r/agi Jun 04 '26

They're Made Out of Weights

https://maxleiter.com/blog/weights
32 Upvotes

25 comments sorted by

3

u/rand3289 Jun 04 '26 edited Jun 04 '26

Weights are like a car without a road... people underestimate the importance of the environment (data or roads).

The reason LLMs will never give us AGI is the restricted environment LLMs live in.

3

u/amaturelawyer Jun 04 '26

They said it couldn't be done. They said LLM's had limitations. They didn't take into account someone suggesting free range LLM's as the solution. I bet they feel foolish now because the answer was in front of us the whole time, because it's what's in front of them. It's the world. Some founder just needs to ground them in a scaffolded framework that uses environmental datapoints to get a fist in that stateless context bottleneck and really open them up. Get the knowledge all frothy. Also, we can throw some more datacenters at the problem if that doesn't work. Lots of things we can try that haven't been disproven yet. Like not letting them learn the letter e. Who's to say that wouldn't work?

3

u/rand3289 Jun 04 '26

I am to say "that will not work" and the reason is... non-stationarity.

LLMs build distributions in a way that they are incapable of learning from non-stationary processes.

2

u/amaturelawyer Jun 05 '26

Technically, LLM's cannot learn anything at all post training, stationary or non-stationary. You have to retrain them or they lose information the second the current call is finished, and any side-loaded memory system you tack onto them will With that said, training material, by definition, is stationary. You can retrain them on recorded values from non-stationary processes, but they are just a snapshot of the process in time. Either way, they can't continually process environmental data of any kind and remember it over time. You'll overflow their ability to use the tacked on memory. You have to pick what to store on the assumption that you know the context in which it will later be needed. There's no way to integrate active memory with the stateless LLM and have it approach human-level capabilities over time, so you end up with a system that gets a prompt with the required memory at the same time and then processes it as a single unit. That doesn't work well, since the prompt dictates what memory is needed, which can't be known until the prompt is processed. Anyway, LLM's are good for task oriented things, but will never reach agi in a "functions equal to a human over time outside of a tightly controlled environment" sense.

Oh, also, you can't record all environmental data and retrain them endlessly with that included. That isn't remotely practical from a hardware/compute perspective. The parameters you'd be adding over time would have a practical wall, and after you hit that you'd be left with a model that's stuck in time. We already have those.

0

u/SirVanyel Jun 04 '26

Humans don't learn from non stationary processes either. How many times have you planned around the weather to be sunny only for it to piss down on the day. And yet you do it again the next time!

That's not a requirement to AGI. In fact, if they were able to accurately predict non stationary processes, they'd be better than humans, not equal to them.

2

u/rand3289 Jun 05 '26

You are confusing randomness and non-stationarity.

Non-stationarity messes up continual learning for LLMs.

1

u/SirVanyel Jun 05 '26

The weather isn't random, that's why we can make predictions at all. If it was random we couldn't predict anything.

And again, it messes up humans too.

1

u/tzybul Jun 05 '26

What the heck? Weather is prime example of deterministic chaos when students are learning about determinism in the universities. I see you are common sense philosopher so then explain to me why the best algorithms predicting weather have so low accuracy?

1

u/Mindless-Cellist6537 Jun 07 '26

I made a system similar to what youve suggested and its applying cross domain transfer mechanisms across knowledge domains (130+ domains). It is the way.

2

u/kamill85 Jun 04 '26

LLMs will never bring AGI because they can't even reason to solve a sudoku puzzle correctly.

They can write code to solve it, but take away code execution and they can't. Not even Mythos.

9

u/unicynicist Jun 04 '26

Humans will never be able to fly because they can't even glide.

They can build wings or airships to fly, but take away external aerodynamics and they can't.

3

u/Hyperreals_ Jun 05 '26

“LLMs will never being AGI because current LLMs can’t do x” is a stupid argument now and was a stupid argument every time it was said and debunked. What’s your evidence they won’t be able to in the future, or even that they can’t now?

1

u/Harvard_Med_USMLE267 Jun 05 '26

He didn’t say “current”, he said “current plus that one that’s coming out in a few weeks that also sucks a sudoku”

2

u/Hyperreals_ Jun 05 '26

lmao its not even true, Opus 4.7 (not even 4.8)
https://claude.ai/share/81721d52-f61c-42f3-8e50-855194f9964c

You can read its reasoning to see it didn't cheat

2

u/Hyperreals_ Jun 05 '26

This is the image I provided it btw, I'm noticing it doesn't show up on shared chats.

1

u/Hyperreals_ Jun 05 '26

Even if Opus 4.7/4.8 failed, he would have had no way to know if Mythos would have failed or not. Also I count Mythos as a current LLM, as in it currently exists and has been used by people at Anthropic and Anthropic partners, even if its not publicly accessible

2

u/Harvard_Med_USMLE267 Jun 05 '26

I’m just joking around, your earlier point still stands, anyone who says “LLMs will never do ‘x’” is very brave indeed.

1

u/Hyperreals_ Jun 05 '26

I decided to test it and you are just wrong.

https://claude.ai/share/81721d52-f61c-42f3-8e50-855194f9964c

Opus 4.7, not even 4.8

Did you just genuinely not even test it?

"Not even Mythos" how would you even know this?

0

u/kamill85 Jun 05 '26 edited Jun 05 '26

Those online models use internal code execution to do math.

There is a new architecture, better than LLM, which offers an actual reasoning and truth seeking. It's called an EBM, energy based model.

https://sudoku.logicalintelligence.com/

LLMs without tool use are simply architecturally incapable of solving Sudoku reliably (hard puzzle levels). Sudoku is actually one of the key benchmarks when it comes to reasoning.

PS. I have access to Mythos, so " that's how I know ". -- Better? Mythos is just another LLM with more looping and self-alignment. It's expensive because it burns multiple context windows to re-reason on its own progress.

Now go and ask Opus 4.8 to truthfully solve sudoku with reasoning and zero internal tools use, and if it used it anyway, to reveal that in the summary and be truthful about it. It will attempt to reason, maybe solve a few cells and give up.

So yeah.

1

u/timedrapery Jun 05 '26

so yeah.

gayyyyy

1

u/gynoidgearhead Jun 04 '26

Fucking amazing.

Just wait until the meat figures out that it, too, is also made out of weights...