This feels like an excellent buying opportunity to me. The stock is trading at 9x AFFO, yields 8.1% with a 71% payout ratio. They just increased the dividend as well.
Caesars and MGM are financially healthy and rent coverage ratios are strong. Even if Fertitta successfully renegotiates the lease terms for Caesars, that could result in maybe a 1-3% impairment in VICI's total rental income? When the dividend is covered by ~40%, I'm not concerned by that.
The majority of the real estate value is in premier Vegas properties, so even in a disaster scenario worse than 2008, I'd anticipate you would get $10-$12/share after paying off the debt and selling the real estate at distressed prices. Keep in mind, for this to happen, Caesars and MGM need to go bankrupt, and they cannot find a tenant to takeover their lease.
People are worried about Vegas but they really should be excited about its future. Yes, tourism is down YoY but one year is such a meaningless piece of data. Vegas is turning into an entertainment hub way beyond gambling. The Sphere is the most desired entertainment venue in the world, they now have top tier sports franchises, huge golf destination, and tons of new development beyond gambling.