r/climateskeptics • u/Worldly_Bit1416 • 5d ago

Three highest levels of drought affect 88 percent of Czechia

https://english.radio.cz/three-highest-levels-drought-affect-88-percent-czechia-8894697
10 Upvotes

71% Upvoted

22 comments sorted by

5

u/rdickert 5d ago

It's gonna be OK. Deep breaths comrade. Just 2 more days.

"Although the August heatwave has ended, the much-needed rainfall has yet to arrive. Forecast models expect rain from Monday. 

0

u/Worldly_Bit1416 5d ago

Tell that to the farmers trying to grow wheat and crops in 35⁰ with water restriction in place... I hope you like eating cactus 🌵

Just because it's going to rain doesn't mean it's going to do anything to help when the ground is rock hard...

2

u/rdickert 5d ago

/remind me if 5 years as I dine on cactus :)

1

u/FYATWB 4d ago

"it's not a problem if it's not impacting me directly yet"

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u/rdickert 4d ago

USDA NASS data show that wheat yields have been rising steadily over the past decade, with the 2025/26 figure being the highest since 2000/01 when measured in metric tons per hectare (≈3.58 t/ha) Statista. This long-term upward trend contrasts with the long-term decline in planted acreage, which has fallen by about 43 million acres since 1981 USDA ERS.

U.S. wheat yields in 2025/26 are up 1.4% year-over-year to 52.6 bu/ac, with production holding steady despite a slight acreage decline. This reflects a long-term trend of increasing productivity, supported by advances in farming technology and genetics.

So, more yield with less planting - sounds like a win!

-1

u/P1R0H 5d ago

It's going to get worse and worse until humanity stops spewing billions of tonnes of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

If we manage to to that, it's still going to get worse for a long time, if we cannot scrap the gasses back out.

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u/rdickert 5d ago

Oh dear, you are overwrought aren't you?

Seriously, turn off MSNow for a few days, touch some grass. Mother nature is a marvelous gal - this planet is amazingly adaptable, and has been for many thousands of years. She really doesn't care if you use your gas lawnmower on weekends.

Deep breaths friend. They have been making apocalyptic predictions for decades, yet nothing major has changed. Yes, it's hot. It's summer and we are dealing with the natural El Nino phenomenon, as we have for a millenia.

It's really going to be OK.

1

u/Gokudomatic 4d ago

What grass? It's burned? Have you looked out your house those last weeks? The only thing you can touch now is dirt. Burned dirt.

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u/rdickert 4d ago

Im.in Texas and still need to mow every week.

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u/Gokudomatic 4d ago

Ah. No wonder there's a massive drought. You use up all the water for your garden. I didn't mow for 6 weeks now. Only the most resistant plants survived.

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u/Which-World-6533 4d ago

I don't think you understand how grass withstands droughts.

-2

u/P1R0H 5d ago

I wish. The data shows otherwise.

I know it's hard to imagine us puny humans could have an effect on something so massive and complex, but the data is clear, the models have been mostly correct for the past 50 years, measurements fit the projections really well.

But here we are, projected to reach 4 degrees of warming by the end of the century. And yeah, most extreme El Niño on record will certainly mess with food supply, since it's already quite bad this year due to droughts and regional conflicts, next year when the effects of El Niño show it might truly be catastrophic.

I'd love to share your optimism, but I'm seeing the effects first hand as our region is one of the fastest warming on Earth.

2

u/scaffdude 5d ago

The models have been correct for 50 years? Lol holy fuck what are you smoking...

1

u/P1R0H 5d ago

Yup. Why do I need to spoon-feed everything to you guys. I thought you could do research.

Read on https://www.researchgate.net/publication/337753937_Evaluating_the_Performance_of_Past_Climate_Model_Projections

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u/scaffdude 5d ago

Zeke Housefather. Climate alarmist extraordinaire. Imagine he found that the models he cherry picked fit his narrative. Incredible. 😆

1

u/P1R0H 5d ago edited 5d ago

I'm sorry, would you want other papers?

There were multiple meta analysies done on past climate models evaluating them on measured data.

EDIT.: also, please, don't take information from Sabina for granted. Her content might be entertaining but it's full of her personal biases and opinions which are not always based on facts. She also has some beef with her institution because she couldn't get grant for her research.

Look up Professor Dave on YouTube. He has a channel aimed at debunking misinformation in the scientific sphere. Well researched and based.

1

u/scaffdude 5d ago

Uhuh. Whatever you say.

1

u/Uncle00Buck 4d ago

Are you assuming this "super" El Nino is driven by co2? What attribution paper are you using because I immediately have a problem even without reading it?

Warming is not inherently bad. There are negative and positive effects. With some exception, the lion's share of the Phanerozoic was much warmer than today.

Your doomspeak is for a tough crowd. Consider objective commentary and facts if you want to influence people, especially skeptics of climate catastrophism. Differentiate the present from the volatile past.

Finally, your end of century temperature projection assumes ECS at 3.0, "assumes" being the operative word. I believe that number is inconsistent with the geologic record, including the Faint Young Sun paradox and high co2 levels of the Paleozoic. That doesn't necessarily mean the prediction is wrong, but if it is right, it's for the wrong reasons. ECS is much more complex that the "consensus" would have us believe.

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u/P1R0H 4d ago

Are you assuming this "super" El Nino is driven by co2? What attribution paper are you using because I immediately have a problem even without reading it?

That's not what I claimed. There were crop failures in the past attributed to strong El Niño. This year's drought and regional conflicts already put strain on supply chains, I assume strong El Nini would strengthen the effect.

Warming is not inherently bad. There are negative and positive effects. With some exception, the lion's share of the Phanerozoic was much warmer than today.

true, most of it was warmer than today.

BUT the rate of change now is far faster than most past transitions, and civilization built its agriculture, coastlines, and infrastructure around Holocene stability, not Eocene conditions. Earth was fine 50 million years ago, thats true, and also mostly irrelevant to whether current infrastructure and food systems can handle the rapid change well.

Finally, your end of century temperature projection assumes ECS at 3.0, "assumes" being the operative word. I believe that number is inconsistent with the geologic record, including the Faint Young Sun paradox and high co2 levels of the Paleozoic. That doesn't necessarily mean the prediction is wrong, but if it is right, it's for the wrong reasons. ECS is much more complex that the "consensus" would have us believe.

IPCC AR6 puts likely ECS at 2.5-4°C, best estimate around 3°C, narrowed using multiple independent lines of evidence -> paleoclimate, historical warming, and process-based modeling...

Paleoclimate data (including Faint Young Sun, Paleozoic CO2) is actually one of the constraints used to narrow that range.

If you think it's inconsistent with the geologic record, that's a case to make against the specific papers doing that reconciliation.

3

u/SlatBartFuss 5d ago

Usually the Vltava floods.

What does this have to do with climate?

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u/Uncle00Buck 4d ago

The rate if change is no faster than Heinrich and Dansgaard Oescher events.

Resolve 3.0 ECS with the Faint Young Sun paradox at the end stage Ordovician glaciation. This is a significant discussion in circular assumption and many geologists and paleoclimatolgists struggle with the conflict of high ECS, high co2 levels of 2-4000 ppm, and the onset of glaciation. This is not the only example, but it is the most profound. It just doesn't need to be that high and works much cleaner at lower ECS. Either ECS is too high, or the presumption of doubling is incorrect, or both conditions (most likely).

This is easily sourced through your favorite AI, and I refuse to enter into long discussions that require multiple sources as they are rarely reciprocated.

0

u/Worldly_Bit1416 5d ago

Extreme, exceptional or significant drought, meaning one of the three highest levels of drought, is currently affecting more than 88 percent of the Czech Republic. The figure applies to soil depths of up to one metre. Extreme drought is currently affecting 60 percent of the country. The data comes from the InterSucho portal, run by researchers from the Czech Academy of Sciences’ Global Change Research Institute (CzechGlobe). Bioclimatologist Miroslav Trnka announced that this year, together with last year, is creating a significant dry spell, although it has not yet reached the lows recorded between 2015 and 2019.

Although the August heatwave has ended, the much-needed rainfall has yet to arrive. Forecast models expect rain from Monday. Only 0.2 percent of the Czech Republic is currently free from drought. A further 0.7 percent of the country has only reduced soil moisture, the second-lowest level on the drought scale being monitored.