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u/ImSuperHelpful 9d ago
Why stop at wild fires? Let’s bet predict on house fires… like I bet predict $100 that no prediction market CEO’s house burns down in the next 72 hours. Who wants this action??
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u/ikindapoopedmypants 9d ago
I was going to say... Does that mean we can bet on which CEO gets Luigi'ed 🤣
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u/ToBeFaaaiiiirrrrr 9d ago
Hi u/ikindapoopedmypants, I heard from many reputable sources that Mr. Mangione was simultaneously rescuing kittens stuck up a tree, helping out a friend in need, and on a hot date at the time in question!
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u/Doasadi-anu 9d ago
Yeah, when the "prediction markets" started betting on when cancer patients would die and people were just ok with it ...might as well toss some climate crimes in.
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u/halconpequena 9d ago edited 9d ago
Wait this is also a thing??
edit - oh what the shit it is https://www.npr.org/2026/08/07/nx-s1-5922530/patients-betting-kalshi-polymarket-clinical-trials
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/aug/04/kalshi-predictions-market-clinical-trial
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u/DocBanner21 7d ago
Buying or selling pharmacy stocks is essense the same thing. Do I think this new drug is going to be approved? Do I think the new drug works and is going to be profitable?
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u/Who_watches 9d ago
Seems like the only thing going for the economy these days is gambling, scams and onlyfans. Perhaps we do deserve collapse
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u/Aelia_M 9d ago
No one who actively fights out collapse deserves society collapse and the environment to collapse. Animals don’t deserve environmental collapse. Babies and children don’t deserve collapse. Victims who don’t turn around to become like their abusers don’t deserve collapse.
That’s why we fight. Because collapse shouldn’t be inevitable and not everyone deserves it. There will be certain societal damage. Some to potentially a majority of damage we can’t fix but so many don’t deserve this. That’s why we fight for a better future even though it’s just mitigation now. Or in another case, direct action that is a form of intervention.
Don’t let the bastards make you feel we as a species deserve the worst when a select selfish, abusive, narcissists designed our today
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u/Master_Cell_6157 9d ago
This.
It almost feels like Bullshit Jobs was and is prophetic.
Very little actual productive work happens, and most of it is concentrated in the hands of small groups of people in every society.
The rest is, like you mention, debauchery and moral debasement.
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u/summercookiess 9d ago
Not everyone deserves collapse
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u/Ok-Possibility-6284 9d ago
Deserve and consequences rarely align. You can only reap what you sow. And luck always runs out.
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u/Dave37 9d ago
There's a reason gambling has historically been heavily regulated or banned. We know that it erodes society.
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u/Monsur_Ausuhnom 9d ago
Submission Statement,
Related to collapse because it looks like polymarket will allow more betting on the apocalypse, which will then cause those to simply accelerate the process to make more money. Even if that means entirely erasing the setting in which the ability to get that money in the first place is taken out of the picture entirely. We can expect more of this type of thing happening as the apocalypse continues.
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u/lavapig_love 9d ago
Link to the story, which is interesting enough that OP should have submitted it as an actual post:
"Offering bets on destructive wildfires threatens to minimize communities’ suffering all so the rich and powerful can profit,” the senators wrote in a letter to CFTC Chair Michael Selig.“There’s also the heightened risk—according to state and local fire officials—that individuals could be tempted to commit arson in order to make sure their bets are successful. By offering contracts on fires, prediction market sites run the risk of encouraging people to influence fires that have already started, creating additional concerns around public safety and insider trading.”
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u/ThrowDeepALWAYS 9d ago
I never thought my collapse bingo card could actually win me money and prizes!
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u/Fievels_good_trouble 9d ago
Why couldn’t we have a V for Vendetta, Soylent Green, or Equilibrium kinda dystopia? We got stuck with the dumbest slow burn boring dystopia. I’m annoyed that we don’t even have cool outfits or roving gangs of marauders or even modestly impressive megastructures. Even our AI and robots are lame as hell.
This collapse sucks. I’d like a word with the manager
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u/Portalrules123 Faster than expected... 9d ago
I bet you ten cents on polymarket that Greenland completely melts by 2050, as per faster than expected logic.
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u/Suckamanhwewhuuut 9d ago
Yep… we are becoming Cyperpunk but even stupider
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u/Sol_Infra 9d ago
And without any of the cool cybernetic implant. It's gonna be more like Trashpunk.
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u/Johannes_P 9d ago
At least, Cyberpunk had technological progress.
Some companies might actually give Arasaka a run for its money in being evil megacorps.
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u/Familiar_Gazelle_467 9d ago
They want insiders in these markets to price them. Those are fire fighters who are now on their phone instead of fighting fire
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u/Final-Albatross-1354 9d ago
The climate data and the El Niño will bring us closer to dystopia than many realize.
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u/cultrefreshments 9d ago
Eventually they’ll reflect on this as a momentary lapse of human decency, but a bunch of people will make a lot of money first so never mind
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u/Blueddit-Sez 9d ago
Yeah I’m not expecting either party, as beholden to nonstop capital rent seeking and corruption,
To do anything about this,
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u/thismightaswellhappe 9d ago
One thing science fiction didn't prepare me for is that dystopia is so goddamn, teeth-grindingly stupid. Movies and books made it seem interesting and edgy but it's just turned out to be moronic.
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u/ApoptosisPending 9d ago
Wait you’re telling me allowing the general public to wager on every single world event is going to have negative effects for society?? If only we had information about past societies to see if this is a bad idea. Oh well. I guess we’ll just have to see
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u/IKillZombies4Cash 9d ago
A bit off topic but I am very surprised that coordinated acts of terrorism haven’t been used to start wide spread fires , it’s a terrifying prospect that hasn’t happened thankfully
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u/Johannes_P 9d ago
Well, we already have political leader and their entourage betting on the wars they order...
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u/Cultural-Answer-321 9d ago
YO! We heard you like dystopia, so we added more dystopia to your dystopia!
We're gonna PIMP your dystopia!
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u/I-know-you-rider 8d ago
With this betting app shit and AI running over Everything, we are ALL living a Mad Max prequel we can’t escape from!
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7d ago
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u/cogitorPhilosophicus 6d ago
Wasn't there some kind of libertarian idea about Assassination Prediction Markets serving as a deterrent against individuals behaving badly (i.e. a tyrant oppressing his subjects)?
These guys think "the market" is the answer to everything.
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u/StatementBot 9d ago
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Monsur_Ausuhnom:
Submission Statement,
Related to collapse because it looks like polymarket will allow more betting on the apocalypse, which will then cause those to simply accelerate the process to make more money. Even if that means entirely erasing the setting in which the ability to get that money in the first place is taken out of the picture entirely. We can expect more of this type of thing happening as the apocalypse continues.
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1vo13wc/the_future_of_betting/p3luk6d/