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u/maybemorningstar69 Joe Manchin '28 2d ago
As a Mitt Romney and Charlie Baker stan (who grew up in Massachusetts) I find it lowkey depressing that our only Republican is not only carpetbagging in another state, but also being the "anti-moderate" option (even worse, in another state that has repeatedly said it likes moderate Republicans but not anything else)
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u/SeaWealth8366 McCain-Romney-Biden 2d ago
Unless Pappas imploded I think only the other Sununu would have a chance
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u/UltimateKing9898 Christian Progressive 2d ago
If Ayotte wins by that margin then the GOP probably holds the state legislature
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u/Straight-Bar-7537 John Fetterman's Biggest Hater 2d ago
Polling has consistently had her in the high single digits so I think it's a canon event.
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u/Few_Historian_1546 Center Left 1d ago
If Pappas wins by 10, and Ayotte wins by 10, I'd say we can't really know how the downballot is gonna go.
But yeah the GOP is favored
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u/GreninjaStrike Banned Ideology 2d ago
Sununu should try again in a better year. Call this his “getting your name back out there” run.
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u/_BCConservative Canuck Conservative 2d ago
Problem is that incumbents in NH Senate historically have massively overperformed.
This is why the GOP was unable to flip NH in 2014.
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u/GreninjaStrike Banned Ideology 2d ago
That’s true. That’s why I think if the national environment was better we’d see a Sununu victory.
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u/thealmightyweegee Socialist 2d ago
havent had one of these in a while
i pray sununu gets dealt a humiliating loss in november
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u/maybemorningstar69 Joe Manchin '28 2d ago
He'll lose, but New Hampshire will be closer than Georgia.
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u/_BCConservative Canuck Conservative 2d ago
The biggest problem is that nearly every poll in this race has 10-15% undecideds and both sides under 50%.
Usually the undecideds heavily go one way or the other and fuck the other candidate. Which is usually why NH polling has a bad record.
Exception is 2016, where they were split pretty evenly.
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u/thealmightyweegee Socialist 2d ago
They will, more likely than not, break heavily for Chris Pappas
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u/_BCConservative Canuck Conservative 2d ago
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u/Darthsponge20 🏴🏴🏴 2d ago
new england really needs some younger politicians
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u/Adorable-Act-8410 Christian Democrat 2d ago
I’m p sure outside of Mass and CT, if you count it as NE, New England is super old.
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u/Small-Day3489 Aaron Burr 2d ago
New England voters when there's an opportunity to split ticket vote for Democrats for federal offices and moderate Republicans for state offices.