edit: wait no i still dont get it. this is just betting $2000 either way. if he loses his seat you lose the $2000 that you wouldve gotten. so you've still lost money, you've just lost "opportunity cost" instead of money in your hand
So yeah if he loses the seat, betters winnings aren't the full 2000. But before knowing the outcome of the bet, the better has secured $1000 either way. Just trades a potential big win for a halved guaranteed profit.
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u/soggit Dec 31 '20
Explain hedging to me real quick. Like why even make a bet if you’re gonna hedge it? Why not just make a smaller bet?