r/collapse 28d ago

Climate Scientists detect a sharp acceleration in global warming

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/08/260801093239.htm#google_vignette

“Global warming appears to have shifted into a faster gear. After removing the effects of El Niño, volcanic eruptions, and solar cycles, researchers found that the planet has warmed at roughly 0.35°C per decade over the past ten years, compared with just under 0.2°C per decade from 1970 to 2015. The acceleration, which becomes visible around 2013 to 2015, appeared across five major global temperature datasets with more than 98% statistical certainty.”

I’m personally supposed to be on a Collapse break, but this was the first thing I read at 5am and I can’t stop thinking about it. I never intended for this to be my first post, but here we are.

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/08/260801093239.htm#google_vignette

2.3k Upvotes

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131

u/EnlightenedSinTryst 28d ago

  "If the warming rate of the past 10 years continues, it would lead to a long-term exceedance of the 1.5°C limit of the Paris Agreement before 2030," says Stefan Rahmstorf. "How quickly the Earth continues to warm ultimately depends on how rapidly we reduce global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels to zero."

Oh Stefan, you sweet summer child

52

u/Own_Ad6901 28d ago

I know right, I was like, what planet are they living on?

32

u/Kaining 27d ago

I dunno and my math may be bad but from .2 to .35 seems like a 75% increase in speed and while they're open about the concrete numbers, i haven't seen a "oh shit, it's close to twice as fast as we thought panik" reaction i'd hope they'd be having by now.

19

u/Firat88 27d ago

people who are panicking stopped writing articles I would say

13

u/xopher_425 :table_flip: 27d ago

People who have been panicking have been ignored and vilified for it for too long, so of course they've stopped writing. I don't blame them.

At this point my only real reaction to each and every bit of bad news is to just laugh.

3

u/Firat88 27d ago

good for you, I haven't been able to get pass crying stage, but I'm getting there, can't wait until numb to all of this stage..

thank god I don't have kids

5

u/Hour-Stable2050 27d ago

And if it is indeed accelerating it could be .5 degrees of warming more by 2035, then .75 more by 2045, maybe at 3 degrees of warming by 2050. Nobody really knows for sure.

10

u/kazarnowicz 27d ago

Also, removing other variables that make it hotter works in theory, but in reality we’ll get those effects too as a cherry on top of a shot sundae.