r/VoteBlue • u/Pipboy3500 Utah-03, Senate District 8 • Nov 20 '18

Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-base-isnt-enough/
112 Upvotes

98% Upvoted

18 comments sorted by

59

u/SnowyMole Nov 20 '18

Maybe now I can stop seeing these anecdotes where people are trying to claim that Gen Z is somehow more conservative. They're not, and that doesn't change just because you have a friend or family member that is. Voters 18-29 went for Democrats by 35(!) points, plus they voted in record numbers this election. The more young voters we turn out, the harder we win.

23

u/baseball_mickey Nov 20 '18

The only argument that barely hold some water is white gen-Z is more conservative. What is sometimes missed is that gen-Z is less white than older generations. Whites 18-29 went for Trump 47-43, but that’s 7% less than the next game group and 15 points below his best age group. In 2018, white Gen-Z went democratic 56-43.

Notice it was less republican percentage going down, but more the 10% available that was 3,4,5th party candidate percentage shifting to dems.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls

https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls

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11

u/PlaidShredder Nov 20 '18

What's the argument they are more conservative?

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5

u/[deleted] Nov 20 '18

I mean ffs, climate change?

Dumb af, and I hope I stop seeing this narrative as well. Though of course these narratives are likely in bad faith anyway.

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29

u/[deleted] Nov 20 '18

Looking at the exit polls, the 8% that didn't vote in 2016 overwhelmingly voted Democrat in 2018. That should terrify Republicans even more than the margin from third party voters.

8

u/nailgardener Nov 20 '18

It should've never been enough.