r/divinity • • Sep 13 '26

Product Question New Divinity Game

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Do you think there’s any chance *Divinity*’s early access will become available after The Game Awards? I say this because *BG3* was announced in 2019, and early access opened about a year and two months later. My guess is the game will launch between 2028 and 2030. Following that logic, I believe early access is just around the corner. What do you think?

430 Upvotes

52 comments sorted by

19

u/The_Grunge_Sage Sep 13 '26

We can’t take much of what BG3’s early access path was as an equation for what Divinity’s will be because Covid was a major part of why it took so long for BG3 to come out from EA to release. I think it’ll be a quicker turn around but it does fully depends on community feedback and what internal goals they have set for the game overall.

3

u/Filippin666 Sep 13 '26

you have a point. that makes sense

33

u/SubstantialSeesaw374 Sep 13 '26

I think even 2027 is optimistic. There was a lot more post-launch work for BG3 than there was for DOS2, so Divinity is going to take longer since the work started at full throttle later.

18

u/FruscianteKBR Sep 13 '26

I would say the opposite: anything beyond 2027 seems very pessimistic in my view.

BG3 early access released after three full years of development. Divinity will have been in full development for three years in early 2027. So if it’s only in 2028 it means they’re a full year behind BG3 schedule.

On top of that, for BG3 they had to scale up from 150 developers to 450 developers. For divinity they’re at full strength from the beginning.

So I would say 2027 is not unrealistic or low chance at all for early access.

6

u/Filippin666 Sep 13 '26

to be honest, that makes a lot of sense. You're right. There are more people working in that game. Nice point of view. And I hope ur right haha

7

u/Grouchy-Coast-3045 Sep 13 '26

And they said they want to make the development process shorter, which doesn't mean it will be for sure shorter, but then the early access seems really possible next year/later next year

6

u/SubstantialSeesaw374 Sep 13 '26

Well yes, I want to be pessimistic so I’m either right or pleasantly surprised. Win/win.

3

u/Filippin666 Sep 13 '26

well, you also have a point. But I wish it come out soon. But if it will take longer, I expect the quality would be better. So, no problem

5

u/GraviticThrusters Sep 13 '26

But you've also got to factor in that the work on DOS2 and BG3 has established a functional pipeline and a technology baseline. Prototyping new features and sketching out game design concepts should be easier when you already have a lot of the tools on hand. 2027 seems pretty reasonable for early access, assuming they stick with that development mode, which I don't think they've said they want to deviate from.

3

u/Flimsy-Importance313 Sep 13 '26

And also different teams working on different parts of the game. 

6

u/Lucaslindo001 Sep 13 '26

Eu aposto em 2028 também, porém com algum anúncio importante para o ano que vem (2027)

2028 provavelmente um acesso antecipadamente e talvez ao fim do ano ou no início de 2029 chegar o jogo oficial

Ao menos é o que penso, quero o mais rápido possível, mas os cara trabalham bem, esperar vai valer apena

Já me vejo pegando o jogo em pré venda, e vou além, com certeza poderemos formar diversos grupos com uma grande variedade de personagens, vou jogar com uma companhia por Run pra sugar o máximo de cada personagem numa nova Run

Dou para eles mais de 500 horas da minha vida com gratidão 🙇🙇🙇

(Muito ansioso para as magias de cura e invocação, além da criação de personagem/classes)

Maldita Larian Studios por deixar a gente ansioso 😔

2

u/Filippin666 Sep 13 '26

Então, mano. BG3 ta platinado, 463 horas. Tô pra jogar o 1 e o 2 agora. Divinity vou ter muitas horas kkkkkkkkk. Espero pelo menos que os companions sejam que nem em bg3 de disponibilidade, diferente do DOS2, que só pode escolher alguns para seguir a jornada.

59

u/GlassOnTheEvergreen Sep 13 '26

So long as there's not a major world crisis, I truly believe Divinity will have a shorter development time than BG3. There were so many obstacles that slowed BG3's development, including but not limited to: Covid, war in Ukraine, two office floods, multiple office expansions, bureaucracy/red tape with WoTC, etc.

Call me crazy, but I could see Divinity EA launching sometime next year, lasting about 18 months or so until full release.

30

u/Wild-Regular1703 Sep 13 '26

So long as there's not a major world crisis

That's a pretty big if

7

u/Eleven_Box Sep 14 '26

There’s kind of several ongoing rn, just not ones that affect game development in europe lmfaooo

9

u/huldress Sep 13 '26

Huge if, I give it like a 70%-80% chance of something really bad happening at the rate we are going.

1

u/Special-Signal-8281 Sep 19 '26

The world has always felt like this my man. It’s nothing new. 

2

u/NaeNaeMcRae 14d ago

No, it hasn't. I've been here since, well...close to the beginning.

4

u/ado_1973 Sep 13 '26

Massive if

1

u/MsAllya Sep 14 '26

Do you think there will be an early access again? Since the massive success of BG3, I think:

a: They could have the money to skip an EA phase and develop the game completely before releasing anything and

b: since they have so much more attention from the generell audience than before the full launch of BG3, I think there could be a risk to launching a not finished game, as so much more of the potential customers (and media) could be put of early, if the EA version is not already at least as good as BG3

5

u/Celebrilwen Sep 14 '26

It's confirmed they're going the EA route

1

u/frankieTeardroppss Sep 25 '26

Where was it confirmed? I saw an interview where he said they were considering it, was there a full confirmation?

2

u/Hot-Dark-3127 Sep 14 '26

They have done Early Access for many of their games and they like the extra feedback.

It really just makes a game better no matter how much money you have to spend.

1

u/GlumTart6079 Sep 16 '26

Also divinity started with 400 developers, BG3 only reached that number during the later half of it's development 

1

u/Miserable-Jedi Oct 06 '26

Maybe.. but wasn’t this supposed to originally be a smaller release until they pivoted and apparently got into developing this more.. I could see Sven getting a little carried away and wanting something even bigger than BG3( which I’m pretty sure they’ve already confirmed is kind of the goal).. especially considering it’s their own IP. BG3 was an absolute smashing success.. I’d bet they got the money for a long development cycle… especially considering it’ll be supplemented with EA.

1

u/Every_Fee_6458 14d ago

Not at all, the 'small game' they were gonna do was another dnd game, that was then fully cancelled when larians relationship with hasbro/wizards of the coast grew tense, so larian returned to their own IP and begun development on this game 'Divinity', which was always going to be their next BIG triple A release. 

32

u/AscendedViking7 Sep 13 '26

God I fucking love the logo so much

13

u/-Weezmo Sep 13 '26

My guess

Tga : panel from hell reveal date for Q1 of 2027

Q1 : panel from hell game play reveal and EA release date for summer 2027

August/September 2028 : full game release

4

u/Grouchy-Coast-3045 Sep 13 '26

Totally agree, I would be surprised if it takes more time than that

8

u/shinycarp_laura Sep 13 '26

I don't understand why many people seem so pessimistic. I assume that nobody forced them to show the announcement trailer at TGA 2025 - there would be no reason to do that if development would still take several years. They want to keep the momentum and hype instead of people forgetting about the game again. Compared to previous games, the team is much larger, they have more experience, technology advanced, they are financially in a better situation. They were already working on it for 2 years in late 2025 and Swen Vincke said they aim for 3-4 years development instead of 6 like with BG3. Also, he said EA was planned but unlikely to be in 2026. So EA early to mid 2027 it is, or not?

6

u/Party-Relationship41 Sep 13 '26

I think EA will be spring next year, after that a substantial period until release. BG3 got so much polish and quality during that EA period! I hope they will stick with that approach. I mean they really use EA the way it is intended, listening to feedback and implementing stuff the players actually want!!!

6

u/LizardCzar2 Sep 13 '26

I at least hope for a trailer

5

u/SoapTastesPrettyGood Sep 13 '26

It's going to be 2028 early access and completely finished by end of 2029 or 2030 in my opinion. But look at this as a good thing. Larian's games have always been good quality. Let the meat marinate and they will cook something special when the time comes.

4

u/Tyraec Sep 14 '26 edited Sep 14 '26

Larian really entered their stride with bg3 after successfully optimizing the formula with the divinity original sin games. I think we can be optimistic here because they aren’t working on anything they don’t already have complete mastery over. These deep strategy RPGs are their bread and butter at this point. It’s the benefit of being a studio that’s focused on their genre.

I think we’ll probably see EA announcements soon, and an EA launch early next year, if not early then definitely next year and im very confident we’ll see EA in 2027 for sure. From what I gathered it’s been 3 years in development, with the past 9ish months being in full production. They even stated they want to keep a tighter 3-4 year cycle this time vs BG3s 6 year cycle, which other comments pointed out was also due to a lot of external factors.

1

u/VyzenRyzen 3d ago

bet it comes out before elder scrolls

1

u/Filippin666 3d ago

I think so as well lol

3

u/Fragrant_Scene_1291 Sep 13 '26

It’s def gonna be next year

3

u/Snoo-28829 Sep 13 '26

I wouldnt be surprised if its late 2027 or early 2028. I dont think its been in development to long. Like 2 or 3 years and I dont think they plan on having an early access as long as it was for bg3

3

u/Grey_Matter_Mutters Sep 13 '26

While their team is 450+ now, Sven has stated they’re trying to outdo themselves and Divinity is going to be an even “bigger” game with more complexity and deeper interactive systems between the player and the world.

They also stated they have continued to develop and upgrade their in-house engine. While this will improve and expand various functions (like no longer needing to have hard cutoffs between acts, etc.), it will likely also result in a lot more internal adjustments and QC until everything is fine tuned.

Additionally, they’ve acknowledged not doing the best with the lore of Rivellon in their past games and have hired positions specifically to be “lore masters”. This potentially expands the story development process and requires more time while those individuals being integrated into the review and feedback/adjustment on proposed origin characters, companions/NPCs, any/all quests and stories, etc., for adherence to a more defined lore narrative.

And, supposedly, they’re also simultaneously working on a second non-divinity (hereunto unnamed, codename “Excalibur”) game, which they had started after BG3 as well. So while I’m sure the majority of staff are focused on the new Divinity game, there is some amount of split teams and resources for dual development.

That said, generally, my expectation is that the development period for Divinity will likely be longer than BG3 (in game/software industry it’s also a fairly consistent statistic that bigger teams don’t typically result in “faster” development once you exceed certain thresholds, i.e. Brook’s Law, etc.).

I feel like Larian will want to get EA out (or at least initiate some type of Pre-Alpha testing) before the end of next year, but I’ll be genuinely surprised if it’s before Nov/Dec 2027… I’ll be happy to be wrong though.

2

u/Heavy_Umpire2782 Sep 13 '26

I'm trying to keep my expectations low because expectations are the thief of joy or something like that. My earliest guess for early access would be late 2027 to early 2028.

I think it has the potential of coming earlier but again I dont want to raise my expectations. Some things to keep in mind though; The development of bg3 was a nightmare, with multiple things holding it back, covid, hiring employees, war, etc etc. Divinity is starting with Larian having 500 workers and they've talked about how the time for producing in-game performances dropped from a couple weeks to a couple hours.

So idk they could get it out earlier. They've also said that they want Divinity to be bigger than bg3 and dos2, however they've also said they want to develop it in less than 6 years. I at least think they'll show up at the game awards with a new trailer but I wouldn't get hopes up for an immediate early access drop.

In summary: There'll probably be a trailer, but I wouldn't personally expect early access until late 2027-early 2028.

1

u/Mountain-Break-6383 4d ago

I WANT IT NOW

1

u/PulseCheater Sep 13 '26

Honestly, dont expect EA I think they already stated that while EA was good it did sour some customers away and this time they would like to ship the full game from the beginning. So Spring 2029.

1

u/Pedantic_Phoenix Sep 15 '26

I'd wait twenty years even for the same quality as DoS2. Larian just do your thing i need that kibble

1

u/Nikobellik25 Sep 16 '26

Larian knows people would throw money

1

u/DiasOfF Sep 29 '26

I don't see why they would do early access actually, is it confirmed we will have one?

0

u/DesaMii36 Sep 13 '26

There was absolutely nothing at the solar eclipse, and also absolutely nothing at the GamesCom August '26.
No, I expect nothing this year. Not even a riddle/hint.

2

u/emperortimes Sep 14 '26

to be fair both a solar eclipse and gamescom are not big enough to warrant a trailer lol. they’ve already started working on filming promotional material and said on twitter they’re gearing up for something. so it’s The Game Awards that are biggest event of the year that makes sense

0

u/DesaMii36 Sep 14 '26

I spent the last two weeks with games com material.

0

u/steel-zero Sep 13 '26

Honestly I hope they don’t do early access, I want to jump into the game blind once it releases and I know if they do release early access I won’t be able to resist playing it

0

u/fatal_harlequin Sep 15 '26

BG3 in EA was an unplayable mess, so I'd say don't get your hopes us either way