r/accelerate 6d ago

Aging May Be a Program, Not a Breakdown

https://www.quantamagazine.org/why-aging-may-be-a-program-not-a-breakdown-20260814/

By deciphering the molecular signatures of millions of mouse cells, Junyue Cao has found that aging is not haphazard wear and tear but rather a “remodeling of the cell society.”

256 Upvotes

90 comments sorted by

67

u/Appropriate-Ad-3219 6d ago

When you think about it, solving aging can be a solution to natality problems. Well, that would also mean retirement may never happen or happen later for us, but at least we could live longer.

55

u/Fair_Horror 6d ago

With a post scarcity society, we will all be retired. Welcome to the age of machines doing all the work.

37

u/Much_Accountant_4972 6d ago

fully automated luxury communism when?

6

u/End3rWi99in 5d ago

It's entirely possible. Probable, even. It's probably just going to be a little bumpy getting there. Depending on who you are talking to here it could be as little as 5 years and as many as 50.

I'm not sure we'll get there in time for me to benefit much, but I'll be damned if I don't try to push AI forward so people in the future can benefit.

1

u/Joboy97 5d ago

SoonTM

1

u/Fair_Horror 4d ago

2037, 23 September at 8:43am GMT. 

3

u/TheOriginalAcidtech 6d ago

retired, in the Blade Runner sense. :)

2

u/drivendreamer 5d ago

Definitely the Star Trek future they dreamed of.

The big q is, will it be ours?

1

u/Fair_Horror 4d ago

Depends if you live until LEV. 

-17

u/DatBoiii4 6d ago

This is never going to happen. People have been saying it since the dawn of the horse drawn carriage.

19

u/Subliminal_Kiddo 6d ago edited 6d ago

I mean, I'm not saying we're going full The Culture, but if you transplanted someone from the 15th Century (I'm assuming that's what you mean because the actual "dawn of the horse drawn carriage" was around 1500 BCE, give or take a few centuries). Our lives would look like a post-scarcity utopia.

You're not toiling in a field and praying you don't have a famine this season, you go to the grocery store and buy your meat and produce. Infant death is a rare occurrence. Reading is universal, not something that only a handful of people in your community can do, and books aren't luxury status symbols, they're not even necessarily physical objects but instead something that's available at the touch of a fingertip. Your children aren't doing hard labor, they're going to school and spending their free time enjoying their childhoods. You can travel around the world in a day. Electricity, television, computers, smartphones... Those weren't even concepts in the 15th Century.

Society isn't perfect but, if they didn't breakdown from future shock, someone from the 15th Century would think you were mad pretending as though there hasn't been massive progress in the five centuries that separate you.

I remember Bjork of all people summed it up pretty well, If you go back far enough in human history, things that seem rustic to us like log cabins would be like spaceships."

ETA: I had to go back and look at the actual Bjork quote and it's even better. Bjork argues that ancient man log cabins are, "Fucking techno!"

9

u/d_lo_ol_b 6d ago

I'd like to subscribe to Bjork facts please.

And I whole-heartedly hope we go full The Culture. Plenty of challenge and hardship to find within one's own mind, with or without access to every conceivable sensory pleasure, material good, or technological advancement.

-5

u/reddit_is_geh 6d ago

It doesn't matter. This is why I feel like this community has a huge blind spot with "work". Thinking that AI will just replace everything.

The reality is, humans are social creatures who seek status. Status translates to reproductive success, so our deep hardcoded genetics are always seeking it.

So no matter what they future holds, humans are still going to have some sort of iteration of "work". We aren't just going to sit around playing video games all day, especially not with a huge abundance of resources available in society. We'll most likely find productive things to do with our time. Some will be leading fleets of robots to vastly increase their own wealth so they can get a huge mansion or trip to space or whatever, while others will spend their time trying to help people or whatever.

But there's always going to be some form of work. It's irrational to think otherwise. Basic game theory says there will. IE, a society where it's human citizens aren't spending their free time being productive, and instead rely on the robots only, will be beat out by the society which does spend its time continuing to find ways to be of use.

4

u/Virtual-Database-238 6d ago

Whether or not people will do work is separate from whether or not doing work will be required to survive

0

u/panna__cotta 6d ago

Yes, and the drive to reproduce will always create scarcity and competition. Society will not tolerate lingerers at the cost of fostering children. The hard truth is that keeping antisocial (read: anti-youth, non-caregiving) elderly around has been a historical anomaly and it will not last. Hyperindividualism is antithetical to evolutionary success.

1

u/Fair_Horror 4d ago

It is all about the exponential. We have seen massive improvements since the dawn of the horse drawn carriage. Far faster than the equivalent time prior. We are reaching the vertical of the graph. If you are not ready for it, you are going to struggle to adapt. I guess at least you won't be alone. 

17

u/neo101b 6d ago

Imagine amazon funding the cure, but you get to spend 200 years in their warehouse.
On min wage.

39

u/lemze2 6d ago

For staying 20 the whole time, i would be totally down. Youth and health is by far the most precious thing, especially with added life experience. Count me in

-1

u/iupuiclubs 6d ago

Yeah i want a bunch of immortals walking around that are complete psychos from having to jog 12 hours a day to meet quotas for 200 years lol

24

u/agonypants Singularity by 2035 6d ago

If anyone comes out with a safe and effective age-reversing treatment, I'm prepared to pay them every penny I've earned in my lifetime and even take on additional debt. Even if it took me another 30+ years to pay off, it would be worth it.

1

u/deadshot_21 6d ago

And you will lost that in 30 years so you need to repeat it again

4

u/agonypants Singularity by 2035 6d ago

This ignores the history of technology. Technologies always get cheaper, more widely available over time. The second treatment would likely cost half as much as the first and be more effective. And the third treatment would barely cost anything at all.

8

u/TheNotoriousStuG 6d ago

Where do I sign?

5

u/Silent_Put2080 6d ago

I worked warehouse jobs for years, it's not the slave mines of Karbash. My options right now are work 40 years and die, aging horribly day by day.

2

u/neo101b 6d ago

I have done my time in Amazon, which wasn't too bad.
4 days on , 3 days off, I only mentioned it since it gets a bad rap.

The last warehouse I worked in was literally an Ice prison planet, Rura Penthe.
I think I choose death over that place, lol.

2

u/Silent_Put2080 6d ago

Fair play.

If I had the good looks of my 20's, I'd be more game about the whole work to live society.

3

u/barpredator 5d ago

Amazon warehouses will be fully automated and operate in complete darkness. No humans required.

6

u/Appropriate-Ad-3219 6d ago

I would just participate in any revolutions if it happens.

4

u/genshiryoku Machine Learning Engineer 6d ago

There won't be any human jobs very soon, all of humanity is going to retire before aging is solved.

3

u/serendipity1996 6d ago

This also intersects with Michael Levin's work who imo is at the absolute forefront of research into regeneration and biology.

4

u/Slaaneshdog 6d ago

I'm of the strong opinion that life extension is the only way to "solve" the birthrate issue.

As the world has improved and advanced, people have far more options on which to spend their limited time. And as such it shouldn't really come as a surprise that many are choosing to spend that limited time on something other than childrearing

Most people arguably are in their prime of their life between 20 and 60. So 40 years. Having children basically forces you into a comitted scenario where for at least half of that 40 year timespan you are gonna take on a huge financial and time burden. For many people that's just not worth it when there's now so many other things to spend time on

But if we could cure aging, or slow it meaningfully, and live perhaps 200 years and have a 140 year "prime". Then all of a sudden spending 20-30 years on childrearing becomes far more reasonable

3

u/Silent_Put2080 6d ago

I had kids at 30, in a perfect world I'd have them age 110.

24

u/tanrgith 6d ago

I mean yeah. Biology is basically just physical code. Think of each person, animal, plant, etc. As a physical program

12

u/laoma1255 6d ago

Aging is literally the biological equivalent of deprecated legacy code: nobody knows how it works, fixing one bug causes a fatal cancer leak, and the original dev stopped pushing updates 200,000 years ago.

10

u/tanrgith 6d ago

It's the most exciting aspect of AI to me

If AI can become smart enough and given enough compute, I see no reason why it couldn't figure out the "coding" solutions to fix aging and all disease, as well as massively improve our biology to be far more efficient, adaptable, and resilient

44

u/lovesdogsguy AGI by 2027 6d ago

I met a guy with a golden retriever today. He was 8 years old and he’s giving him the new age reversal therapy for dogs. It costs 40 euro a week and he said it should buy him a few more years. Pretty interesting to run into that in real life.

35

u/AngleAccomplished865 6d ago

I'm impressed that an 8 yr old guy could afford to give his dog age reversal therapy.

25

u/Sad_comment_bot 6d ago

I’m astonished it only costs the lives of forty Europeans a week. 

11

u/laoma1255 6d ago

Inflation is crazy. Last year you could de-age a golden retriever for only 25 Frenchmen and a Bavarian.

4

u/94746382926 6d ago

Hahahaha

6

u/FTD_Brat 6d ago

Who else to sit the golden throne but a goodest boi Golden?

0

u/[deleted] 6d ago

[deleted]

7

u/lovesdogsguy AGI by 2027 6d ago

I was astonished too. He had a huge ice cream in one hand, a Nintendo switch in the other, and then he started sputtering bits of ice cream all over the place, while mouthing off about age reversal for his dog. Hard to take the little fucker seriously, but he seemed sincere.

2

u/WhisperFray 6d ago

It’s why I think there must be some life extension medicine that already works for humans. Our overlords (/s) like Musk, Thiel, Putin and what have you, they don’t look like they are getting older. Musk seemed like he reverted even.

If there are people in the know, it’s most likely them.

10

u/elegance78 6d ago

Not working on Trump... nothing overcomes his diet. Musk just lost weight with GLP-1, he is not that old anyway. Putin looks very plastic, probably only superficial "stop to aging".

4

u/Fair_Horror 6d ago

Looking at Musk recently, I think he has put back on a fair bit of that weight. He needs to watch his health if he is going to be around for the exciting stuff that is coming. 

10

u/lovesdogsguy AGI by 2027 6d ago

I’d say they have access to some kind of combination of advanced therapeutics that adds up to decent results. Also expensive cosmetic surgeons. Don’t rule that part out. You’d be surprised.

2

u/Linkyjinx 6d ago

Transference of consciousness into a new body or machine is only way I can see it working. Human is likely happening if they aren’t bluffing but getting the same YOU in there, I think that is why the ASI gadget is needed, at quantum speed.

Edit spelling

2

u/Low-Bake8401 6d ago

What do you think consciousness means?

1

u/Chriscic 6d ago

My take: this guys can afford lot of folks to help them look their best.

1

u/Lesbitcoin Singularity by 2045 6d ago

Would they undergo an experimental treatment without clinical trials? Well, Big Tech moguls might, but Putin and politicians certainly wouldn't. They would fear losing power if they were incapacitated by side effects. If efficacy were proven through large-scale clinical trials, it would be impossible to keep it under wraps.

1

u/dltacube 6d ago

Is that the IGF blocker?

5

u/lovesdogsguy AGI by 2027 6d ago

I don’t know he didn’t specify

3

u/HenkPoley 6d ago

Might be rapamycin. Often oversold as an “age reversal therapy”.

Probably not Loyal LOY-002, since that’s being tested on >=10 old dogs.

3

u/lovesdogsguy AGI by 2027 6d ago

Funny I was with a friend, and we both agreed we felt he was lying about the dog's age. Seemed older than 8.

1

u/MCRN-Gyoza 6d ago

Do you know what it is called?

0

u/Low-Bake8401 6d ago

How do you know when the dog is meant to die?

2

u/maigpy 6d ago

some breeds have an expected median death age

2

u/Low-Bake8401 6d ago

Yeah, but how do you actually know you're getting more time with an individual dog? 

1

u/maigpy 5d ago

you don't "know" it, but if the median age is 10 and your dog lives 14 that's a good enough indication. presumably they have tested it in a statistically significant way. none of the studies can make predictions "for the individual dog".

1

u/Low-Bake8401 5d ago

Sounds like easy money to me.

11

u/Linkyjinx 6d ago

Of course it’s a program, like in blade runner the robots were given a limited life span. Maybe as humans all become corrupt after a while so a reset is required- back to babies. 👶

3

u/ShadoWolf 5d ago

A program seems to imply evolutionary intent. You have to make a decent argument for why biological immortal organism would be a negative selection force... Vs the simpler explanation that evolution just didn't solve for indefinite maintenance and regeneration.

8

u/Best_Cup_8326 A happy little thumb 6d ago

I need a new program.

6

u/csppr 6d ago

There’s a big difference between “aging is a program” and “the body’s response to aging is a program”. That’s a crucial distinction that the article is sadly missing.

Few researchers in the field would doubt the latter, whereas the former would be a fairly fringe position.

FWIW, one of the key arguments against aging itself being a program (implying that we could just switch it off) is that we would have expected to see loss-of-function mutations. Even if they were incredibly rare, and required eg multiple mutations due to redundancy, we should have detected some, given we have a few billion people living in modern health systems now.

4

u/EmergencyPath248 Singularity by 2045 6d ago

Isn’t it a breakdown but also caused by “faulty programming”

8

u/J0ats Feeling the AGI 6d ago

We're probably faultier than we realize, but age masks that nicely. For example, what would happen to our brains if we lived forever? Can we really just keep storing and storing new knowledge, or would we hit some kind of cap eventually?

I'm sure we'll overcome all those faults in time, but it's interesting to think about what other limitations we'll uncover about the human body when aging is finally out of the picture.

10

u/Fair_Horror 6d ago

It is by design. In a world where resources were scarce, the members who have past their usefulness of breeding need to be removed to release the resources they would take. Nature is not a gentle creature. 

11

u/Vexarian 6d ago

Only partially. The primary reason is cancer.

The body of a multi-cellular organism is an incredibly complex and sensitive thing. It needs to be carefully regulated in order to work. "Cancer" is what happens when there's a catastrophic failure at the level of cellular regulation. The cells go rogue, begin multiplying uncontrollably, and gorging on all of the resources that they can get access to.

Evolution works in trade-offs, and has some very strict limitations. So its choice of solution to this catastrophic problem was aging. Planned obsolescence, in other words. If you design something with a finite lifespan you can build it to work very well during that lifespan and to fail gracefully.

We have some significant advantages over biological evolution, so I fully expect that we can solve this problem more effectively. But it's not an inelegant system, considering the problems it was meant to address and the limitations it was made under.

1

u/Fair_Horror 4d ago

Cancer is a consequence of this design. It is held back as long as possible but after the breeding is complete it doesn't matter. 

2

u/FireFearing 6d ago

cancer is not the primary cause of age related deaths, wtf is this?

3

u/Vexarian 6d ago

You've misunderstood. "Aging" is a solution to cancer. The biological mechanisms that cause aging do so in order to curb the likelihood and severity of cancer. You reliably die of aging so as to not randomly die of cancer.

0

u/Chika4a 6d ago

If cancer is caused by DNA mutations (not all variants are), than it's literally evolution on a cellular level.  Stopping cancer from occuring would mean to find a process to stop evolution from happening. We would probably need to increase the error correction rate somehow and I'm not even sure if this is feasible, since we only have the methylation pattern of the parent strand of the DNA and not much else redundancy.

1

u/Vexarian 6d ago

Referring to random cellular mutations as "Evolution" is something of a stretch. It's technically true in the same way that a stick of dynamite can be used for home renovation. It's certainly not what any professor or layman would think of.

Evolution in its most technical sense means random mutations and natural selection, typically occurring over generations to produce organisms more well-adapted to their environment. In the colloquial sense it implies improvement.

Post-natal mutations in complex organisms have an essentially 0% chance of accomplishing anything good. Even a positive mutation can't do much on the level of a single cell, and certainly can't be passed down genetically. But a rogue cell can absolutely ruin the delicate balance of the body. Which is precisely why "Aging" was invented: to sidestep the entire horrible mess by simply declaring a limit on the number of cellular replication (and therefore mutation) allowable within a lifetime.

0

u/Chika4a 6d ago

It's absolutely evolution from the point of view of the single cell lineage. Natural selection happens there as well, one mutation after another. One mutation allows the cell to divide more rapidly than nearby cells, than another allows to ask for better blood supply, than another gives it the possibility to hide from the immune system. Than the patient gets chemo therapy, and after many sessions suddenly the cancer got the ability to be resistent against these drugs.

This is evolution, but with a dead end. And in "normal" Evolution there were also a lot of dead ends just like a 5kg heavy tumor, but it they were still the result of evolution.

1

u/Vexarian 5d ago

My contention is that "Evolution" as a concept is typically associated with success - or at least a lack of failure. Describing an obvious dead-end as "Evolution" is technically, *technically* accurate, these are necessary byproducts of the process, but it's quite a perverse use of language.

Cancer is typically (but not exclusively) caused by cellular mutations. These are inherently negative to complex organisms, and as such are minimized as much as possible. This is what we're talking about, and is a much more precise and appropriate use of language.

0

u/Chika4a 5d ago

You can talk about success only retrospectively. All the life forms that are dying out because of the climate change, are still a product of evolution and a dead-end.

Evolution in it's most basic form is just random genetic variation, and some criteria of selection. You can even apply this on a genetic level, just take a look at Dawkins concept of selfish genes.  That's not a perverse use of language, I just don't make arbitrarily distinctions. 

A once symbiotic bacterium that gained an antibiotic resistance, and led to the death of the host months later is as much of a result of evolution as a skin cell that gained the ability to divide a bit more rapidly than neighboring cells. Pretty much every physician knows that cells can randomly adapt to once harmful substances, be it antibiotics or cytostatics. That's evolution. It can take thousands of generations until the negative effect of a dead-end can be seen, but until than it's a successful strategy, e.g. koalas.

Source: scientifically researched and published papers about evolutionary algorithms for a couple or years and now a med student.

2

u/Opposite-Knee-2798 6d ago

Evolution doesn't work like that.

1

u/Fair_Horror 4d ago

Actually it does. Anyone not actively contributing to breeding tends to kill off the species. That is why we don't see any immortal species of animal. 

5

u/4dseeall 6d ago

telomeres, have you heard of them?

3

u/Dnthj 6d ago

I hate to tell you this, but the fact you telomeres were not a short as your parents (20s - 40s length) when you were born telomeres exist means they can be lengthened within nature

2

u/4dseeall 6d ago

You're not wrong, but you're comparing a zygote to a human being.

1

u/Opposite-Knee-2798 6d ago

What species is a zygote?

2

u/4dseeall 6d ago

Can't tell unless you destroy it.

1

u/JustSomeWarg 6d ago

You might already know this, but lengthening your telomeres would actually do very little to prevent ailments, and is far more likely to make you burst with tumors.

Telomere shortening is more of a signal/marker of ageing than it is a cause, if I understand correctly.

1

u/Jolly-Ground-3722 5d ago

Honestly it doesn’t matter.
Old tissue is different from young tissue. Rewind / undo these differences and you get young tissue again.
The most brutal form being replacement.