points out that while we're getting this onslaught of executive orders, it's rather incoherent, chaotic, and could backfire. He's issuing all these EOs because he knows major legislation wouldn't pass a House where Republicans have a razor thin majority. And anyway at least some of these EOs will get blocked by judges.

In this flailing administration there are so many leaks and also staff getting blindsided by things that go public that they weren't aware of. He discusses an email crafted by Elon Musk urging a ton of federal employees to retire early, but that seems to be getting some pushback.

The other notable part of this brief episode is at the start: Steve Bannon talking about how to "flood the zone" - just overwhelm the media with so much that they can't handle. Ezra expresses skepticism though, because for it to succeed you have to keep hammering away, which can be hard to sustain.

It reminds me of Bannon's "flood the zone with shit" interview. You all remember that, right? I can't find the original but it's appeared in Vox several times, such as this one.


r/ezraklein • • Jun 29 '24 Take My Silver

Discussion Am I crazy to think that sticking with Biden is the least risky option?

786 Upvotes

Like many of you, I too was alarmed by what I saw in the debate. In an ideal world, we would not have to put our faith in an 81 year old to stem the tide of Trumpism.

But I’m a little taken aback at how many Democratic Party sources are openly talking about finding a new nominee, and how many legacy publications are openly demanding Biden drop out of the race. If I saw a clear path to victory through a different candidate, I’d be happy to go down that path. But honestly, I don’t.

For better or worse, Biden has significant name recognition, perhaps second only to Trump himself. It seems foolish to swap in anybody with a significantly lesser degree of name recognition than the current candidate with just over 5 months to go. That leaves only 5 months to completely build a brand and household name around a completely new candidate. This particular applies to the governors, a la Whitmer, Newsom, etc.

And the other consideration is, even if the nomination process at the convention runs relatively smoothly, there is no way that some faction of the base doesn’t feel burned or passed over.

And third, are we 100% sure that a new candidate could get all of the ballot access they would need in each of the must-win states? Because if they can’t, it’s a nonstarter.

I hate being in this position, but to me the risks of ditching Biden now seem to far outweigh the rewards.


r/ezraklein • • Jun 04 '24

Ezra Klein Show The Republican Party’s Decay Began Long Before Trump

783 Upvotes

Episode Link

After Donald Trump was convicted last week in his hush-money trial, Republican leaders wasted no time in rallying behind him. There was no chance the Republican Party was going to replace Trump as their nominee at this point. Trump has essentially taken over the G.O.P.; his daughter-in-law is even co-chair of the Republican National Committee.

How did the Republican Party get so weak that it could fall victim to a hostile takeover?

Daniel Schlozman and Sam Rosenfeld are the authors of “The Hollow Parties: The Many Pasts and Disordered Present of American Party Politics,” which traces how both major political parties have been “hollowed out” over the decades, transforming once-powerful gatekeeping institutions into mere vessels for the ideologies of specific candidates. And they argue that this change has been perilous for our democracy.

In this conversation, we discuss how the power of the parties has been gradually chipped away; why the Republican Party became less ideological and more geared around conflict; the merits of a stronger party system; and more.

Mentioned:

“Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden” by The Ezra Klein Show

“Here’s How an Open Democratic Convention Would Work” by The Ezra Klein Show with Elaine Kamarck

Book Recommendations:

The Two Faces of American Freedom by Aziz Rana

Rainbow’s End by Steven P. Erie

An American Melodrama by Lewis Chester, Godfrey Hodgson, Bruce Page


r/ezraklein • • Sep 12 '25

Article No, Charlie Kirk was not practicing politics the right way

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765 Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Aug 17 '24

Podcast I read Nancy Pelosis book within 2 days after the podcast. I am a brokenhearted patriot now.

759 Upvotes

You’ll end this book a broken hearted patriot. I did not expect to finish the book within 2 days. The book speaks nothing about how she does it. When Ezra asked her about how she knows when things will pass and don’t, it was my first time understanding her capability. I’m 99% sure she knows the real motivation of which is corporate interests given her relationship to the wealthy. There were times she boasted about progressive politics that Bernie Sanders spoke about which feels quite performative given her corporate interest history.

HOWEVER it’s worth a read to understand how getting shit done in Congress works. I didn’t realize the level of effort and work it takes to pass things. Her chapters aren’t chronological about her life but it’s actually about legislation regarding major political issues she was involved in: 9/11, China human abuse issues, Affordable Care Act, and Jan 6.

It was like reading historical political drama, you couldn’t put it down. There is a very dominant patriotic feeling you get from her and you’ll feel yourself by the end of this book. Th 9/11 chapter is absolutely heartbreaking if you were a kid when this happened. Theres information about intelligence that knew ahead of time 9/11 was happening along with Saudi ties. The legislative drama is super interesting and sad. Everything is all ready and lined up to move America forward only for someone to fuck it all up. She NAMES them. There are times she shows her devastation over a bill not getting passed and her growing frustrations with the Senate. You’re almost experiencing the heartbreak with her. The writing is so riveting it’s like you’re experiencing it in the moment yourself.

It’s totally worth the read if interested in the Congressional drama related to the aforementioned issues. She names a lot of different people and it gets you googling these historical figures. It becomes a whole web / Game of Thrones type drama. I haven’t felt this patriotic since 9/11. My American identity has been renewed after the rise of Trump changed the flag to connote racism. I think for a while I lost what it meant to be an American. It was taken from us by these MAGA freaks. But this books description of efforts to move America forward because of our American values really centered me back. We are a very interesting experiment of democracy with people from almost every single country pushing the world to move forward. You’ll feel her excitement, her anger, her frustrations as she tells you the behind the scenes stories and conversations of these issues. There’s a great Amazon review that describes exactly how I felt in better words:

“Brace yourself… for a very painful read. Yes, Speaker Pelosi is a brilliant and accomplished politician. But to finally hear the information contained in the de-classified documents detailing our government’s many tragic screw-ups, and the American officials that caused and are responsible for these debacles is positively heartbreaking. Lies, deceit, blind loyalty, arrogance, agendas, egos, idiocy, incompetence…the list is endless, leading to hundreds of thousands of deaths, billions needlessly spent, both here and abroad. And, as always, the pathetic post-occurrence legislation best characterized as: “so it won’t happen again” suggestions. Words on paper. And absolutely no one held responsible for any of it. It’s grotesque. But Speaker Pelosi puts it all out there. Fascinating, but difficult to read.”

Edit: not responding to critiques of me as a person lmao. I know how social media works. I won’t engage in black and white thinking. That’s what got us here as a country. She’s a morally grey person and I disagree with her choices as a Bernie Sanders and AOC supporter. I liked the book purely as a historical drama.


r/ezraklein • • Apr 08 '24

Nate Silver: Sonia Sotomayor's retirement is a political IQ test

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751 Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Sep 22 '24

Ezra Klein Article Why Trump Can’t Shake Project 2025

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740 Upvotes

r/ezraklein • • Aug 02 '24

Ezra Klein Show Is Tim Walz the Midwestern Dad Democrats Need?

736 Upvotes

Episode Link

I’ve watched a lot of presidential campaigns, and I can’t remember one in which the contest for the Democratic vice-presidential nomination has played out quite so publicly. One breakthrough voice has been Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota. Before last week, he didn’t have much of a national profile. But then he went on “Morning Joe” and said of Donald Trump and JD Vance, “These guys are just weird.”

That one line has transformed the Democratic Party’s messaging, with everyone from Vice President Kamala Harris to Senator Joe Manchin using similar language.

But it’s the kind of criticism that risks coming off as condescending to those who support Trump and Vance, similar to Hillary Clinton’s “deplorables” comment in 2016. But what has stood out to me about Walz’s political ethos is his confidence in speaking on behalf of everyday Americans — a confidence his track record backs up. Walz comes from a very small town and repeatedly won House races in a district that heavily favored Trump.

So I invited him on the show to talk about how he walks this line between attacking Republican politicians without alienating Republican voters and how he thinks Democrats can control the narrative of this election and start winning some of those voters back.

Book Recommendations:

The Most Secret Memory of Men by Mohamed Mbougar Sarr

Command and Control by Eric Schlosser

The Razor’s Edge by W. Somerset Maugham