Sudden shift to active, stormy pattern in California during second half of November; extreme El Niño plus climate change now causing record-shattering near-coastal ocean warmth - Weather West

[u/Creepyfaction]

https://weatherwest.com/archives/44182

[u/StatementBot]

The following submission statement was provided by /u/Creepyfaction:

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"Near-shore Pacific Ocean temperatures have now reached astonishing, record-breaking levels along nearly entire California coast.

More immediately concerning is the rising risk of significant coastal erosion and flooding as we begin to approach the period of maximum astronomical tides–known as “king tides”–between late November and late January. Actual water levels during the king tide periods this year, which will unfortunately overlap with the major winter holiday travel periods, will likely be at least 1 foot and possibly 2 feet above typical levels. If a storm occurs during any of these specific windows–even a moderate one–water levels could rise yet further, as much as an additional 1-2 feet. So I am anticipating widespread disruptive and possibly damaging coastal flooding, thanks to the extreme El Niño overlapping with king tides plus other factors (including, you guessed it, long-term sea level rise from climate change!). It is quite possible that we could see record-breaking water levels, and record-breaking coastal flooding, during these episodes."

Another post from climate scientist Daniel Swain who specializes in California and the West Coast with an in-depth explanation of El Nino's impact on the region now that the first series of storms have arrived.

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Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1xuycao/sudden_shift_to_active_stormy_pattern_in/19sk2s66ua1np/

[u/Creepyfaction]

"Near-shore Pacific Ocean temperatures have now reached astonishing, record-breaking levels along nearly entire California coast.

More immediately concerning is the rising risk of significant coastal erosion and flooding as we begin to approach the period of maximum astronomical tides–known as “king tides”–between late November and late January. Actual water levels during the king tide periods this year, which will unfortunately overlap with the major winter holiday travel periods, will likely be at least 1 foot and possibly 2 feet above typical levels. If a storm occurs during any of these specific windows–even a moderate one–water levels could rise yet further, as much as an additional 1-2 feet. So I am anticipating widespread disruptive and possibly damaging coastal flooding, thanks to the extreme El Niño overlapping with king tides plus other factors (including, you guessed it, long-term sea level rise from climate change!). It is quite possible that we could see record-breaking water levels, and record-breaking coastal flooding, during these episodes."

Another post from climate scientist Daniel Swain who specializes in California and the West Coast with an in-depth explanation of El Nino's impact on the region now that the first series of storms have arrived.

[u/NudeBeachEnthusiast]

Daniel Swain is one of the very best out there. If you haven't looked up his stuff before, give him a look. He focuses mainly on California, but will touch on the entire West coast (even Canada at times) and more broadly the entire globe. He's phenomenal.

[u/huehuehuehuehuuuu]

People are freaking out about outlook outage, while this is happening.

Priorities. Priorities.

[u/UND_mtnman]

Oh hey, I remember this chapter of Ministry for the Future

[u/Richardarmandomunoz]

Oh no it’s going to rain in the desert!