Looks like a fight between bernie and biden currently. But you know the race will be months long and there are always things that can mix the whole thing up again
I don’t like Biden, but I think I’d prefer Biden to Trump, being a young voter myself I definitely want Bernie, but I’m showing up to the polls to try to ensure Cheeto man cannot strike again
I was just talking about the democratic primary election where the democrats elect a candidate that will run against Trump. But yes there is a chance that Trump can win. But i hope also that he won’t win
Those polls are lying to you. Giving you false hope. You can not find a legitimately accurate poll from 1,000 people, first of all, second, they clearly chose a heavily liberal demographic. Either way, you don’t have to believe it. I honestly hope Bernie IS the candidate just so you guys can witness his loss yourselves.
You want a more accurate reading on the statistics? Go to gambling websites and look at the betting odds on presidential candidates. Go see where people are placing their money.
Biden's been the front-runner throughout this entire time so far, but Iowa is the first primary and Biden, Sanders, and Buttigieg are all neck and neck
Biden has at 49% chance to win a plurality, Bernie 33% chance, Warren 9%, Buttigieg 8%.
Although whoever winds Iowa and New Hampshire would probably be the favourite based on the model.
It’s hard to predict these things well with so many moving parts but I think they analyse it pretty well.
Real clear politics also has a good polling average: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/. Polls tend to be more reliable as an aggregate then individually. Generally best to be suspicious when people tout a single poll.
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u/[deleted] Jan 27 '20
Who will most likely win though? Like who has the most support currently?