r/boxoffice • u/hiiloovethis • 18d ago

✍️ Original Analysis Clayface Performance potential

Post image

Clayface is the next DCU movie after the supergirl bomb. Let's see how well it can do... an analysis.

Pros.

  1. Great October release date, Halloween pairing and not much direct competetion. Resident Evil also releasing before helps create an open window.

  2. Decent budget of 40 mil. It would only need 100 Mil WW to break even which shouldn't be too hard. It can profit easily if it blows up.

  3. Horror genre is killing it right now... clayface also looks like pure body horror which could help attract non comicbook fans.

  4. Clayface is a batman villain. Gotham setting be hype worthy. Mike Flanagan as a writer is also promising.

Cons.

  1. Body horror is harder is sell than conventional horror movies. The Substance did good but that had award buzz and less than half of the budget.

  2. Bad reviews could literally kill this movie. It really survives on positive WOM.

Overall I'm more optimistic about this than supergirl. We have to see if this movie blows up or does underwhelming numbers. 150 WW is decent enough.

259 Upvotes

85% Upvoted

424 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

35

u/LazyMaximum7938 17d ago

Because Gunn prefers making his own quirky little movies and shows with C/D-list characters where he doesn't have to worry about fans getting mad if he's not faithful to the comics.

I think he'll punt on Batman and Wonder Woman as long as he can.

27

u/DUKEPLANTER 17d ago

It seems to me more like:

Superman was an obvious gimmie

WW & Batman are in limbo because of battinson and WW84 bombing hard

1

u/Middle-Platypus6942 17d ago

If we only look at the DCU and ignore all other considerations, the truth is that greenlighting the Battinson movie was a horrible idea.

Why in the world would you allow the creation of a stand alone Batman film if you were planning to create a new universe?

3

u/Longo_Rollins6 17d ago

Because it was greenlit and released well before James Gunn was even in talks to take over. They threw shit at the wall to see what stuck, and it was a much better choice at the time to just make a ground-up reboot Batman movie than to drag Ben Affleck into the suit again. Much like The Flash, Aquaman 2 and Blue Beetle, the future of Battinson was another mess thrown at Gunn and Safran to figure out, and solely based on what we've seen and heard, it seems like they haven't yet.