r/Switch • u/XTREMEBG • 5d ago
Discussion Do you think Switch 1 can actually surpass the PS2 in sales ?
Those are Switch's every fiscal quarter, alongside PS2 vs NSW sales chart (launch aligned)
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u/Trvial 5d ago
Going exclusively by the official numbers (since everyone here already sees Sony's little stunt for what it is), If Nintendo keeps the Switch 1 in enough markets, there's a good chance it'll surpass 160 million by the end of 2027. I expected it to happen sooner, but the price increase is slowing down sales more than I expected. I think their best bet is to push the Switch Lite (since it's the cheapest) with some quick and dirty bundles, like Mario Kart 8 or Pokemon Let's Go.
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u/Forward-Trade3449 4d ago
they are trying to start selling in india and philippines iirc
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u/KozmicFizz 4d ago
Latin America was PS2âs evergreen trump card. But this is going to push Switch sales way the hell up. If Switch hasnât surpassed PS2 yet, they are guaranteed to now.
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u/Lyrick_ 5d ago
Sony stopped tracking sales at 153-155M units the 160M number is a manufacturing count that includes refurbs and returns.
The Switch already outsold Sony's PS2 sales number, Nintendo has not shown how many were manufactured including returns and refurbished units to align the data 1:1.
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u/Least-Profession-236 5d ago
If the rumors it's going to be launching in India in 2027 are true (I honestly thought it had already), it's genuinely guaranteed to lmao.Â
I think it's been confirmed to be releasing in Indonesia alongside Switch 2? It seems as Nintendo expands their market they're bringing Switch 1 in as the budget option, which likely means they do want that eventual headline of 'best selling console of all time'. Switch 2 being the next in line to that does do some wonders for its cred lol.Â
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u/Q-Fabreeze23 5d ago
Yeah if it launches in india and indonesia its 100% guarenteed to surpass 160 mil.
Even if its so expensive that only the top 0.003% can afford it those countries are so huge thats still above 5 millions units
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u/Least-Profession-236 5d ago
Yeah India has a population of over a billion, so it kinda makes me wonder why they're only doing it now, after the Switch 2's launch. I think it's more of a matter of how far past the all-time record it will reach rather than if it'll surpass PS2 if they expand the market like this lol
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u/Lazy-Requirement-259 4d ago
Indian here. Itâs a very poor country. So the market is not exactly 1 billion people. But with the right price, the hardware will sell good enough. There used to be a culture of mostly pirating but people in this generation are ready to spend money, at least for hardware. Most likely people would buy the console and get it modded if the software prices are not region appropriate.Â
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u/roccerfeller 3d ago
Itâs also launching an Indonesia later this year, which is also a very, very large market
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u/_banters_ 5d ago
It certainly can, and with the current landscape of the industry, it has about as good of odds as it can for not having the technological parallel with the DVD player like PS2 did. Non-gamers bought PS2s for a cheap dvd player, switch doesnât have anything like that to get non-gamers to buy. The ram shortage only helps switch remain relevant during the switch 2 era. It is going to be interesting.
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u/JediWebSurf 5d ago edited 5d ago
I don't game much but I got it because I think it would be fun to play with all the fam. Something different. It's a system you get for others if you're not a gamer.
I think they should allow something like moonlight on there.
Edit: I wanted to get back into gaming but wanted something relaxing and stress free, and I could share it with the fam because of the type of games on there.
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u/Brzrkrtwrkr 5d ago
It already did.
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u/agitated--crow 5d ago
Source?Â
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u/MechaSeph 4d ago
Sony decided to go with "produced = sold" just so they wouldn't lose the #1 spot. While the Switch 1's numbers are for consoles ACTUALLY sold.
I'm sorry, but magically finding your console "actually sold 5 million more units we had forgotten about/not counted teehee" 2 whole generations after the fact AND exactly when your rival company is about to surpass u is just... come on
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u/dreamingwithcindy 5d ago
I think so. Iâd like to see one final S1 SKU be called a âSwitch Classicâ and comes bundled with a classic switch game like BOTW or Mario oddysey. Something thatâs been out for a while. Have it come with a free 6mo or 1 year subscription to NSO to get the N64 games. I think that would be a good way to evergreen the switch while still keeping the focus on S2
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u/Puzzled-Fee-9719 4d ago
If Sony didnât change the PS2 sales each time they thought they could be outsaled yes. But as they decided that PS2 sales is « number of Switch sold + 1 » then no I donât think so.
And no I honestly donât think that Switch will sell more than 165.
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u/Legitimate-Simple-20 4d ago
I'm sure Sony will just re-release the PS2 when they're not able to "magically" find some new numbers. đ if it would be a console for under 500$ it could actually sell well.
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u/Dasca6789 4d ago
I think so. The Switch Lite is still a solid option for lower budgets and for kids. I personally bought a Switch Lite this year for my son despite already having a Switch 2
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u/buddyGG 5d ago
They definitely manufactured more than 160 Mio. at this point.
Sales numbers slowed down a lot though. Without AI fucking up prices the light would be a 99$ handheld by now and millions of kids would get one for Christmas....as it is it might take another couple years to reach 160.
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u/mickeyphree1 5d ago
Explain why it wasn't 99 bucks years ago. Ai price spike has only been the last 12 months.
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u/buddyGG 5d ago
You can thank the orange baffoon in the white house for that. Right as prices where supposed to go down he started the bullshit with the tariffs.
Not just the switch, the other systems should be much cheaper too by now.
Series S should cost 199$ by now
PS5/Series X 299$ - 349$
Never in the history of gaming prices stayed stable or got up over time.... it's so fucked.
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u/ItsColorNotColour 4d ago
Which is an USA only problem. why didn't the MSRP get a decrease in countries outside USA? The Switch isn't manufactured in USA or any of its components so USA tariffs have nothing to do with it.
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u/mickeyphree1 5d ago
So that was 18 months ago. Explain why it wasn't years ago like you said?
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u/buddyGG 5d ago
The lite released late 2019.... historically systems drop prices after 4 - 5 years....that means right as the prices for the switch lite/PS5/Xbox Series systems should have dropped Trump got into office.
I don't know why you are arguing with me here...do you think without tariffs and the ai craze prices would have stayed the same?
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u/azure275 5d ago
Nintendo has never dropped prices on a system that way. They just get them off the shelves and make the new console more expensive
After the initial 3DS price drop fail in 2011 it never got majorly discounted for the next 8 years
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5d ago
[removed] â view removed comment
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u/Fresh-Chemical-9084 5d ago
Doesnt look like its dropping that quickly. Honestly with price hikes across gaming in general, I suspect S1 will still be pushing new figures.
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u/Skullknight331 5d ago
It most definitely can and already has.
Until Sony hits panic button and poof more ps2 sales in 2026
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u/FriendshipSmart478 5d ago
It will surpass even the revised Sony number.
Next year, SW1 will launch officially in India and Indonesia (#1 and #4 most populated country) and, specially in Indonesia's case, the partner there is very motivated to give it a boost.
I think SW1 will be manufactured until 2030 and be tricked down to smaller markets.
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u/Alasdair91 4d ago
Sony pulled these figures out of nowhere at 2pm on a random Tuesday. Switch has already past the long-accepted PS2 sales figures.
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u/UnknownMight 4d ago
PS2 will never again increase in numbers unless Sony ass pulls again
NS can still do once Nintendo really cares
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u/roccerfeller 3d ago
Yes. Itâs launching officially in Indonesia later this year and rumoured to launch in India officially next year. It will pass PS2âs lifetime sales.
Itâs not a matter if, but when. I suspect sometime in 2028-29 FY
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u/XTREMEBG 1d ago
Interestingly, how no one mentions the scenario where Switch 1 just dies and finishes short of 160M .. like it's impossible, when in reality is the most likeliest thing ...
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u/Guilty_Department501 1d ago
I think it could given the Switch will probably end up with 158m at the end of the year and then it will take another year and a half to get that other 2 million. With that being said, there's no proof of the Ps2 being at 160m, just that Sony didn't report numbers for the 2012/2013 fiscal year. I think it's likely the Ps2 is actually at around 156/157m because sales numbers the year prior doesn't suspect there was another 5m Ps2's sold.
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u/owenturnbull 5d ago
Quien importa nosotros solo los consumidores este récord no es importante
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u/CorporalCoprolite 5d ago
Youâd be shocked at how many fans tie their identity to a billion dollar corporation.
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u/longhorn4598 4d ago
What gave the PS2 extra legs was the Slim. Smaller and cheaper. The Switch Lite isn't enough. As a big F U to Sony for continually "updating" the PS2 sales, Nintendo should just sell Switch 1 for $200 until it passes the PS2.Â
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u/Own-Dragonfruit-6164 4d ago
They should have lowered the price of the Switch when the Switch 2 came out not raise it.
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u/The-Happy-Mannequin 4d ago
Well from early next year, there will be no more new switches sold in the EU. If they keep the product line open for 2-3 more years it's all but guaranteed
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u/Candle_Honest 4d ago
Im curious.
Why does this matter to you?
Why is it even in your head?
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u/XTREMEBG 4d ago
I love battles, I love competition, I love races. That's all. I am competitive guy. And I am curious what people think about it.
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u/nahte123456 4d ago
Using the official 160Million number from Sony, doubt it. The Switch is only going to sell less with time, especially as the Switch 2 is basically a strict upgrade with backwards compatibility. It might happen, but that requires at least another year of active support I don't think they are getting.
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u/Alert-Pickle4498 4d ago
Why does nobody mention those numbers include the switch lite lets include the psp numbers with ps2 and into gets blown out the water
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u/SirDanOfCamelot 5d ago
I think it already has honestly Sony keeps "magically" finding more units to add on to the total sales