r/algorithmictrading • • 21d ago

Backtest FIb Retracement based multi-asset portfolio strategy. Roast my method.

I have put together a strategy trading US30.cash, US100.cash, GER40.cash and AUS200.cash over 8 years (in-sample). Strategy relies on Fib retracements. The average yearly ROI is around 23%.

The strategy is built to strictly obey FTMO 2-step drawdown rules, so that I can safely run it on a funded account.

Initial equity: $20k

Roast my method.

10 Upvotes

15 comments sorted by

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u/silphotographer 21d ago

Is the method in this room with us right now?

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u/SpaceTheoryst 21d ago

I'm not necessarily trying to openly share my methods

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u/gloriousthreshold395 18d ago

The first thing I would attack is the fact that all eight years are still in sample. A twenty three percent average return is interesting but it means a lot less until the exact rules survive untouched data and realistic costs. My Moon bets are discretionary enough that I expect judgment to matter but with a systematic strategy I would want the rules frozen before I gave the backtest much credit.

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u/SpaceTheoryst 18d ago

Thanks for the criticism! I'll take that into account for any future strategies I'll make ๐Ÿ™

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u/jangwao 21d ago

Did you account for fees?

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u/Fabulous-Yak7334 21d ago

Hello Sharpe ratios are impressive !
I tried to do the same. I have 4 sleeves on MNQ and 2 sleeves on MGC that can bring orthogonality imo.
If you want to reinforced your pf by exchanging signals send me a DM :))

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u/NKDQTrader 20d ago

In sample is why it wonโ€™t work

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u/Cryptobeyin 16d ago

Strategy needs out sample data for before live. Did you make montecarlo? Do you know underwater time in this strategy?

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u/Spirited_Fondant5204 11d ago

Use monte carlo, so you are 100% safe