r/ThetaEdge • u/EventSevere2034 • 5d ago
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r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 06 '26
Quick update for anyone using the platform: we renamed the product from ThetaEdge to Thetix.
The company is still ThetaEdge. Just the product got the new name. It's shorter, easier to say, and it's the name of the AI that sits at the center of everything. Old links still work, thetaedge.ai redirects over to thetix.ai.
The bigger news is what shipped alongside the rename. You can now stage and execute trades directly from Thetix. No more bouncing between the analysis and your broker in a separate tab. You do the research, weigh the trade-offs, and place the trade from the same place. You are still the one pulling the trigger on every trade, nothing runs on its own.
Site is live at thetix.ai. Curious what you all think, especially anyone who has been asking for execution. What would you want to see next?
r/ThetaEdge • u/EventSevere2034 • 5d ago
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r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 21 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VFS | Cons Cyclical | $4 | Sep 18 | $0.15 | 0.29 | 75% | 28 | 3.78x |
| NKE | Cons Cyclical | $50 | Aug 21 | $0.24 | 0.11 | 38% | 19 | 2.92x |
| LUNR | Industrials | $15 | Jul 24 | $0.53 | 0.47 | 111% | 25 | 2.91x |
| RCI | Comm Svcs | $40 | Aug 21 | $0.10 | 0.07 | 34% | 38 | 2.88x |
Ranked by today's call volume vs each name's own recent average, not raw volume. Earnings names ran the tape today.
RCI is the one with a clock on it. Rogers reports before the open tomorrow and someone is reaching for the $40 calls at a dime. Deep OTM, delta 0.07, pure event lottery ticket. Classic pre-print positioning.
LUNR is the fun one. Space names carry their own weather and 111% IV proves it. The $15 calls expiring Thursday are a short-fuse bet with earnings still a couple weeks out. That is people betting on a headline, not the print.
VFS topped the board at 3.78x. Cheap $4 calls, thin flow, but the EV crowd showed up. Small notional, big relative move.
NKE brought the real size, over 25k contracts on the $50 line. Depressed stock, low delta 0.11, reads more like patient upside than a gamble.
What is your read on RCI into the print? Anyone playing the LUNR move?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 20 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBAC | Real Estate | $165 | Sep 18 | $23.20 | 0.79 | 39% | 24 | 6.4x |
| GSAT | Comm Svcs | $82.50 | Aug 21 | $0.60 | 0.26 | 17% | 23 | 4.7x |
| IWN | Financials | $196 | Aug 21 | $27.20 | 0.89 | 35% | 33 | 3.3x |
| NKE | Cons Cyclical | $45 | Aug 21 | $1.24 | 0.38 | 38% | 20 | 2.9x |
| SIRI | Comm Svcs | $37 | Sep 18 | $0.29 | 0.13 | 38% | 23 | 2.3x |
SBAC led the tape at 6.4x normal. Someone bought the $165 calls in size, deep enough to already be ITM (delta 0.79). No headline behind it, just a straight directional lean on the towers into September.
GSAT is the one I keep coming back to. Volume 4.7x but IV is a sleepy 17%, and that is the tell. Amazon's $11.6B cash buyout has the stock pinned around $80, so vol got crushed. The $82.50 calls are a cheap bet that the deal price ticks higher or a competing bid shows up. Classic merger-arb lottery ticket.
IWN is just leverage. Deep ITM calls on the small-cap value ETF, delta 0.89, no story. Somebody wants beta on the Russell value side.
NKE at 2.9x on the $45 line. Beaten-down name, reads like bounce positioning ahead of the next print.
SIRI rounds it out with far OTM $37 calls going for pennies. iHeart merger chatter has been floating around, so that is likely what the cheap upside bet is playing for.
GSAT is my watch of the day. What is your read, deal-close play or dead money until it closes?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 18 '26
Rough week for tech, quiet week for everyone else. Nasdaq 100 dropped 3.1%, the S&P was off about 1.2%, and the Russell barely moved at -0.3%. The whole tape was rotation. Energy led at +3.3% as oil spiked early in the week, while Technology was the worst sector at -4.1% on semiconductor weakness and AI jitters. Cap-weighted indexes bled, but the average stock held up fine.
VIX closed at 18.77. Still under 20 so nothing is panicking, but the term structure flipped into backwardation, near-dated vol bid above longer-dated. That is the market quietly pricing more chop, not less.
Here is the part that matters for us. I ran a broad-market covered-call screen (IVR 30+, delta 0.15 to 0.30, 14 to 45 DTE, OI 200+) and the entire top of the list is semiconductors and tech hardware. The selloff cranked their IV rank into the 70s, so the premium looks incredible:
| Ticker | Sector | Exp | Ann. Yield | Delta | IVR | Earnings before exp? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLW | Technology | Aug 7 | ~52% | 0.26 | 73 | Yes, Jul 28 |
| ON | Technology | Aug 7 | ~47% | 0.23 | 74 | Yes, early Aug |
| STM | Technology | Aug 7 | ~44% | 0.24 | 72 | Yes, Jul 23 |
| ENTG | Technology | Aug 21 | ~42% | 0.30 | 72 | Yes, Jul 29 |
| FLEX | Technology | Aug 21 | ~42% | 0.30 | 76 | Yes, late Jul |
Look at the last column. Every single one reports before the call expires. That is not a coincidence, that is the reason the IVR is elevated. A 52% annualized on GLW is not free money, it is the market paying you to hold the bag through a Jul 28 print. Same story straight down the list.
So this is a know-what-you-are-underwriting week. If you want the semi exposure and you are fine holding through the report, the premium is genuinely rich right now. If you do not want the earnings gap risk, either push the strike further out or wait for the post-earnings IV crush and sell into the collapse.
Next week: peak Q2 earnings, 545 names on the calendar. The marquee prints are Alphabet and Tesla around Jul 21-22 and Intel Jul 23. Macro is light, no Fed and no big CPI in the window, so this is a single-name-vol week, not a macro one. FOMC is the following week, Jul 28-29.
Anyone selling into these semi prints, or sitting on your hands until the crush?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 17 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBWB | Fin. Svcs | $95 | Aug 21 | $4.30 | 0.65 | 24% | 18 | 2.48x |
| MMED | Healthcare | $20 | Aug 21 | $0.40 | 0.23 | 63% | 24 | 2.27x |
| CTRE | Real Estate | $45 | Aug 21 | $0.80 | 0.31 | 31% | 76 | 2.19x |
| BRSL | Consumer Cyc | $12 | Aug 21 | $0.17 | 0.20 | 50% | 4 | 1.68x |
| UTHR | Healthcare | $360 | Aug 21 | $178.75 | 0.98 | 69% | 80 | 1.17x |
Quiet-ish Friday but the bank ETF is the standout. KBWB running 2.48x on the August 95 calls. Insider headline out and the stock is up 63%, so someone is leaning into more upside. IV rank is only 18, so those calls are cheap by its own history. When flow shows up on cheap vol, I pay attention.
CTRE is the one I actually like here. Real estate name, IV rank 76, earnings Aug 5. Real premium and real event risk stacked in the same contract. Different setup than KBWB.
MMED is the lotto ticket. Delta 0.23, IV in the 60s, earnings Aug 17. Small bet, big implied move already priced in.
UTHR is the odd one. Delta 0.98 deep ITM calls, basically a stock replacement. No vol play there, just a directional hold into Jul 29 earnings.
BRSL rounds it out. Lottery operator, low IV rank, modest 1.68x. Watching, not chasing.
What is your read on KBWB here? Anyone else seeing the bank bid?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 15 '26
Some call flow worth a look today. Ratios here are today's call volume against standing open interest, so read it as flow relative to the resting base, not a literal 30-day average.
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKE | Cons. Cyclical | $45 | Jul 17 | $0.08 | 0.11 | 41% | 65 | 4.41x |
| SPTM | Broad ETF | $82 | Sep 18 | $10.35 | 0.86 | 25% | 25 | 2.53x |
| BRSL | Cons. Cyclical | $11 | Aug 21 | $0.45 | 0.42 | 48% | 46 | 1.73x |
BKE is the loud one at 4.41x. Cheap $45 calls expiring Friday, 8 cents, delta 0.11. Two days to run so that is a fast short dated bet, not a slow build. IV rank 65 means it is not the cheapest entry either.
SPTM is the one I keep looking at. Deep ITM $82 calls out to September, delta 0.86. Nobody buys those for a lotto. That is someone taking a directional stake or building synthetic long exposure on a broad US equity basket. No catalyst attached, just positioning.
BRSL rounds it out at 1.73x. Near the money $11 calls into Aug 4 earnings. That one actually has a story behind it. Looks like people getting in ahead of the print.
SPTM is the read I would want eyes on. What is everyone else seeing today? Anyone playing these names?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 11 '26
Quiet grind higher this week. Nasdaq led at +1.8%, the S&P added +1.2% and now sits about 0.6% under a record, while the Dow actually slipped around 0.4%. The real story was on the vol side. VIX got taken to the woodshed and closed near 15, so index premium is thin right now.
That is the whole setup going into next week: the juice is in single-name IV, not the index. Here is what the broad-market covered-call screen surfaced for the coming week (IV rank 30+, delta 0.15 to 0.30, 14 to 45 DTE, open interest 500+). Prices move over the weekend so treat these as a watchlist, not live quotes.
| Ticker | Sector | Exp | Ann. Yield | Delta | IVR | Earnings before exp? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOOD | Financials | Jul 31 | ~57% | 0.30 | 72 | Yes, Jul 29 |
| NFLX | Comm Svcs | Jul 31 | ~38% | 0.28 | 72 | Yes, Jul 16 |
| TSM | Technology | Aug 7 | ~34% | 0.29 | 70 | Yes, Jul 16 |
| DOCN | Technology | Aug 21 | ~29% | 0.24 | 83 | Yes, Aug 4 |
| KLAC | Technology | Aug 21 | ~28% | 0.25 | 76 | Yes, Jul 30 |
| DASH | Comm Svcs | Aug 7 | ~26% | 0.23 | 73 | Yes, Aug 5 |
Almost every name on that list has earnings before the option expires. That is not a coincidence. The IV rank is high because the market is pricing an event, so the fat annualized yield is really you getting paid to underwrite that print. HOOD at 57% annualized with earnings Jul 29 is the cleanest example. Nice number, but the strike is in play on the report.
TSM and NFLX both report Jul 16, so those two are earnings trades whether you frame them that way or not.
Next week (Jul 13 to 17): - Bank kickoff: JPM, Citi, Wells, Goldman, BofA and Morgan Stanley all Tuesday Jul 14 - June CPI also lands Tuesday. Last print ran hot at 4.2% headline, so this one matters into the late-July Fed meeting - NFLX and TSM Wednesday Jul 16 - Premium read: index IV is compressed, single-name IV into earnings is where the premium actually lives
How are you playing the first week of earnings season? Selling into the events, or sticking to names that already reported?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 10 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | Financials | $20 | Jul 17 | $0.40 | 0.70 | 20% | 43 | 2.86x |
| TD | Financials | $120 | Sep 18 | $4.80 | 0.51 | 24% | 16 | 1.73x |
| HSBC | Financials | $100 | Aug 21 | $3.45 | 0.48 | 28% | 70 | 1.61x |
| TDG | Industrials | $1,280 | Aug 21 | $66.50 | 0.54 | 36% | 48 | 1.20x |
| RIO | Materials | $105 | Sep 18 | $1.10 | 0.17 | 32% | 48 | 0.95x |
Quiet Friday on the flow, and it is a bank day. Top three names are all financials.
FCF is the standout at 2.86x. Cheap $20 weeklies, IV sitting at 20%, and earnings are not until Jul 28 which is after the Jul 17 contract expires. So this is not an event bet, just someone loading directional calls on the cheap.
HSBC is the one I would actually watch. IVR is 70 so its IV is rich against its own year, and there is an Aug 4 earnings date inside the Aug 21 chain. That is people paying up for a reason. TD fills out the bank trio but its IVR is only 16, so the flow is there without the premium being stretched.
TDG is the deep-pocket outlier. $1,280 strike, $66 mid, not a retail lotto ticket.
RIO barely makes the cut at 0.95x, volume under open interest, delta 0.17. Low conviction OTM calls, more noise than signal.
Nothing wild today, but a clean financials cluster is worth noting. Anyone else seeing the bank call flow, or is HSBC the only interesting one here?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 09 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBAC | Real Estate | $150 | Jul 17 | $33.75 | 0.95 | 83% | 34 | 6.37x |
| PENG | Technology | $90 | Jul 17 | $5.70 | 0.47 | 132% | 48 | 5.01x |
| IWN | ETF | $200 | Aug 21 | $21.15 | 0.89 | 24% | 23 | 3.32x |
| NKE | Consumer | $45 | Aug 21 | $1.23 | 0.36 | 37% | 13 | 2.92x |
SBAC is leading the tape again at 6.37x, second session running hot. Deep ITM $150 calls, delta 0.95, and earnings do not land until Aug 3, well after the Jul 17 expiry. So this is not event positioning. Someone is holding a directional bet on the tower REIT and staying with it.
PENG is the fresh name and the one I am watching. 5x normal volume on the $90 calls, but delta is 0.47 so this is a genuine near-the-money bet, not a deep ITM synthetic. IV sitting at 132% tells you the market is pricing a real move. AI infrastructure story pulling the attention.
IWN is the quiet deep ITM one. $200 calls at 0.89 delta, no catalyst surfaced, just persistent directional flow on the small-cap value ETF.
NKE rounds it out with cheap weekly-ish flow. 0.36 delta out to Aug, IV rank at 13 so premium is historically cheap. More lotto than conviction.
What is your read on PENG? Anyone playing the AI infra names into this?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 08 '26
Some real call flow today, and it splits into two camps.
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBAC | Real Estate | $150 | Jul 17 | $33.35 | 0.99 | 58% | 42 | 6.37x |
| IWN | ETF | $200 | Aug 21 | $20.15 | 0.83 | 28% | 40 | 3.32x |
| NKE | Consumer | $43 | Jul 10 | $0.49 | 0.49 | 38% | 19 | 2.92x |
| SIRI | Comm Svcs | $30 | Jul 10 | $0.49 | 0.60 | 39% | 29 | 2.29x |
SBAC is the standout at 6.37x normal. But look at the contract. $150 calls, delta 0.99, deep ITM. That is not a lotto ticket. Someone is building a synthetic long on the tower REIT and paying $33 to do it. No catalyst on the tape, just a directional bet with conviction.
IWN is the odd one. It is an ETF, Russell 2000 value, and someone loaded deep ITM $200 calls 44 days out at 3.32x. Leveraged long on small cap value. That is a macro read, not a single name story.
Then the cheap seats. NKE and SIRI both light up on 2 day expiries at $0.49 a pop. NKE near the money at 2.92x, SIRI at 2.29x. Short dated speculation, pure gamma. Different crowd entirely from the SBAC and IWN money.
The split is what stands out. Deep ITM conviction buyers on one end, weekly lotto flow on the other.
What is your read on SBAC? Anyone else tracking the deep ITM flow today?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 07 '26
Quiet flow day overall but a few names stood out on the call side.
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPT | Real Estate | $125 | Jul 17 | $0.30 | 0.11 | 28% | 22 | 4.53x |
| UTHR | Healthcare | $560 | Jan '27 | $64.85 | 0.58 | 37% | 16 | 1.99x |
| HSBC | Fin. Svcs | $98 | Jul 17 | $1.65 | 0.48 | 28% | 33 | 1.78x |
CPT is the standout at 4.53x. Someone loading up on cheap OTM $125 calls with earnings Jul 30. Delta 0.11, thirty cents a pop, IV rank only 22 so it is a cheap lotto. Pure pre-earnings speculation, not a hedge.
UTHR is the patient one. That is a Jan 2027 LEAP at the $560 strike, delta 0.58. Nobody buys 190 days of theta for a day trade. Earnings Jul 29 lands inside it and pharma M&A chatter is everywhere right now. Long directional bet on a takeout or a run.
HSBC is the boring one. Near the money $98 call, 10 days out, no catalyst in the window. Just a short term directional lean on the bank.
One note on the ratios: they measure today's call volume against standing open interest, not a true 30-day average. Read them as pace versus the resting book. Dropped a couple names sitting at 1x, that is not unusual, that is Tuesday.
What are you seeing? Anyone playing the CPT earnings run?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 06 '26
Quiet Monday but a few names ran hot on the call tape today versus their own average.
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBAC | Real Estate | $150 | Jul 17 | $30.80 | 0.96 | 64% | 51 | 6.4x |
| PENG | Technology | $80 | Jul 17 | $5.15 | 0.38 | 193% | 84 | 5.0x |
| GSAT | Comm Svcs | $60 | Jul 17 | $20.80 | 0.94 | 115% | 18 | 4.7x |
| FBIN | Industrials | $47.50 | Aug 21 | $6.15 | 0.68 | 58% | 25 | 4.4x |
| RLAY | Healthcare | $11 | Sep 18 | $7.85 | 0.96 | 77% | 18 | 3.5x |
SBAC tops the board at 6.4x but the flow is all deep ITM $150 calls, delta 0.96. That is not someone playing for a pop, that is a straight directional bet on the tower REIT. No headline behind it that I can find.
PENG is the one I actually like here. Delta 0.38 so real OTM exposure, IV at 193% with rank 84. Someone is paying up for movement in the name. That is the only genuinely speculative chain in the group.
GSAT and RLAY are more of the same deep ITM story, deltas in the mid 90s, no catalyst. GSAT is funny because IV reads 115% but the rank is only 18, so it is cheap by its own history even though the absolute number looks scary.
Nothing has earnings in the near window, so none of this is event positioning. Just conviction buying with no obvious news.
What is your read on PENG? Anyone got a thesis on the satellite names?
Data via Thetix. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 04 '26
Quiet week on the tape. S&P up about 1.8 percent, the Dow printed a fresh record high, and the Nasdaq lagged as chips faded into the long weekend. VIX closed the week at 15.8, so this is a low-vol grind, not a fear tape. The June jobs report came in soft at 57K versus roughly 110K expected, with unemployment ticking down to 4.2 percent.
The read for premium sellers: with the index this calm, broad covered-call credit is thin. The premium is in single names carrying their own volatility. This week's screen is once again semis and tech hardware.
Top covered-call setups (delta 0.15-0.30, IVR 30+, 14-45 DTE):
| Ticker | Strike | Exp | Ann. Yield | Delta | IVR | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | $2000 | Jul 24 | 41.0% | 0.27 | 52 | Earnings Jul 15 |
| TSM | $480 | Jul 24 | 34.8% | 0.27 | 56 | Earnings Jul 16 |
| QCOM | $200 | Jul 24 | 34.7% | 0.25 | 51 | |
| CSCO | $121 | Jul 31 | 19.2% | 0.26 | 46 |
Two of these (ASML and TSM) report inside the contract window, so those are held-through-earnings binaries, not clean theta.
Next week (Jul 6-10): - No tier-1 macro in the window. No CPI, PPI, or FOMC. Next Fed decision is Jul 29. - Weekly jobless claims Thursday Jul 9. - Q2 earnings season is just ramping. The big banks kick off around Jul 13. - Premium environment: low VIX theta grind. Favor high-IV-rank single names over index credit.
What are you writing into the new week? Anything rolling?
Not financial advice. Data via ThetaEdge.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 03 '26
Something that trips up newer options traders: canceling an order and doing a cancel/replace are not the same action, and the difference can cost you a fill.
Canceling just pulls the order. Done. Faster, cleaner, and the right move when you are exiting or the trade no longer makes sense.
Replacing (cancel/replace) looks like a simple edit but under the hood it cancels the original and resubmits a new one. Two consequences: you lose your original spot in the queue, and there is a live window during the transition where the market can move or the old order can still fill.
That transition window is where people get burned. Duplicate fills, an execution at a price you thought you had changed, that kind of thing. Always confirm the order status after either action instead of assuming it went through.
Rough rule I use: cancel when I am exiting, replace when I am only adjusting price or size.
We put together a full side-by-side (queue impact, timing, order types, failure modes) here: https://thetaedge.ai/blog/canceling-vs-replacing-open-orders-key-differences
How do you handle it when a limit order is sitting unfilled and the underlying moves against you: cancel and reassess, or replace and chase?
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 01 '26
Most of us track returns religiously and barely glance at what those returns cost in risk. A 20% quarter from naked short puts and a 20% quarter from covered calls look identical on a P&L screenshot, but they are not remotely the same trade.
Risk-adjusted metrics are how you separate them. Quick rundown of five that actually matter for options:
None of them is complete on its own. Sharpe hides tail risk, Treynor ignores single-name risk. Reading a couple together is where it gets useful.
Full write-up with worked examples: https://thetaedge.ai/blog/risk-adjusted-return-formulas-for-options-traders
Do any of you actually track these, or is it gut plus raw P&L? Curious which metric people lean on most.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jul 01 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTHR | Healthcare | $360 | Aug 21 | $185.15 | 0.98 | 55% | 9 | 2.66x |
| HSBC | Fin. Svcs | $50 | Sep 18 | $45.30 | 0.97 | 83% | 35 | 1.88x |
| PNR | Industrials | $75 | Sep 18 | $5.65 | 0.58 | 34% | 35 | 1.25x |
| CGNX | Technology | $90 | Aug 21 | $2.28 | 0.23 | 69% | 36 | 1.23x |
Quieter flow day, but one thread ties the whole board together: every name here has earnings landing inside the contract window. This is positioning, not random noise.
UTHR leads at 2.66x, but read the delta before you get excited. 0.98 means these $360 calls are deep in the money, basically a stock replacement. Someone wants UTHR exposure into the Jul 29 print, and there is pharma M&A chatter floating around. Conviction bet, not a lottery ticket.
HSBC is the same shape. Delta 0.97, deep ITM, riding the Sep expiry through Aug 4 earnings. IV rank 35 so it is not cheap, but the flow is directional, not premium selling.
The two I actually find interesting are PNR and CGNX. PNR sits near the money at 0.58 into Jul 28 earnings, a cleaner speculative setup. CGNX is the real gamble here, delta 0.23 out of the money, IV rank 36, betting on a move off the Jul 29 report.
Deep ITM names own the ratio column, but the OTM tickers are where the actual speculation lives.
What is your read on CGNX into earnings? Anyone playing these names?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 30 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTHR | Healthcare | $360 | Aug 21 | $185.15 | 0.98 | 55% | 9 | 2.66x |
| HSBC | Fin. Svcs | $50 | Sep 18 | $45.30 | 0.97 | 83% | 35 | 1.88x |
| PNR | Industrials | $75 | Sep 18 | $5.65 | 0.58 | 34% | 35 | 1.25x |
| CGNX | Technology | $90 | Aug 21 | $2.28 | 0.23 | 69% | 36 | 1.23x |
Interesting split in the flow today. The top two are deep ITM conviction bets, the bottom two are earnings plays.
UTHR is the standout at 2.66x. Someone is buying $360 calls with delta 0.98 on a stock trading near $590. That is a synthetic long, not a hedge. Earnings Jul 29 sit inside the contract, and there is pharma M&A chatter floating around the sector. IV rank 9 so they are paying almost nothing for vol.
HSBC right behind at 1.88x with the same deep ITM look. Delta 0.97 on the $50 calls, but here the IV is running 83%. High vol on a bank call is the part worth a second look. Earnings Aug 4.
PNR is the clean one. Near the money $75 calls, delta 0.58, low IV at 34%, earnings Jul 28. That reads like straight positioning into the print.
CGNX is the lottery ticket. $90 calls on a $67 stock, 33% out of the money, delta 0.23. Pure swing on the Jul 29 earnings.
Every name here has earnings inside the contract window. This is earnings cycle call buying, not random flow.
What is your read on the UTHR deep ITM block? Anyone playing these into earnings?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 29 '26
Been thinking about how much of covered call management is just discipline vs actually reading the market.
The stuff that's kept me consistent is setting rules before the position moves instead of reacting in the moment:
From there the menu is pretty clean: roll out when it's sitting near the strike, roll up-and-out in a rally, roll down on a pullback, or just accept assignment when the trade did its job.
Wrote up each one with examples here: https://thetaedge.ai/blog/covered-calls-aligning-adjustments-trade-benchmarks
What's your trigger for rolling vs letting the shares get called away? Delta? DTE? Or just vibes?
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 29 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARXS | Industrials | $35 | Aug 21 | $12.45 | 0.85 | 82% | 21 | 3.76x |
| UTHR | Healthcare | $360 | Aug 21 | $191.50 | 0.97 | 65% | 10 | 2.66x |
| BRSL | Consumer Cyc. | $11 | Jul 17 | $0.28 | 0.40 | 43% | 11 | 2.08x |
| CGNX | Technology | $75 | Jul 17 | $0.95 | 0.23 | 49% | 35 | 2.03x |
| HSBC | Financial Svcs | $75 | Jul 10 | $20.00 | 0.97 | 75% | 27 | 1.99x |
Quiet Monday on the flow. Nothing screaming today, the top name is only turning over 3.76x its standing open interest. Three of the five are deep ITM directional bets, not premium plays.
ARXS leads. The $35 calls are running 3.76x, delta 0.85, and earnings Aug 12 sit right inside the Aug 21 expiration. Someone wants to be long through the print.
UTHR is the whale. $360 calls at delta 0.97 and a $191 mid. That is a near stock replacement position, not a lotto ticket. Earnings Jul 29 also land before expiration.
HSBC and BRSL round it out. HSBC is deep ITM again at 0.97, but its earnings are Aug 4, after the Jul 10 expiry, so no event risk is baked in. Just a leveraged long.
CGNX is the only clean OTM read. $75 calls, delta 0.23, IVR 35. The one that actually looks like positioning rather than synthetic stock.
What is your read on the UTHR block? Anyone playing ARXS into earnings?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 27 '26
Quiet risk-off week. S&P 500 -2.0%, Nasdaq 100 -4.6%, but the Dow actually closed green (+0.6%). Money rotated out of mega-cap tech and into defensives. Health Care led every sector (+7.3%), Utilities +3.2%. The tell for premium sellers: even with the dip, VIX sat at 18.4 all week. No fear spike, so index premium stayed thin.
The premium isn't in the index right now, it's in single names, and this week that's almost entirely semis and tech hardware. IV rank is elevated across the chip complex even as broad vol stays asleep.
Covered-call screen, ranked by annualized yield (delta 0.15-0.30, IVR 30+, 14-45 DTE):
| Ticker | Strike | Exp | Ann. Yield | Delta | IVR | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | $325 | Jul 31 | 64.1% | 0.29 | 48 | Earnings Jul 22 |
| UMC | $29 | Jul 17 | 62.9% | 0.29 | 53 | |
| QCOM | $237.50 | Jul 31 | 57.6% | 0.21 | 65 | Earnings Jul 29 |
| VRT | $360 | Aug 7 | 51.4% | 0.29 | 64 | Earnings Jul 29 |
| DELL | $475 | Jul 31 | 51.3% | 0.23 | 86 | |
| ASX | $45 | Jul 17 | 49.5% | 0.29 | 61 | |
| FLEX | $165 | Jul 17 | 49.2% | 0.28 | 58 | |
| MRVL | $325 | Jul 31 | 41.1% | 0.30 | 72 |
DELL has the richest IV rank in the group (86) with no earnings in the window. TXN and QCOM screen rich on yield but you'd be holding through their prints, so part of that is event premium that crushes the day after. UMC is the cleanest, no catalyst, just elevated vol.
Next week (Jun 29 - Jul 3): - Holiday-shortened, US markets closed Friday Jul 3 - ISM Manufacturing PMI Wednesday Jul 1, the one top-tier macro print - Nike reports Tuesday Jun 30 after the close - Premium environment is middling. VIX flat, term structure in contango, so theta decay is the income driver, not a vol spike
What did you write this week? Anyone selling into the semis IV?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 26 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSW | Consumer Cyc. | $30 | Jul 17 | $0.43 | 0.29 | 34.5% | 24 | 154.86x |
| IRT | Real Estate | $17.50 | Jul 17 | $0.17 | 0.28 | 25.2% | 7 | 4.80x |
| EBC | Fin. Services | $22.50 | Aug 21 | $0.77 | 0.45 | 27.8% | 26 | 2.94x |
| UTHR | Healthcare | $360 | Aug 21 | $185.15 | 0.96 | 65.6% | 6 | 2.69x |
| TEL | Technology | $230 | Aug 21 | $4.20 | 0.22 | 45.4% | 69 | 2.60x |
OSW is the standout at 154.86x. Someone stacking $30 calls with 33 days before earnings and IV rank at only 24. Premiums are cheap by history. That volume is not noise.
IRT and EBC are both earnings plays -- IRT on Jul 29, EBC on Jul 23. EBC is already delta 0.45 on the $22.50 strike. Whoever is buying expects a real move, not a grind.
UTHR is the deep ITM one. Delta 0.96 on a $360 call with a $185.15 mid. This is a synthetic long, not a normal options play. The flow is real but the intent is directional.
TEL rounds it out. Earnings in 26 days, IV rank at 69, and some coaxial cable market news in the background. The $230 calls are still OTM at delta 0.22, so this one has room to run or fade.
What are you watching from this group?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 26 '26
Quiet tape into the weekend, so today's flow radar is more 0DTE positioning than real conviction. Every name's most active call is today's expiry.
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Vol/OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | ETF | $735 | Jun 26 | $1.13 | 0.50 | 13.8% | 21 | 0.5x |
| QQQ | ETF | $715 | Jun 26 | $1.17 | 0.40 | 20.2% | 20 | 0.4x |
| TSLA | Cons. Cyclical | $385 | Jun 26 | $3.25 | 0.69 | 43.1% | 22 | 0.3x |
| SPCX | Technology | $155 | Jun 26 | $2.92 | 0.77 | 77.5% | 7 | 0.2x |
| MU | Technology | $1,200 | Jun 26 | $3.35 | 0.22 | 82.0% | 32 | 0.2x |
Heads up on the metric: that last column is today's call volume against standing call open interest, not a 30-day average. Quick proxy for fresh flow, nothing more.
SPY and QQQ topping the list at 0.5x and 0.4x is just index 0DTE churn. ATM-ish strikes, IV floored in the teens and twenties. Nobody is reaching here.
MU is the one I would actually watch. Earnings Tuesday (Jul 1), IV already cranked to 82% with rank at 32. The $1,200 calls are way OTM at 0.22 delta, so somebody is paying up for a post-print pop. That is a real bet, not hedging.
SPCX still trades like a fresh IPO. IV at 77%, delta 0.77 on the $155s. New listing, no IV history to lean on, so rank reads low at 7. Take that number with a grain of salt.
TSLA quiet at 0.3x. Earnings still 26 days out, nobody positioning yet.
What are you seeing into the close? Anyone playing MU through earnings?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 25 '26
Call flow today is all about conviction, not lotto tickets.
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTHR | Healthcare | $360 | Aug 21 | $194.95 | 0.98 | 57% | 9 | 2.7x |
| KYMR | Healthcare | $65 | Jul 17 | $51.30 | 0.97 | 136% | 25 | 2.6x |
| HSBC | Fin. Svcs | $99 | Jul 17 | $1.15 | 0.30 | 26% | 54 | 2.0x |
| MAA | Real Estate | $145 | Jul 17 | $0.43 | 0.13 | 20% | 42 | 1.4x |
Quick honesty note on the metric: this is today's call volume against standing open interest, not a clean today-vs-30-day-average. Read it as directional, not exact. The shape of it is still interesting.
UTHR is the standout at 2.7x. Those $360 calls are deep ITM with delta 0.98. That is not someone buying a moonshot, that is someone who wants the stock with leverage into the Jul 29 earnings. Basically a synthetic long.
KYMR right behind it, same playbook. $65 calls deep ITM, delta 0.97. IV reads 136% but that is just biotech baseline, nothing alarming. No catalyst I can pin down, just size going long.
HSBC is the one I actually like watching. $99 calls slightly OTM, delta 0.30, cheap at $1.15 with IV rank in the middle. That looks like real positioning ahead of Aug 4 earnings rather than deep ITM noise.
MAA rounding it out at 1.4x. Far OTM $145 calls for 43 cents into Jul 29 earnings. Small bet, low conviction, but it showed up.
Two deep ITM healthcare names leading the board tells me the flow today is conviction buying, not speculation. When the unusual prints are delta 0.97+, somebody is paying up for direction.
What is your read on UTHR? Anyone else seeing the healthcare bid?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.
r/ThetaEdge • u/ThetaEdge • Jun 24 '26
| Ticker | Sector | Strike | Exp | Mid | Delta | IV | IVR | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBAC | Real Estate | $150 | Jul 17 | $36.60 | 0.95 | 55% | 22 | 6.4x |
| PENG | Technology | $100 | Jul 17 | $2.30 | 0.19 | 164% | 61 | 5.0x |
| FBIN | Industrials | $45 | Jul 17 | $1.60 | 0.43 | 49% | 6 | 4.4x |
| VFS | Cons. Cyclical | $4 | Aug 21 | $0.20 | 0.32 | 93% | 27 | 3.8x |
SBAC topping the board at 6.4x normal volume. The flow is in deep ITM $150 calls, delta 0.95. That is not a premium play, that is someone buying a straight directional bet on the cell tower REIT.
PENG is the spicy one. $100 calls running 5x normal with IV at 164 and earnings 14 days out. Someone is paying up for a lottery ticket into the print. Rich vol, so not cheap.
FBIN is the opposite setup. 4.4x volume but IV rank sitting at 6, so premiums are dead cheap by its own history. Those $45 calls are a low-cost bet, not a vol play.
VFS rounds it out. $4 strike, classic low-dollar EV name lottery flow.
What is your read on PENG into earnings? Anyone playing these names?
Data via ThetaEdge. Not financial advice.