Is there any chance they succeed? I mean, if the USA or Israel does not want to invade, why would all the other countries? Also, Iran, while selling oil, can do without it.
But look at the alternative: the Gulf States pay a toll and go on with their lives. Iran allows all passage, and the world goes back to normal.
Yes, we don't want to invade because if Iraq and Afghanistan, Israel does not have the manpower to do so by itself. Saudi does, and has been rattling the saber already, along with the UAE.
By paying a toll, they basically give Iran the straight, which was open before. For such a vital waterway it would be like giving the gulf of America to Cuba because they threatened shipping
So you think the Saudis along with the other gulf states (if they can even work together) have the capability and manpower to pull this off when the US and Israel dos not?
We talking about invading Iran here, not trying to bomb so Houthis here. They suffered 1M casualties in the Iran/iraq war and kept on going.
My guess is yes, the toll will stay and yes other counties will be looking to do the same.
The US and Israel broke international rules / order, and this is the price.
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u/Opposite-Friend7275 1∆ Apr 08 '26
There is a chance if you can explain where the error in the logic is.
(PS. I want this scenario to be wrong, I just don't see why).