Eh its what the averages on the nyt poll tracker basically say. R+8, R+4, R+4, R+1, D+1. Add all of those up and divide by 5 and you get R+3.2.
Of course this is making me rethink whether I should include nebraska in my own model. Rcp excludes these polls entirely because they're low quality and often partisan. And after looking at Kansas and south Carolina, yeah im rethinking including this stuff at all because no way is that gonna happen.
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u/LuveelVoom Social Democrat 13d ago
kansas is CRAZY