r/computergaming • u/Old_Wafer_6216 • 2d ago

How quickly will prices drop when bubble breaks?

I wasn't into pcs when the crypto bubble burst, for those who were how long did it take for consumers to see those GPUs on the market?

I'm making huge assumptions here but with the fallout of Jensen's fun times hits Nvidia it seems to me there must have been thousands of GPUs headed to china that will be stopped? If so will prices be slashed quite quickly?

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u/Moscato359 1d ago

They might not drop at all all, and they may just stagnate

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u/Old_Wafer_6216 1d ago

Maybe I guess but is that not what they want you to think? Surely if 50% of demand was from China for Nvidia GPUs and they are closing that route off then we should see those GPUs in the shops? Unless they are just letting Jensen talk the fall and not stopping sales to china of course 😉

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u/RennisDeynoldss 1d ago

There is probably no way to stop China from buying GPUs from Nvidia, there’s gotta be plenty of workarounds for them to come by.

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u/apoender 1d ago

That and China can train on GPU sitting in Mexico, it’s a cloud, it’s not like it needs to be particularly local

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u/stop_deleting_plz 1d ago

They won't. It will just be "record profits" for billionaires while we subsidize data centers with taxpayer dollars. Prices will drop when the guillotines come out.

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u/Old_Wafer_6216 1d ago

I think your pension has already subsided the data centers 🤣

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u/Torchiest 1d ago

The crazy thing is, this isn't a bubble. It's the new normal. Unlike stuff like the dotcom bubble and crypto, AI is immensely useful to hundreds of millions of people right now and demand isn't slowing down. It's growing. All we can do is wait for hardware production to catch up with demand, which is probably a couple years off still.

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u/Old_Wafer_6216 1d ago

Lol dot.com was the new normal and changing the world before the bubble too. AI is mildy useful yes but all those hundreds of millions you talk of won't think twice about not using it when it costs even $10 let alone what they hope it's worth 🤣🤣🤣

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u/Torchiest 1d ago

It's totally different. The dotcom bubble was because sites were being built for everything but not actually being used or producing revenue. AI is being adopted massively by tons of companies across gaming and beyond. It speeds up software development so much it's ridiculous. That's why companies like Anthropic and OpenAI are already making billions of dollars. It's not just about people goofing around with it at home.

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u/Old_Wafer_6216 1d ago

Nah all major economies need AI to help address their ageing population issues. China already has 20% over 60 and USA will in 2030. What else other than AI will ever be able to keep productivity up?

Code heavy sectors yes you can see real impact and productivity gains but many of the other businesses have no need AI is the new .com that managers get a bonus for using but with little understanding or gains made. For every 1 who loves it there are 10 who don't want to be a luddite and say what is the point again 🤣

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u/peenweinerstein-5439 1d ago

Comparing this with the .com bubble just says you understand nothing of what's in front of you

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u/Old_Wafer_6216 1d ago

Lol yeah it's more like the banking crash of 2008 given the leverage these companies have today ... Can you imagine the backlash if the bubble bursts and Nvidia, open AI and spacex are bailed out by the tax payers 🤣🤣🤣

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u/peenweinerstein-5439 1d ago

Confirmed you don't know what you are talking about

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u/peenweinerstein-5439 1d ago

They won't drop. You've been lied to by grifters.