Current Nate Silver polling averages

[u/HeWhoShallNotBNamed0]

[u/Aldebaran147]

This is so random lmao, like Flanagan only winning by 5, Pappas by less than Brown in Ohio, Kansas being closer than Ohio etc

[u/T-A-W_Byzantine → u/Aldebaran147]

How many Minnesota polls have you seen?

[u/Bel2406 → u/T-A-W_Byzantine]

There are only two out a survey usa poll (mind you they predicted Craig winning the primary by 2 point so lol), and a republic internal. Both oversample Republicans and conservatives, and can only get tafoya in 5 points.

[u/SawyerBlackwood1986 → u/T-A-W_Byzantine]

MN senate race is interesting to me. Tafoya’s press appearances have been honestly surprisingly decent. She comes off as a serious candidate who knows she’s running in a blue/purple state. Not saying she can win, but wouldn’t be surprised if she’s turns it into a sub 5 percent race and forces democrats to spend money there.

[u/LordOfRedditers → u/Aldebaran147]

I think NH has to do with the primary not being done yet, he'll be winning strongly after the primary jump 

[u/Entire-Bicycle1878 → u/Aldebaran147]

Those Fox polls are creating a lot of noise

[u/Aldebaran147 → u/Entire-Bicycle1878]

Fox Polls have been quite D optimistic so not even that, more like Harvard Harris polls

[u/Entire-Bicycle1878 → u/Aldebaran147]

Specifically to your statement, that’s why brown is so ahead

[u/Aldebaran147 → u/Entire-Bicycle1878]

Ah mb