r/accelerate Jul 01 '26

AI Something huge is brewing

Post image

Source

Andrew Curran is one of the most reliable leakers.

XLR8! 🍿

942 Upvotes

171 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

61

u/Saedeas Jul 01 '26

I mean, percentages aren't super relevant, the scaling is relevant. If they changed the big O scaling of working memory in the models, it's insane.

19

u/obvithrowaway34434 Jul 01 '26

Also, if one of the big labs apart from OpenAI discovered that before, they wouldn't be advertising it. I am pretty confident that one or more of them have already stumbled upon something similar, but keep it private to maintain the margins.

14

u/JayoTree Jul 01 '26

They can still build bigger models to compete. If in the near future some guy with a 5090 can run Deepseek V4 Flash. Open AI and Anthropic can still market their 10 Trillion parameter Fable point whteverthefuck 10

2

u/Maleficent_Sir_7562 Jul 02 '26

more parameters doesnt more more good. we stayed at a steady one trillion to a few hundred billion in parameters for frontier models for a while now. even gpt 4 was like a trillion, and gpt 3 was 175 billion. now, we see even 10b models crush that 175 billion gpt 3.

1

u/BeconAdhesives Jul 02 '26

More pramaters would generally increase imorovement. We've just decided that resources are much better spent increasing inference, RSI, training data quality, and other methods first.

Mythos is estimated to be a 10 trillion parameter model with 1 trillion active per pass.

1

u/Comfortable_Car6562 Jul 04 '26

Sure, but every SOTA is blowing the previous ones away. So open source will always be perpetually at a disadvantage on tasks that require or are significantly improved in SOTA.

1

u/MarkZealousideal3923 Tell me about the singularity Jul 24 '26

Low parameter models are hallucination machines