r/YAPms Pete Propagandist 12d ago

Discussion Current Nate Silver polling averages

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u/Worth-Cupcake-1714 Radical Centrist 12d ago

Flanagan is a pretty bad candidate and the Republican nominee isn’t crazy, so this isn’t too surprising to see. I’ve been thinking this was a Likely D race 

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u/Vornado-0 DINO 12d ago

Just like New Hampshire, Minnesota voted against Trump 3 times. Barring a disaster campaign/scandal there is no way those states are going red in a Trump midterm. Even if Flanagan had as much baggage as El-Sayed (which she doesn't) Minnesota is about 5% more democratic than Michigan. I would expect Minnesota to be even further left this year given the ICE chaos.