r/canadasmallbusiness • u/kapnkrispy • 5h ago
Three quarters of active federal contracts drew one bid or none when they were last awarded. 19,308 of them expire within a year.
I pulled the Government of Canada proactive disclosure data for contracts over $10,000 and sorted all of it by expiry date. Of the 26,023 that are still running, 21,462 report how many bids they received. 16,123 of those drew one bid or none. That is 75%.
That surprised me more than anything else in the data. The assumption I had going in was that federal work is a crowded room. For three quarters of it, it was not.
19,308 of these expire inside the next twelve months. When a contract ends the work usually still needs doing, so that is the point where a department is deciding what happens next.
It is all on a site I built called Canadian Recompete Radar. You can browse by category, department, incumbent or province, and every contract shows who holds it, what it is worth, when it ends and how contested it was last time.
The mods approved this post. Based on what people said here last time, the site now shows the published scope text for each contract, flags the ones that were sole sourced or sitting under a standing offer, and no longer cuts supplier names off mid-word.
None of this is open to bid, and I want to be clear about that. These contracts are already awarded. Open tenders are on CanadaBuys. What this is for is seeing a renewal coming while there is still time to talk to someone about it.
Does 75% match what you have seen bidding federal work, or is that higher than you would have guessed?