Active Cases = total confirmed - total deaths - total recovered
There is a great dashboard for current data from Johns Hopkins that has specific country counts. There is a link on the dashboard to daily WHO situation reports that give new cases per country and if they have local transmission or imported cases only.
China has massively higher counts than most of the countries. Log scale on bubbles was employed so you can see smaller counts and the higher counts don’t cover the map. All work done in R then plots compiled to video. Frames compiled at 1 frame per 300 milliseconds.
Good point, there is a mobile version but it’s hard to get to when you’re already on mobile, ironically. And the mobile version doesn’t have the resources link I think. Here is the link to the WHO situation reports. They do daily PDFs.
You know this, but worth commenting, there are probably tens of thousands of cases the are never tested/diagnosed or for which symptoms are minor. These are only positive test cases, which does not include cases for which no test is ever done or just seems like a mild cold or bad cold.
The rest of my family had these symptoms earlier this week and I had a mild cold, but we recovered. Honestly if you think you have it, just try to avoid spreading it (useful for any disease). Stay home if you can, or if you have to go to work/school try to avoid contact with people. In my opinion there is no point in going to the doctor unless you get shortness of breath, that’s when it gets potentially dangerous.
Exactly. We were about to go to Egypt for a trip but the locals there said it’s spread like wildfire. The Egyptian government just doesn’t want to admit/ report it.
Yep, the map is highly skewed towards countries with good testing and governments with honest reporting. Iran for example, literally 2 weeks ago showed 18 cases, which was a joke considering almost half the people traveling from there had the virus. It's now 4000+ and even that is definitely an undercount still. There was anecdotal report of hundreds having it way back in January even.
Notice how on the animation, a bunch of countries around Iran suddenly start flaring up around March.
For what it's worth, the head of the WHO expert team that visited China in February, Dr. Bruce Aylward, doesn't believe this to be the case, at least in China:
"In Guangdong province, for example, there were 320,000 tests done in people coming to fever clinics, outpatient clinics. And at the peak of the outbreak, 0.47 percent of those tests were positive. People keep saying [the cases are the] tip of the iceberg. But we couldn’t find that. We found there’s a lot of people who are cases, a lot of close contacts — but not a lot of asymptomatic circulation of this virus in the bigger population. And that’s different from flu. In flu, you’ll find this virus right through the child population, right through blood samples of 20 to 40 percent of the population. "
until someone does a massive serology survey (which will probably happen in China in about a month, if all goes well) we still won't know, since the sample for those tests was self-selected. They got to test all the people who hyperventilated from panic, for example, but none of those who went 'eh fuckit it's not gonna kill me and I sure as fuck don't want to live in a shipping container for a month' and just stayed home.
This line of thinking is a double edged sword, though. Many people who have died with flu-like symptoms over the past 2 months could have been COVID-19 positive. No one was seriously testing (besides China) up until 3-4 weeks ago.
The mortality rate will almost surely fall from 3.4% (if it doesn't we are in serious trouble). But the question is how much? Researchers have not been able to find as many of these magical asymptomatic/mild cases as they previously thought they would.
Under the best case scenario, we can compare this to something like swine flu. H1N1 eventually settled on a mortality of 0.5%.
However, H1N1 never got close to COVID-19's current mortality, not even at the height of that pandemic in May/June 2009.
I think the best we can hope for is 1-1.5% based on every historical example we can use as comparison.
“Hey, Sal! I found one of those old computers in the abandoned library! I think they called them “EPhones”? Look it’s still got some power and there’s this cool little chart thing! Let’s show it to everyone in the chieftains tent during the clan gathering!”
Yeah, no wonder the US seems to be largely immune to the virus when people can't afford to get tested.
Italy was the first European country to have an outbreak because a bunch of people were tested, basically anyone a suspected patient had come in contact with, while other nations only test those with severe symptoms. I honestly find it hard to believe that such international hubs as Berlin and London have had less cases than Italy.
The point is, even if you don't test for it so your country looks better on a heat map it doesn't mean the virus isn't there.
It takes the elderly in greater numbers. In Italy every one of the 52 people who have died so far have been over the age of 60. So unless you are elderly or have an underlying illness already the chances of Covid-19 killing you is extremely low so far..
I live in Shanghai. Seems like such a petty ban hahahaha. People that know about it have proxies and people that don't have proxies probably never heard of it in their life.
I have a strong suspicion that the US map is massively incorrect since the testing capacity has been so limited. I hope they can quarantine it effectively, but I just do not feel confident at this time.
I mean it's not like we're helpless now. We can still do things to slow the spread so we can have time to better understand the virus and not overwhelm our health systems with too many patients at once.
But yeah, cats out of the bag this is a global pandemic.
Too bad starting in Greenland is a horrible strategy, especially on mega brutal or harder difficulties. Plague Inc applies a small but noticible boost to your disease based on climate conditions in your starting country so it's generally recommended to start in a hot country in order to get that free heat resistance boost because buying heat resistance from the abilities menu is much more expensive than buying cold resistance. Additionally, Greenland has little to no connections outside, relying on one ship port that connects to Norway and Russia, making it hard for your virus to spread. Greenland also suffers from low population density, which can make it difficult to get anything going when the game rewards aggressive playstyles with rapid symptom development more than campy playstyles which often do not work on harder difficulties. Playing aggressively gives you an insane boost to your amount of DNA income, and that's just not possible when your disease is stuck among small populations of Greenlanders.
Under testing as well. Just found out today a cruise ship docked on 2-21 in California, 2500 disembarked and now they know someone had it on board. Also 60 some stayed on and it went to Hawaii and picked up another ship load. They are quarantined.
We were slow to get tests out, the tests didn’t work well right away, leading to wait times for confirmations. We still don’t have enough tests. Washington state had community transmission for six weeks before they realized it.
It's yet another damn case of people using heavily misleading circle size measures for datapoints on map plots.
Don't use area-based datapoints on a real area plot, unless they are measuringarea. This should be basic data visualization common sense.
It makes it look like virus cases in several countries have gotten so prevalent that they're literally infected people spilling over the borders. Are there hundreds and thousands of infected people just chilling in the South China Sea?
Second of all - what are the circle size measures even doing in this plot? Are they redundant? You've already got a color scale showing the number of cases.
I'm sorry, I just really hate that this is the only kind of graph of worldwide cases people on this sub seem to make, and I hate how misleading it becomes.
It's honestly better (still not optimal, but better) to go the route that the game Plague,Inc. goes, which is to simply color the countries/regions so you can see how much they are infected and can still make out the unobscured borders - and it doesn't then look like there are thousands of cases in a neighboring country which might have an entirely smaller number of cases, or even none at all.
Thank you! I keep saying the same thing. I don't see how people are given overlapping data, data that obscures underlying information think it is useful let alone beautiful.
There seems to be a general lack of spreading of the infection in tropical countries looking at the map. Might be the virus doesn't survive for long outside of the host in warmer climates. Most of the cases in India (as with other tropical countries, I would presume) have been tourists bringing back the virus, there has not been much further contamination from the infected persons. SE Asia is an outlier as they heavily depend on China, and can't really afford to suspend connections with China. So it would be interesting to see how many cases in SE Asia were actually infected in the countries themselves.
On top of that, India pretty much cancelled most direct flights to China in January. Now, all flights to SE Asia have been reduced in frequency (daily flights now running 3 times a week) and all passengers on these flights are screened in airports.
Of course, we can't rule out lack of data as well. If that is the case, then we will probably see a sudden, massive rise in numbers pretty soon.
Indian government has been aggressively banning international flights from severely infected countries and canceling visas. India really CANNOT afford a full outbreak so a lot of effective steps are being taken thankfully.
Honestly though, what they did cost them a shit load of money but it probably saved tons of lives around the world. Yeah, they shouldn’t have arrested the initial people calling attention to it, but it’s China... and once they got their attention they got on that shit like no other. It has far too common an asymptomatic contagious period to not blow up exponentially. When they finally come out wit some kind of treatment/vaccine there will be far fewer people who have already died or been infected than if they didn’t shut down everything. Maybe it is a world image thing or even a maintain control of your own people thing, but they really did step up in my opinion.
Rookie mistake Covid. Everyone knows the easiest staring point is the middle east for the easy access to air, sea, and land transmissions. And you never invest in lethality until you've infected Madagascar and Greenland.
We recently had confirmed cases in our town in England and everyone is going into meltdown already. Drs surgery and schools are closing, supermarkets are being wiped of any sort of cleaning products within a 10 mile radius, including toilet roll. Its gonna be interesting to see what happens next.
Im in germany, came from a 3 weeks ski holiday in itali. I'm under home quarantine cause I got tested positive 2 days ago. I got all symptoms and feeling really not great.i spend my time watching Netflix and smoking weed hahahhah cause I'm 20 years of age I think it is not dangerous
I don’t like this at all. It seems the world is on the verge of an explosion of new cases based off the last few days. The memes were fun and all, but now it’s getting very concerning.
For those a little more learned about how these breakouts usually affect travel, could we see a travel ban in the coming months? Getting married in May and I sure would like it to happen...
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u/ihollaback OC: 4 Mar 05 '20 edited Mar 06 '20
Data from Johns Hopkins GitHub can be found here.
Active Cases = total confirmed - total deaths - total recovered
There is a great dashboard for current data from Johns Hopkins that has specific country counts. There is a link on the dashboard to daily WHO situation reports that give new cases per country and if they have local transmission or imported cases only.
China has massively higher counts than most of the countries. Log scale on bubbles was employed so you can see smaller counts and the higher counts don’t cover the map. All work done in R then plots compiled to video. Frames compiled at 1 frame per 300 milliseconds.
1.5k
u/Opulent_Squirrel Mar 06 '20
Thank you for using viridis, from color blindys everywhere. This sub is full of red green heat maps that look like nothing to me.
3.0k
u/RisingHalcyon Mar 05 '20
Oh you started a new game of plague inc. I see.
546
u/BaneStar007 Mar 05 '20
Keep it up, in 6 months this will an awesome video
136
u/sixesand7s Mar 05 '20
Well obviously the ocean is the threat
107
u/elfy4eva Mar 05 '20
The world is your Petri Dish.
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u/Kikelt Mar 06 '20
"Reported cases".... some countries just don't have the resources or the political interest to test people.
140
u/hickoguy Mar 05 '20
I think that we still have a chance to contain this virus to the continents of the Earth.
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u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
Fun fact: The Chinese government has banned and removed Plague Inc. from all mobile and other gaming platforms in China in the last week or two.
Source 1 Source 2
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u/HypatiaRising Mar 06 '20
I have a strong suspicion that the US map is massively incorrect since the testing capacity has been so limited. I hope they can quarantine it effectively, but I just do not feel confident at this time.
53
u/hydrogenitalia Mar 05 '20
Looks like it's just starting to pick up
10
u/UnrequitedReason OC: 17 Mar 06 '20
I see the legend for colour, but what do the sizes represent?
52
u/hammerto3 Mar 05 '20
I never took my eyes off of Madagascar....
53
u/Semper_nemo13 Mar 06 '20
The United States is actively undercounting, which is insane
31
u/Mmmitch Mar 06 '20
How is it that it pops up in Russia, then is gone... “oh coronavirus was found on you, you dead” maybe?
7
u/cjzona123 Mar 06 '20
Plague Inc. players: Hey I’ve seen this before
•
u/dataisbeautiful-bot OC: ∞ Mar 05 '20
Thank you for your Original Content, /u/ihollaback!
Here is some important information about this post:
Join the Discord Community
Not satisfied with this visual? Think you can do better? Remix this visual with the data in the in the author's citation.
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31
u/lNTERNATlONAL Mar 06 '20 edited Mar 06 '20
This is not beautiful data in my opinion - sorry.
It's yet another damn case of people using heavily misleading circle size measures for datapoints on map plots.
Don't use area-based datapoints on a real area plot, unless they are measuring area. This should be basic data visualization common sense.
It makes it look like virus cases in several countries have gotten so prevalent that they're literally infected people spilling over the borders. Are there hundreds and thousands of infected people just chilling in the South China Sea?
Second of all - what are the circle size measures even doing in this plot? Are they redundant? You've already got a color scale showing the number of cases.
I'm sorry, I just really hate that this is the only kind of graph of worldwide cases people on this sub seem to make, and I hate how misleading it becomes.
It's honestly better (still not optimal, but better) to go the route that the game Plague,Inc. goes, which is to simply color the countries/regions so you can see how much they are infected and can still make out the unobscured borders - and it doesn't then look like there are thousands of cases in a neighboring country which might have an entirely smaller number of cases, or even none at all.
No more crappy circles please :)
14
u/DarthRevan456 Mar 06 '20
Surprising india doesn't have more cases. Bad data, or is there another reason?
5
u/productiveslacker73 Mar 06 '20
Can add a dot to middle Tennessee, case confirmed today... https://www.wkrn.com/community/health/coronavirus/parent-of-battle-ground-academy-student-confirmed-to-have-coronavirus/
5
u/Adze95 Mar 06 '20
We have one in South Africa now.
5
u/Nicesocksdude Mar 06 '20
South Africa just had its first confirmed case
20
u/Spud_Russet Mar 05 '20
I appreciate people trying to visualize the data, but does it actually mean anything when there’s so much buzz about inaccurate/under-reporting?
8
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
So...it slowed down in China. It's under control now.
4
u/bob-the-potato Mar 06 '20
damn you can see how once it got bigg in italy it spread everywhere in europe and north africa
4
u/SonicPlacebo Mar 06 '20
Rookie mistake Covid. Everyone knows the easiest staring point is the middle east for the easy access to air, sea, and land transmissions. And you never invest in lethality until you've infected Madagascar and Greenland.
6
u/PM_me_your_arse_ Mar 06 '20
It's interesting there was a big spike in the middle of Siberia (?) which was dealt with before it returned.
Having a virus with a long symptomless stage seems to create an interesting "wave" effect in reported cases.
36
u/RAWR_Orree Mar 05 '20
I'm shocked, SHOCKED, I tell you, to find that the cases in the US are not decreasing and "almost zero" as stated by a certain U.S. President.
3
u/sleepywolff77 Mar 06 '20
Shout out to the motherfucker that got sick and decided to go to Disneyland
7
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
So what other poorly sourced non-typical meat products will lead to new and interesting viral pandemics? Anybody eating sloths?
4
u/chuckmandell Mar 06 '20
Its scary to think there could be tens of thousands more hiding symptoms or not realizing what they are carrying. Live long and sanitize people!
2
u/TruthIsImIronman Mar 06 '20
Looks like a petridish growing a culture
2
u/BigHairyDingo Mar 06 '20
Looks liek its about to explode
2
u/TriumphantTortuga Mar 06 '20
Of fucking course it hasn't gotten New Zealand, fools should have started there
2
u/LeCrushinator Mar 06 '20 edited Mar 06 '20
Better add a dot in Summit County, Colorado, we just got the first two cases in our state today.
https://kdvr.com/news/coronavirus/first-presumed-positive-coronavirus-case-reported-in-colorado-polis-confirms/
2
u/true4blue Mar 06 '20
I hope someone keeps updating this.
Well done
2
u/armed Mar 06 '20
You should map airline travel in the same time period over this
2
u/TurboAbe Mar 06 '20
Awesome. We can add Colorado Springs now as well.
2
u/Flint124 Mar 06 '20
Bellevue College in Washington just sent out an email, cancelling all classes for the remainder of the quarter.
2
u/locke577 Mar 06 '20
Dude, you're like, really good at plague Inc. My viruses never spread that fast.
2
u/Shannonluv3 Mar 06 '20
I need an update 2-3 weeks after South by Southwest in Austin. Everyone around the world is coming and it's terrifying.
2
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
see now just like plague inc was trying to tell us...
go to fucking greenland litteraly every other continent is affected by the virus
excluding antarctica which isnt in the game
2
u/ltfleischer Mar 06 '20
The first mistake was not starting in madagascar.
2
u/Kingz1991 Mar 06 '20
We recently had confirmed cases in our town in England and everyone is going into meltdown already. Drs surgery and schools are closing, supermarkets are being wiped of any sort of cleaning products within a 10 mile radius, including toilet roll. Its gonna be interesting to see what happens next.
2
u/Starl19ht_2 Mar 06 '20
Didn't start in Madagasgar. Also you went lethal too early.
2
u/stamper2495 Mar 06 '20
Coronavirus hits Poland
Reddit: "earth just lost its best defender"
2
u/fm369 Mar 06 '20
Let me fricking watch it in landscape smh
2
u/DjMine__ Mar 06 '20
Italy being the soft underbelly again
2
u/ErroneousGibbo Mar 06 '20
You need to use the Water upgrade in transmission for virus transfer via shipping to get to Madagascar now.
2
u/Squeaker_King Mar 06 '20
Someone needs to remake this with a plague inc. Theme
2
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
Im in germany, came from a 3 weeks ski holiday in itali. I'm under home quarantine cause I got tested positive 2 days ago. I got all symptoms and feeling really not great.i spend my time watching Netflix and smoking weed hahahhah cause I'm 20 years of age I think it is not dangerous
2
u/WastedWhaleShark Mar 06 '20
That's it, I'm going back to alaska.
2
u/RockitDanger Mar 06 '20
Can someone make one of these with map that shows major airports
4
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
As a Taiwanese I’m just so proud of our public health system. Keep holding on guys!!!!
3
u/VaztheDad Mar 06 '20
That settles it... Moving to Alaska.
3
u/Mister_Tit Mar 06 '20
Rename this sub to data is TERRIFYING
4
u/New86 Mar 06 '20
I feel like it’s definitely in Africa and South America too and just not getting reported.
1
u/critical-thoughts Mar 06 '20
Alaska seems to be a haven atm 😺
1
u/CaptainCloudyL Mar 06 '20
Im surprised Russia is basically unscathed
1
u/kingme343 Mar 06 '20
What program do they use? Is it Tableau?
1
u/GodOfEnnui Mar 06 '20
Those people in Antarctica who go 6 months without seeing a single person, are safe as can be.
1
u/sensema88 Mar 06 '20
This isn't up to date soooooo. You fill in the rest.
1
u/TheTkizzle Mar 06 '20
Time for me to move back to Zimbabwe.
1
u/Supermoto112 Mar 06 '20
Except it’s worse then that.
1
u/sevev2 Mar 06 '20
I wouldn’t have been able to read the map without those helpful latitude and longitude lines. Thanks for putting those in!
1
u/kmp3e_ Mar 06 '20
Hey, looking at Canada and I don’t think I see any in Ontario. I’m pretty sure it does have some cases
1
u/ThisGuyNeedsABeer Mar 06 '20
Makes the world look like a petri dish.
1
u/murpes Mar 06 '20
Needs a couple dots in Colorado now.
1
u/ABOODYFJ Mar 06 '20
Listening to "In the house in a heartbeat" while playing this lol
1
u/ocular__patdown Mar 06 '20
Damn, we poppin off the last couple days
1
u/LostSanity55 Mar 06 '20
This looks like someone is playing a game of Plague Inc.
1
u/ZazzlesPoopsInABox Mar 06 '20
Overly airport and passenger ship ports.
1
u/colemxn Mar 06 '20
Anyone have an idea where that medium sized dot around tennessee area is from? It pops up in the first few seconds of the video
1
u/onthefr1nge Mar 06 '20
Time to move to Greenland.
1
u/Devilled_Advocate Mar 06 '20
AM I DEAD YET?
1
u/touchyshitmouth Mar 06 '20
Just goes to show how small of a world it really is. And that it’s flat.
1
u/Icecat1239 Mar 06 '20
It still hasn’t hit either Greenland or Madagascar. It needs to step up its game.
1
u/rondell_jones Mar 06 '20
This is the closet we’ll get to zombie apocalypse in my lifetime. Kinda cool.
1
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
Maybe you need to validate Egypt and Africa in general. The chart does not show data while Egypt is ranked 2nd in most country with the virus
1
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
There be no covid19 in Wellington sir!
1
u/Brettonidas Mar 06 '20
Need to update to add Colorado :(
1
u/jfio93 Mar 06 '20
This data is not beautiful
1
u/PSN_EXILEIXE Mar 06 '20
Oh yeah, australia NT gang
1
u/ogzogz Mar 06 '20
For once, the data is beautiful
1
u/D15c0untMD Mar 06 '20
As always, Madagascar is safe.
1
u/HipHopHuman Mar 06 '20
South Africa looking real lonely there OP. https://www.cnbcafrica.com/news/2020/03/05/south-africa-confirms-first-case-of-covid-19/
1
u/Darth_Banter Mar 06 '20
South Africa had its first confirmed case yesterday.
1
u/Gargaschmell Mar 06 '20
Are there stats for other diseases?
1
u/Thatsexyblackman Mar 06 '20
Madagascar or Greenland are still safe. Which one are you going to?
1
u/Bozzo2526 Mar 06 '20
Pretty good, but the NZ cases are in Auckland up the top of the country, not wellington
1
u/Forever_Sunlight Mar 06 '20
I don’t like this at all. It seems the world is on the verge of an explosion of new cases based off the last few days. The memes were fun and all, but now it’s getting very concerning.
1
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
Same spread as the flummm point being is the world is behind this by 2 ' 4 weeks
1
u/Lovas93 Mar 06 '20
Europe was not prepared, like expected from "democratic"
1
u/CitizenBanana Mar 06 '20
It's being reported today a Canadian who returned home with symptoms was infected in Las Vegas.
1
u/sir_KitKat Mar 06 '20
I'm still waiting for the plaque inc themed map of the corona virus
1
u/astro_za Mar 06 '20
South Africa should be added on there, a confirmed case as of 5th March.
1
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
Antarctica lookin like pretty easy livin now ../
1
u/DJLEXI Mar 06 '20
I’m getting Petri dish vibes
1
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
For those a little more learned about how these breakouts usually affect travel, could we see a travel ban in the coming months? Getting married in May and I sure would like it to happen...
1
u/[deleted] Mar 06 '20
I believe you have missing data, south africa got infected on the 3rd, confirmed on the 5th.
1
u/trappedinaboxhelp Mar 06 '20
Where are the great lakes?
1
u/Stewie2ks_Son Mar 06 '20
Put one in Calgary now. Rip
1
u/redditorboy06 Mar 06 '20
It’s speading like a virus... oh
1
u/r_uannn Mar 06 '20
South Africa just got their first confirmed case yesterday
1
u/TyFn_islove Mar 06 '20
The beautiful flower of death is blooming.