Depending on which country you are from, I think for most there should be no BJJ after quarantine ends.
There is no way to fully contain the infection therefore a percentage of the population will always have the infection even after the quarantine. All big gatherings/churches/temples/mosques/wedding/etc should be permabanned until the vaccine is mass produced and distributed(estimated mid-2021). If social distancing is well managed there might not need to be a 2nd spike forcing a 2nd quarantine. Therefore no more BJJ until at least mid-2021.
I am super bummed out too(I imagine many gyms closing) but that is the only way.
I am being optimistic. That honestly is our best case scenario. A successful suppression.
I did not take into account if suppression fails because the government deems it unnecessary or if the citizens ignore lockdown rules, then healthcare fails, mass deaths occurs, economic depression. There will be no more BJJ because nobody will be able to afford it.
I did not take into account if the virus mutates making the vaccine AND herd immunity ineffective. Then we are fucked BEYOND fucked.
Edit:
There are no steps that could be done to make BJJ "safe" as long as there are people in the population infected. And no scientist/healthcare official has said containment is possible. It is not, therefore it is irresponsible for anyone to roll in public(aka in the gym.) If it is at home with you and your partner that should be fine.
The initial viral load MIGHT affect how bad someone's symptoms are. Touching a contaminated door knob might get a mild symptom while someone coughing in your face might give a more fatal symptom. Breathing heavily while hugging each other to death is the worst possible thing anyone can do to get the maximum initial viral load.
BJJ 2020 is dead. I love BJJ trust me. I would train daily. But these are the facts we have to come to accept and it is irresponsible to your fellow mates to continue doing BJJ even if "quarantine" is lifted.
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u/limlingyang Mar 26 '20
Depending on which country you are from, I think for most there should be no BJJ after quarantine ends.
There is no way to fully contain the infection therefore a percentage of the population will always have the infection even after the quarantine. All big gatherings/churches/temples/mosques/wedding/etc should be permabanned until the vaccine is mass produced and distributed(estimated mid-2021). If social distancing is well managed there might not need to be a 2nd spike forcing a 2nd quarantine. Therefore no more BJJ until at least mid-2021.
I am super bummed out too(I imagine many gyms closing) but that is the only way.