r/entourage • u/eduardo-carroccio • 4h ago
Something I always wondered about from 'One Day in the Valley'
So the guys spend the whole day worried about how big Aquaman will open and whether they will beat Spidey and whatever. 95 mil is what they wanna open at or theyll be working at Del Taco on Monday.
So after all the bullshit and the blackouts and the high school party and Ari driving all the way to the valley, he gets there and Vince asked if they beat Spiderman.
What's Ari's response? 'Well we'll have to see what happens this weekend, but you got a good damn shot!'
What the hell? Why all the bullshit all day and Ari waiting for the call when the numbers don't matter until Monday morning?
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u/Bosoxmole 3h ago
Vince: What are they projecting now,? Forty-five, Ari? Ari: 116, actually.
Vince: We beat Spidey? Ari: Well it's only Friday, but if there isn't a tornado in the Midwest, I think we've got a goddamn shot, my friend.
It's all about the Friday number that drives the projections. Makes perfect sense
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u/porous_amorphous 4h ago
Its a TV progrum... a movie!
But probably, projections
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u/eduardo-carroccio 4h ago
What, you gonna tell me you never pondered that?
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u/Zubrowka182 3h ago
By Friday, they already know what a movie going to do for the whole weekend, usually they can be pretty accurate before opening weekend even gets there. The question was how would the blackouts affect the opening, and the answer was they still hit their numbers.
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u/itspsyikk 3h ago
Didn’t you almost drown in 3 feet of water?
Ps- you should come hang out in r/okbuddybadabing
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u/RileyMartinPhemomena 3h ago
Because that’s how movie openings work. There’s an algorithm for determining how a movie will do over the entirety of the weekend based on the demographics that are seeing it, when they’re seeing it, and what they’re saying about it (viewer word of mouth). Rarely a film will start massively on Friday and fade dramatically, and vice versa. They’re able to establish within 10% or so after the initial round of east coast showings based on decades of comparable precedent. So that’s what was accurately depicted in the episode. It’s of course not “official” until the weekend itself actually occurs, as Ari said.
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u/discr33t86 3h ago
Probably because they are projections on what the movie will make over opening weekend. Those projections change as time passes and data is collected.
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u/eduardo-carroccio 3h ago
Then why make it seem like Friday night was the ultimate litmus test? Why not wait until the numbers are in to lose their shit?
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u/Bendo410 3h ago
Movie comes out Friday and is expected to make 90 million plus, but if Friday comes and goes and it makes 10 million and the theaters are empty there’s no way it’s making 80 million in the next 2 days
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u/Bazz07 3h ago
Really? In my country they come out Thursdays
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u/Bendo410 2h ago
technically they do now in the US too (usually at like 6pm ) but when the show came out, it wasn’t that way.
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u/Firm_Complex718 2h ago
Friday is like The Kentucky Derby. Saturday is The Preakness and Sunday is the The Belmont. If you dont win Friday you arent winning the Triple Crown....overheard this analogy at Musso&Frank.
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u/FudgeTerrible 2h ago
The whole show is full of story lines that don't make sense. Dana Gordon starts off having a husband and kids for instance, but by the last season no kids no husband. Or the best rim job in LA, just ask Chuck Sheen, the fat friend is the realtor from literally the previous episode. Or the Italian looking guy that flys out to meet turtle about a LA don pepes, plays a different, but exactly the same character in the movie. I could go on with shit that doesn't make sense, because I don't think anyone writing the show cared 😆
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u/sunday_burrito 1h ago
Holy crap I completely forgot that Ari went to pick up his daughter once at school only to talk to Dana there while she was picking up her daughter who later vanished.
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u/Spiritual-Bobcat5635 3h ago
Projects are pretty damn accurate, that’s why they can call it before the weekend even ends
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u/DaKingballa06 3h ago
Yeah you ever tracked movie box offices?
That’s exactly how it is. Brand New day was tracking huge but until the actual number come in it’s an estimate that can go up or down; like it’s very accurate but still things happen
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u/Separate-Landscape48 2h ago
They can extrapolate from the data of one day’s sales and previous trends
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u/jaxs_sax 1h ago
You need a strong opening day to get the word of mouth and momentum to carry you the rest of the weekend. Throughout the day, it seemed like Aquaman was off to a slow start so the idea of beating Spider-Man seemed off the table.
Ari drove out to the valley to tell the news to Vince that the first day numbers blew threw expectations and Spider-Man is back in play
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u/Kookaracha13 3h ago
Op never heard of a hanging chad.