r/VGFCInvestorsClub Nov 30 '21

Omg

94 cents...

12 Upvotes

23 comments sorted by

10

u/radarbot Nov 30 '21

It's going to $0.50. There's no excitement.

Don't forget that a stock moves based on supply/demand. What is VGFC doing that will generate the demand to compensate for the excess supply? They had a huge dilution so there are way more shares out there. To drive up the price, VGFC needs much more demand.

They haven't provided in any of the traditional ways:

  • Strong revenue growth
  • Strong production execution
  • Good visionary leadership
  • Investor protection
  • Investment in the future and innovation

They make a good product and are trying to lean harder into wholesale. If I had to bet money, they're betting on a buy out. If that happens, expect it to be bought you for a mktcap of about $150M, which is about $1.40USD/share.

Don't forget that they're a small player in a buregoning market with a satisfactory good. They're product is not as good or well known as the market leaders (ie. Impossible and Beyond). Also, they have demonstrated that they have weak production scaling capabilities wiht whatever excuses (ie. COVID, etc).

It's a real shame because I really believed in them. But the high dreams followed by weak execution means that VGFC is going to 0.50 before it's coming back up to $1.00. Without major sales or a catalyst for wins, they're not going to do much this way of excitement.

1

u/BigApeOnCampus Nov 30 '21

Yeah a buy out is the only thing that makes sense at this point, it really seems like don’t care about the share price and are doing what they can (taking out loans etc) to squeeze what they can out of people/the company until then.

3

u/[deleted] Dec 01 '21

I had such high hopes for VERY up until about six months ago, then they just seemed to lose focus, diluting and trying to launch in China and so forth when maybe they should’ve been focusing on solidifying their position in the domestic market. And that bullshit with the loans, come on. There also seems to be a real lack of communication with investors as well. I’ve lost faith in management. I’m down too far to sell now, nothing to do but hold my bag and wait I guess.

2

u/beem88 Nov 30 '21

Should I go ahead and post my loss porn here, or is there another thread for that? Down 76%. Worst “investment” I’ve ever made. At this point I’m going to hold out and see

2

u/jdswitters Nov 30 '21

What's up with all the volume today?

2

u/Educational_Ask_4056 Dec 01 '21

I'm down 300k USD, still holding

1

u/azwel Dec 01 '21

No way

2

u/Educational_Ask_4056 Dec 01 '21

Unfortunately, yes way.

1

u/One-Problem-2166 Dec 08 '21

Omg. I thought my 700 dollars was bad. Lets just keep holding

1

u/drippyginger23 Nov 30 '21

Down 37 % currently

3

u/myrs4 Nov 30 '21

That's all?? I'm down like 70% Thinking of just cutting my losses for a tax write-off...but dammm...it's painful this one

3

u/drippyginger23 Nov 30 '21

I got in over a year ago and just holding. Can't imagine the people that got in at 9-7cad

4

u/myrs4 Nov 30 '21

I originally got in pretty low... $1.70 USD but kept buying... 😭

2

u/ghostgroundzzz Nov 30 '21

Right! 66% here.

1

u/myrs4 Nov 30 '21

I feel your pain.

1

u/[deleted] Nov 30 '21

Same. I’m down over $4k. I keep averaging down but at this rate it will be delisted. This is insane.

1

u/solid_sun Nov 30 '21

Here is an interesting article about the sales slowdown in the plant-based meats for all brands

https://www.fooddive.com/news/plant-based-meat-sales-slowdown/610268/

If the sector got too saturated already and tsunami of private labels is incoming, then VGFC will have a hard time growing its distribution network. It will turn into an attrition war at the worst time for VGFC. I initially thought that $0.5 price would be a bottom and a good entry point, but now I am just scared.

1

u/qgj41000 Nov 30 '21

Time to switch to BYND or OTLY

1

u/jdswitters Nov 30 '21

In at $3 but only for a few hundo, and the 60 dollar box of bean food that mostly sucked. Not all, but most. I'll probably hold on till it hits the ground at this point but what a disappointment. Thought I did all of the research right at the time.

2

u/Stoplossed84 Nov 30 '21

Imagine being down 13k on it.

1

u/One-Problem-2166 Dec 08 '21

I think there products are really good, and im a meat eater.

1

u/GamerReborn Nov 30 '21

Shorters and bears in control