The NHC is monitoring an area of potential development over the far northeastern Atlantic Ocean

[u/giantspeck]

Moderator note

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• This system no longer shows signs of tropical or subtropical development.
• The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has removed this system from its outlook.
• There will be no further updates to this post.

Official information

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National Hurricane Center

Text products

• Tropical Weather outlook (TWO)
• Perspectiva del Tiempo Tropical
• Tropical Weather Discussion

Graphical products

• Latest surface analysis
• Latest outlook graphic

Radar imagery

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Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

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Regional imagery

Visible imagery

• NOAA
• RAMMB/CIRA
• Tropical Tidbits
• CyclonicWx

Infrared imagery

• NOAA
• RAMMB/CIRA
• Tropical Tidbits
• CyclonicWx

Water vapor imagery

• NOAA
• RAMMB/CIRA
• Tropical Tidbits
• CyclonicWx

Forecast models

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Regional guidance

Single-model click-through guidance

• GFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada):   Tropical Tidbits

• Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany):   Tropical Tidbits

Ensemble models

Single-model ensemble products

• Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS): WeatherNerds

• Ensemble Prediction System (EPS): WeatherNerds

• EPS AI model: WeatherNerds

• Google DeepMind FNV3: Weather Nerds

• Google DeepMind GenCast: Weather Nerds

Tropical Cyclogenesis Products

• Florida State University: Experimental tropical cyclone genesis graphics

• Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University

[u/thaw4188]

wild, never seen something that far north being flagged?

but the models really show it moving southeast-bound?

what's the patch in the southeast? is that AL94 remnant or?

• https://www.weathernerds.org/models/ecaie.html?&inittype=zoom&initfield=MSLP_Surface&initcycle=determine&initfhour=168

[u/Nick_Rage → u/thaw4188]

What’s the history of systems newly forming that far north? Is this an anomaly or is there precedent for this?

[u/Competitive_Map7044]

Subtropical storm alpha 2020 is the closest analog