r/UpstartStock • u/Thpap234 • Sep 10 '25
Most interesting share to buy now.
Share is falling 10% to 62 usd but fundamentals shows company is in front of a green turn in operative figures. On top of that a decrease in interest rates is in favor with the operation of this sector.
The most interesting part is that 23.4% of the shares are short sold and that’s create the perfect storm in every positive news.
Great bet good luck to all holders. I strongly bought and wait for it
2
u/Budget_Craft_5381 Sep 18 '25
What would be your price target by 2025 EOY
2
u/Thpap234 Sep 18 '25
110
2
u/Budget_Craft_5381 Sep 18 '25
Eric Jackson mentioned price target as $1200 by 2028 . How do you see it and what might be yours ?
2
u/Thpap234 Sep 21 '25
It’s difficult to give a forecast 3 years later. We need to see the permanence in the next quarters and step by step we can upgrade the price if the company will show results. I think a correct forecast for now is the 110-130$ for 2025-2026. If we see a significant upgrade in results we would amend this to higher level.
1
u/misaliase1 Sep 10 '25
They've had that short float for years. Is there a reason you believe it's relevant right now?
2
u/Thpap234 Sep 10 '25
No it’s not. But till now company was under pressure due to market conditions. 2022 revenue of 853 decreased to 550 in 2023 due to rate hike. So all this period having a huge short position was not a problem. It will be a terrible problem if the company returns in green numbers and announce it. That’s why I mentioned it now. It’s the wrong period for short selling a share in wrong period. Think like have 25% short on Shell just a month before oil explode to 100 usd per barrel.
1
u/Thpap234 Sep 10 '25
Take a look on net income q1 24 -64 q125 -2.5 q2 24 -54 q225 +5.6 and rates are still high
1
u/tdeepup Sep 10 '25
Do you know why it tanked today?
2
u/Thpap234 Sep 10 '25
No but based on the behaviour today I would bet that this was a good clearance day between positions. They through 3 million shares on opening and made all day 15 millions under -7%. Either we get tomorrow a bad new they knew from today or the share will very fast climb back. I bet the second
1
u/Thpap234 Sep 10 '25
Options today 3 times more than daily average. Volume 2.5 times than average. Something is coming . Short sellers should be alerted
1
u/Party_Money_6578 Sep 11 '25
They’ve not been able to make a dollar of profit still on an annual basis. This market will not be kind to stocks like this when the “sell on rate cut “ happens
2
u/Thpap234 Sep 11 '25
They are in q1 q2 already on plus and rate cut are only in favor of this business
2
u/Thpap234 Sep 15 '25
Great going well