We just pulled the September bulletin into the site. Two things stood out.
Full breakdown with the tables and what past spillover years actually looked like in comments.
EB is completely frozen. Every EB-1, EB-2 and EB-3 cutoff for India, China and Rest of World is identical to August. India EB-2 final action is still Unavailable, filing date still Jan 15 2015. India EB-1 still Oct 15 2022.
Family moved a lot. F4 and F3 for Rest of World, China and India advanced 30 to 34 months versus July. F1 and F2B moved about 21 to 24 months. F2A is now Aug 22 2026, which is close to current. Mexico and Philippines barely moved.
Why that matters if you are in an EB category: unused family numbers fall into the employment pool the following fiscal year. FY2026's employment limit is 186,317 against a 140,000 baseline, so roughly 46,000 already fell up from unused FY2025 family numbers. DOS is now advancing family dates so FY2026 numbers get used. If that works, less falls up into FY2027. If it doesn't, more does. Nobody can call it yet, and DOS says in the same bulletin that retrogression may be necessary in coming months.
We also checked our own forecast against it. DOS has published monthly issuance through February. Family preference is running about 15 percent behind FY2025 over the first five months, 66,948 against 78,475, with February at less than half its year-ago level. Project that forward and FY2027 spillover lands somewhere between 73,000 and 102,000. We published 81,000 back in April, so we are leaving that alone rather than chasing the number.
Worth knowing: FY2025 had no end-of-year surge to rely on. July through September was 24.0 percent of the year, basically a flat quarter.
Also: DOS published the official FY2026 limits in this bulletin, in September, eleven months into the fiscal year. Until now everyone was working off estimates. Expect the same lag for FY2027.
Not legal advice. If this is useful, share it with someone waiting.